MLB pitcher strikeout

Cristopher Sánchez

vs Atlanta Braves2026-09-04PinnacleLHP

Projection

6.5

Ensemble: 6.1

Market line

6.5

Pinnacle

Model edge

No qualifying edge

60% (6/10)· 1U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

A+

95/100

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Pitcher K%

27.6%

Whiff%

31.6%

CSW%

31.8%

WHIP

1.2

Avg IP

Avg pitches

96.2

Last 5 avg Ks

6.6

Games logged

Matchup K%

16.3%

Platoon K%

26.4%

Team chase

30.6%

Recent chase

29.5%

Recent contact

78.3%

Recent K% (7d)

22.9%

Opp K% vs RHP

25.2%

Opp K% vs LHP

21.9%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

6.5

Pinnacle

Model projection

6.5

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Ks

7.0

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

60% (6/10)· 1U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

6.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 6.5Model 6.5

Sep 4

vs ATL

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 29

@ LAA

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Aug 23

vs STL

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Aug 17

vs MIA

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Aug 11

@ STL

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

18.5

Pinnacle

Model projection

17.3

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Outs

18.3

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

30% (3/10)· 1U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

18.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 18.5Model 17.3

Sep 4

vs ATL

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Aug 29

@ LAA

OVER

Outs

+2.5

Aug 23

vs STL

OVER

Outs

+1.5

Aug 17

vs MIA

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Aug 11

@ STL

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Atlanta Braves

No prior starts found against Atlanta Braves.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
Pinnacle	6.5	+108	-144	-0.0	+0.0	—
DraftKings	6.5	+102	-129	-0.0	+0.0	—
FanDuel	6.5	-102	-125	-0.0	+0.0	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

92.4%

5+ Ks

82.5%

6+ Ks

68.2%

7+ Ks

50.7%Line

8+ Ks

33%

9+ Ks

18.9%

10+ Ks

9.5%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
Sinker	43.5%	9.9%	18.2%	95
Changeup	37.1%	43.4%	23.6%	87.4
Slider	19.4%	45.5%	30.8%	86.8

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

52.3%

2-Strike Foul%

19.5%

2-Strike Contact%

65.8%

Expected Ks

31.9

K Luck

+2.1

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	25	60%	36%
1-2	42	57.1%	40.5%
2-2	26	50%	50%
3-2 (full)	14	21.4%	78.6%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	Sinker	Changeup	Slider
Ronald Acuña Jr.R	24.8%	22.8%	11.4% vs L: 18.2%	20.8% vs L: 17.2%	15.2% vs L: 8%
Drake BaldwinL	20.4%	22%	9.4% vs L: 7.7%	28.3% vs L: 42.1%	25% vs L: 29.3%
Ozzie AlbiesS	8.7%	18%	14.8% vs L: 29.4%	10.1% vs L: 11.1%	14.5% vs L: 5.9%
Matt OlsonL	25.3%	25.8%	15.1% vs L: 10.5%	13.2% vs L: 11.8%	26.4% vs L: 21.3%
Lane ThomasR	22.3%	25.6%	16.4% vs L: 7.1%	26.5% vs L: 23.3%	20.6% vs L: 17.2%
Mauricio DubónR	10.2%	13%	14.3% vs L: 5.9%	5.5% vs L: 10.8%	15.8% vs L: 30%
Sean MurphyR	26.3%	40.5%	33.3%	—	29.4%
Austin RileyR	32.1%	31.2%	24.2% vs L: 10%	28.6% vs L: 30.6%	23.3% vs L: 6.2%
Ha-Seong KimR	27.7%	23.2%	0% vs L: 0%	16.7% vs L: 22.2%	8.7%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	Sinker	Changeup	Slider
Ronald Acuña Jr.R	15.4% vs L: 20.8%	31.2% vs L: 25.6%	26.9% vs L: 12.5%
Drake BaldwinL	11.2% vs L: 11.8%	28.3% vs L: 36%	38% vs L: 36.8%
Ozzie AlbiesS	14.9% vs L: 14.1%	18.4% vs L: 20.5%	21.8% vs L: 15.2%
Matt OlsonL	10.3% vs L: 11.8%	19.4% vs L: 20%	35.2% vs L: 39.5%
Lane ThomasR	4.5% vs L: 3.8%	31.5% vs L: 29.7%	42% vs L: 34.5%
Mauricio DubónR	10.2% vs L: 4%	10.2% vs L: 13.4%	25.9% vs L: 22.7%
Sean MurphyR	20%	—	60%
Austin RileyR	13.6% vs L: 16.3%	38.1% vs L: 42.4%	34.6% vs L: 27.8%
Ha-Seong KimR	4.4% vs L: 9.1%	14.3% vs L: 15.4%	26.3%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Matt Olson	21	4	19%	.300
Lane Thomas	17	0	0%	.571
Ozzie Albies	16	0	0%	.533
Ronald Acuña Jr.	13	4	30.8%	.308
Austin Riley	13	2	15.4%	.500
Sean Murphy	12	5	41.7%	.182
Drake Baldwin	6	1	16.7%	.500
Ha-Seong Kim	6	1	16.7%	.200
Mauricio Dubón	5	2	40%	.200

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Ronald Acuña Jr.	32.2%	30.6%	24.4%	71.9%
Drake Baldwin	33.1%	32.4%	27.1%	66.4%
Ozzie Albies	39.7%	34.5%	19.1%	84.6%
Matt Olson	27.2%	35.6%	27.1%	72.8%
Lane Thomas	19.9%	12.5%	12.5%	87.5%
Mauricio Dubón	38.1%	39.5%	5%	88.1%
Sean Murphy	31.3%	26.8%	28.6%	68.8%
Austin Riley	32.5%	32.5%	26.3%	77.5%
Ha-Seong Kim	21.4%	21.1%	16.7%	87.2%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-11	Detroit Tigers	7	7
2026-07-14	American League All-Stars	7.5	2
2026-07-20	Los Angeles Dodgers	7.8	7
2026-07-26	New York Yankees	6.4	6
2026-08-01	Baltimore Orioles	5.8	11
2026-08-06	Washington Nationals	6.4	6
2026-08-11	St. Louis Cardinals	7.9	7
2026-08-17	Miami Marlins	8.2	6
2026-08-23	St. Louis Cardinals	7.9	7
2026-08-29	Los Angeles Angels	8.8	8
2026-09-04	Atlanta Braves	6.46	5

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 27.6%

✓Whiff rate is 31.6%

✓CSW rate is 31.8%

!Opponent K% is 22%

✓Average pitch count is 96.2

!WHIP is 1.2

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-09-04	Atlanta Braves	Home	6	5	108	1.2	—	—
2026-08-29	Los Angeles Angels	Away	7	8	91	1.19	12	66.7%
2026-08-23	St. Louis Cardinals	Home	6.2	7	103	1.22	18	38.9%
2026-08-17	Miami Marlins	Home	6	6	90	1.22	11	54.5%
2026-08-11	St. Louis Cardinals	Away	6	7	89	1.19	13	53.8%
2026-08-06	Washington Nationals	Home	5	6	98	1.22	11	54.5%
2026-08-01	Baltimore Orioles	Away	6	11	99	1.2	13	84.6%
2026-07-26	New York Yankees	Home	6	6	101	1.2	15	40%
2026-07-20	Los Angeles Dodgers	Home	5.1	7	99	1.19	15	46.7%
2026-07-11	Detroit Tigers	Away	7	7	103	1.19	17	41.2%