Daily model board
MLB STRIKEOUT DASHBOARD
Friday, September 4, 2026
Pitchers
32
Average edge
+0.03
Model opportunities
TOP EDGES ON THE BOARD
Showing FanDuel lines and ranking pitchers by model edge.
Loaded
32 pitchers
Pitcher strikeouts
Jameson TaillonRHP
@ Kansas City Royals
Projection
3.9
Ensemble: 3.8
Market line
2.5
Model edge
+1.4
Sportsbook
FanDuel
Pitcher K%
22.0%
Whiff%
28.6%
Contact%
71.4%
Opponent K%
20.7%
WHIP
1.3
Full analysis
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Compare projections, sportsbook lines, model edge, and performance metrics.
Visible results
32
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
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Active book: FanDuel
| Rank | Pitcher | Opponent | Result | Model | Book | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |   Zebby Matthews View analysis | @ Chicago White Sox | 5.45 | 4.5 | +1.0 | A+ | 4 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 19% | 21.1% | 23.5% | 1.32 | FanDuel |
| 02 |   Cristopher Sánchez View analysis | vs Atlanta Braves | 6.46 | 6.5 | -0.0 | A+ | 5 | UNDER | CORRECT | 27.6% | 31.6% | 22% | 1.2 | FanDuel |
| 03 |   Chris Sale View analysis | @ Philadelphia Phillies | 6.14 | 6.5 | -0.4 | A+ | 7 | OVER | INCORRECT | 34.4% | 29.8% | 20% | 1.04 | FanDuel |
| 04 |   Jared Jones View analysis | vs Los Angeles Angels | 5.77 | 6.5 | -0.7 | A+ | 9 | OVER | INCORRECT | 24% | 31% | 26.2% | 1.15 | FanDuel |
| 05 |   Blake Snell View analysis | vs Washington Nationals | 6.48 | 7.5 | -1.0 | A+ | 7 | UNDER | CORRECT | 34.1% | 36.6% | 23.6% | 1.45 | FanDuel |
| 06 |   Logan Gilbert View analysis | vs Athletics | 5.47 | 6.5 | -1.0 | A+ | 10 | OVER | INCORRECT | 23.3% | 25.7% | 21.5% | 1 | FanDuel |
| 07 |   Andre Pallante View analysis | @ Colorado Rockies | 4.01 | 2.5 | +1.5 | A | 1 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 18.5% | 24.8% | 22.3% | 1.23 | FanDuel |
| 08 |   Keider Montero View analysis | @ Cleveland Guardians | 3.5 | 2.5 | +1.0 | A | 4 | OVER | CORRECT | 11.5% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 0.99 | FanDuel |
| 09 |   Max Fried View analysis | @ San Diego Padres | 5.02 | 4.5 | +0.5 | A | 4 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 28.6% | 25.6% | 21.6% | 0.99 | FanDuel |
| 10 |   Shane Drohan View analysis | @ Cincinnati Reds | 5.8 | 5.5 | +0.3 | A | 5 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 20.6% | 24.9% | 25.9% | 1.23 | FanDuel |
| 11 |   Walker Buehler View analysis | vs New York Yankees | 4.77 | 4.5 | +0.3 | A | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 18.3% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 1.41 | FanDuel |
| 12 |   Shota Imanaga View analysis | @ Miami Marlins | 5.27 | 5.5 | -0.2 | A | 4 | UNDER | CORRECT | 27.4% | 30% | 20.3% | 1.1 | FanDuel |
| 13 |   Nick Martinez View analysis | @ Texas Rangers | 3.1 | 3.5 | -0.4 | A | 4 | OVER | INCORRECT | 18.2% | 14.4% | 23.2% | 1.11 | FanDuel |
| 14 |   Ranger Suarez View analysis | @ Baltimore Orioles | 4.49 | 5.5 | -1.0 | A | 3 | UNDER | CORRECT | 13% | 16.4% | 25.2% | 1.18 | FanDuel |
| 15 |   Foster Griffin View analysis | vs Detroit Tigers | 4.17 | 5.5 | -1.3 | A | 3 | UNDER | CORRECT | 21.7% | 16.1% | 21% | 1.09 | FanDuel |
| 16 |   Nolan McLean View analysis | vs San Francisco Giants | 4.99 | 6.5 | -1.5 | A | 7 | OVER | INCORRECT | 19.7% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 1.13 | FanDuel |
| 17 |   Daniel IV View analysis | vs Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 2.5 | -2.5 | A | 0 | UNDER | CORRECT | 16.4% | 17.4% | 17% | 0.99 | Pinnacle |
| 18 |   Kade Morris View analysis | @ Seattle Mariners | 4.06 | 2.5 | +1.6 | B+ | 0 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 11.3% | 19.8% | 21.1% | 2.45 | DraftKings |
| 19 | Jameson Taillon View analysis | @ Kansas City Royals | 3.93 | 2.5 | +1.4 | B+ | 1 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 22% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 1.32 | FanDuel |
| 20 |   Ryan Feltner View analysis | vs St. Louis Cardinals | 4.62 | 3.5 | +1.1 | B+ | 5 | OVER | CORRECT | 15.7% | 22.8% | 21.5% | 1.49 | FanDuel |
| 21 |   Rhett Lowder View analysis | vs Milwaukee Brewers | 4.39 | 3.5 | +0.9 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 14.6% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 1.51 | FanDuel |
| 22 |   Jackson Kent View analysis | @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.18 | 3.5 | +0.7 | B+ | 4 | OVER | CORRECT | 19.3% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 2.08 | FanDuel |
| 23 |   Ryan Johnson View analysis | @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 3.99 | 3.5 | +0.5 | B+ | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 14.3% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 1.51 | FanDuel |
| 24 |   Shane Baz View analysis | vs Boston Red Sox | 4.92 | 4.5 | +0.4 | B+ | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 23.5% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 1.36 | FanDuel |
| 25 |  Logan Allen View analysis | vs Detroit Tigers | 3.9 | 3.5 | +0.4 | B+ | 1 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 16.7% | 22% | 21% | 1.68 | FanDuel |
| 26 |   Matt Wilkinson View analysis | @ New York Mets | 3.86 | 3.5 | +0.4 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 12.8% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 1.01 | FanDuel |
| 27 |   Janson Junk View analysis | vs Chicago Cubs | 3.84 | 3.5 | +0.3 | B+ | 4 | OVER | CORRECT | 9.4% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 1.33 | FanDuel |
| 28 |   Erick Fedde View analysis | vs Minnesota Twins | 3.56 | 3.5 | +0.1 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 17.8% | 20% | 19% | 1.39 | FanDuel |
| 29 |   Merrill Kelly View analysis | @ Houston Astros | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 | B+ | 4 | UNDER | CORRECT | 16% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 1.48 | FanDuel |
| 30 |   Cristian Javier View analysis | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.96 | 4.5 | -0.5 | B+ | 8 | OVER | INCORRECT | 20.4% | 27.8% | 18.7% | 1.83 | FanDuel |
| 31 |  Andrew Sears View analysis | @ Cleveland Guardians | 3.5 | -- | -- | B+ | 4 | -- | -- | 14.3% | 26.8% | 17.6% | 1.55 | -- |
| 32 |   Trevor Williams View analysis | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 2.84 | -- | -- | B+ | 2 | -- | -- | 25.5% | 25.2% | 16.9% | 1.15 | -- |
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