MLB pitcher strikeout

Jackson Kent

@ Los Angeles Dodgers2026-09-04FanDuelLHP

Projection

4.2

Ensemble: 4.1

Market line

3.5

FanDuel

Model edge

+0.7

Over 3.5

50% (2/4)· 1U streak

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Recommendation

Over 3.5

FanDuel

Confidence

B+

70/100

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Pitcher K%

19.3%

Whiff%

21.8%

CSW%

24%

WHIP

2.08

Avg IP

4.8

Avg pitches

89.5

Last 5 avg Ks

4.3

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

19.1%

Team chase

29.2%

Recent chase

26.5%

Recent contact

76.9%

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

18.4%

Opp K% vs LHP

22.4%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

3.5

FanDuel

Model projection

4.2

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

50%

2 of 4 overs

Average Ks

4.3

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.8

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

50% (2/4)· 1U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

3.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 3.5Model 4.2

Aug 28

vs MIA

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Aug 23

@ MIA

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Aug 18

@ TEX

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Aug 12

vs CHC

OVER

Strikeouts

+2.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

14.5

Pinnacle

Model projection

14.7

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

25%

1 of 4 overs

Average Outs

14.5

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

25% (1/4)· 1O streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

14.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 14.5Model 14.7

Aug 28

vs MIA

OVER

Outs

+6.5

Aug 23

@ MIA

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Aug 18

@ TEX

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Aug 12

vs CHC

UNDER

Outs

-2.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

No prior starts found against Los Angeles Dodgers.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
FanDuel	3.5	-113	-113	+0.7	-0.7	Best Over
DraftKings	3.5	-111	-114	+0.7	-0.7	—
Pinnacle	3.5	-105	-126	+0.7	-0.7	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

63.1%Line

5+ Ks

41.2%

6+ Ks

22.7%

7+ Ks

10.7%

8+ Ks

4.6%

9+ Ks

1.6%

10+ Ks

0.5%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	35.2%	8.6%	17.2%	93.1
Changeup	21.2%	32.4%	17.1%	85.7
Slider	17.9%	21.2%	16%	86.8
Curveball	13.7%	21.4%	20%	79.1
Sinker	12%	11.8%	0%	92.8

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

39.5%

2-Strike Foul%

25.9%

2-Strike Contact%

77%

Expected Ks

K Luck

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	19	42.1%	57.9%
1-2	28	53.6%	46.4%
2-2	19	36.8%	63.2%
3-2 (full)	14	28.6%	71.4%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Changeup	Slider	Curveball	Sinker
Tommy EdmanS	26.6%	17.3%	28.6% vs L: 47.8%	13.5% vs L: 18.8%	18.8% vs L: 12.5%	14.3% vs L: 23.1%	10.5% vs L: 0%
Mookie BettsR	8.6%	12.7%	8.4% vs L: 9.8%	13.3% vs L: 9.1%	17.6% vs L: 28.6%	14.3% vs L: 0%	9.8% vs L: 8.3%
Teoscar HernándezR	22%	29.9%	18.1% vs L: 13.3%	18.2% vs L: 17.1%	31% vs L: 38.5%	15.6% vs L: 13.3%	23.6% vs L: 0%
Will SmithR	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Max MuncyL	27.8%	24.3%	16.4% vs L: 15.4%	17.8% vs L: 37.5%	28.7% vs L: 32%	21.1% vs L: 14.3%	12.7% vs L: 9.5%
Miguel RojasR	11.7%	8.8%	17.8% vs L: 16.7%	0% vs L: 0%	8.3% vs L: 0%	22.2% vs L: 25%	4.8% vs L: 0%
Alex CallR	—	—	11.1%	5%	15%	20%	11.8%
Kyle TuckerL	18%	17.5%	14.4% vs L: 18.6%	13.2% vs L: 16%	13.3% vs L: 3.1%	13.6% vs L: 27.3%	20% vs L: 20.6%
Enrique HernándezR	24%	36.4%	13.3% vs L: 7.1%	20% vs L: 20%	—	60% vs L: 60%	0% vs L: 0%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Changeup	Slider	Curveball	Sinker
Tommy EdmanS	17.7% vs L: 29.5%	23% vs L: 32%	33.9% vs L: 30.8%	30% vs L: 33.3%	2.7% vs L: 0%
Mookie BettsR	5.5% vs L: 3.3%	16.7% vs L: 14.8%	25.3% vs L: 33.3%	10% vs L: 0%	3.2% vs L: 0%
Teoscar HernándezR	21.4% vs L: 19.3%	38.5% vs L: 40.3%	45.4% vs L: 72.7%	39.3% vs L: 40%	13.9% vs L: 5.6%
Will SmithR	—	—	—	—	—
Max MuncyL	19.3% vs L: 23.2%	35.1% vs L: 41.2%	31.5% vs L: 37.2%	30.9% vs L: 25%	11.1% vs L: 9.8%
Miguel RojasR	11.2% vs L: 6.5%	31.6% vs L: 32.4%	19.5% vs L: 0%	30% vs L: 12.5%	7.8% vs L: 9.4%
Alex CallR	20.2%	16.7%	11.4%	20%	5.8%
Kyle TuckerL	17.1% vs L: 20%	26.2% vs L: 25%	28.5% vs L: 33.3%	29.8% vs L: 30%	5.5% vs L: 2.4%
Enrique HernándezR	13.3% vs L: 9.1%	27.3% vs L: 27.3%	—	40% vs L: 42.9%	11.1% vs L: 14.3%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

No head-to-head history found for this lineup.

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Tommy Edman	30.7%	28.4%	16.7%	78.8%
Mookie Betts	19.1%	23.4%	10.4%	92.3%
Teoscar Hernández	33.8%	35.6%	27.5%	67.4%
Will Smith	N/A	N/A	N/A	76.5%
Max Muncy	26.6%	19.8%	21.2%	74.5%
Miguel Rojas	29.9%	37%	6.7%	88.5%
Alex Call	28.5%	18.2%	N/A	75%
Kyle Tucker	24.2%	20.2%	10%	84.2%
Enrique Hernández	41.1%	29.6%	43.8%	55.2%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-08-12	Chicago Cubs	0	6
2026-08-18	Texas Rangers	5.5	3
2026-08-23	Miami Marlins	3.4	5
2026-09-04	Los Angeles Dodgers	4.18	4

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 19.3%

!Whiff rate is 21.8%

!CSW rate is 24%

!Opponent K% is 19.3%

!Average pitch count is 89.5

!WHIP is 2.08

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-08-28	Miami Marlins	Home	7	3	106	1.71	14	21.4%
2026-08-23	Miami Marlins	Away	4.2	5	90	2.11	13	38.5%
2026-08-18	Texas Rangers	Away	3.2	3	84	2.48	7	42.9%
2026-08-12	Chicago Cubs	Home	4	6	78	2	9	66.7%