MLB pitcher strikeout

Andrew Sears

@ Cleveland Guardians2026-09-04LHP

Projection

3.5

Ensemble: 3.4

Market line

No line available

Model edge

No qualifying edge

0% (0/3)· 3U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

B+

70/100

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Pitcher K%

14.3%

Whiff%

26.8%

CSW%

26.7%

WHIP

1.55

Avg IP

3.3

Avg pitches

Last 5 avg Ks

2.0

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

13.1%

Team chase

29.8%

Recent chase

30.9%

Recent contact

83.4%

Recent K% (7d)

11.7%

Opp K% vs RHP

19.1%

Opp K% vs LHP

17%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

3.5

Selected line

Model projection

3.5

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

0 of 3 overs

Average Ks

2.0

Selected starts

Average margin

-1.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

0% (0/3)· 3U streak

Strikeout Simulator

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Active line

3.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 3.5Model 3.5

Sep 4

@ CLE

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 29

vs LAD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-2.5

Aug 23

@ KC

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

13.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

0 of 3 overs

Average Outs

9.0

Selected starts

Average margin

-4.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

0% (0/3)· 3U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

13.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 13.5Model 13

Sep 4

@ CLE

UNDER

Outs

-6.5

Aug 29

vs LAD

UNDER

Outs

-5.5

Aug 23

@ KC

UNDER

Outs

-1.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Cleveland Guardians

No prior starts found against Cleveland Guardians.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

No sportsbook lines found for this pitcher.

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

48.8%

5+ Ks

27.7%

6+ Ks

12.2%

7+ Ks

4.5%

8+ Ks

1.4%

9+ Ks

0.2%

10+ Ks

0.1%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	45.7%	8.3%	8.3%	93.8
Slider	34.5%	42.9%	14.3%	81.9
Changeup	11.2%	66.7%	50%	86.4
Sinker	8.6%	0%	0%	92.8

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

23.5%

2-Strike Foul%

13.3%

2-Strike Contact%

80%

Expected Ks

K Luck

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	5	20%	80%
1-2	9	44.4%	55.6%
2-2	7	28.6%	71.4%
3-2 (full)	5	0%	100%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Slider	Changeup	Sinker
Steven KwanL	13.1%	8.3%	7% vs L: 12.2%	15.1% vs L: 14.3%	4.9% vs L: 10%	5.2% vs L: 7.1%
Chase DeLauterL	19.2%	12.9%	18.4% vs L: 25.6%	15.2% vs L: 10.3%	9.2% vs L: 7.7%	11.5% vs L: 14.8%
José RamírezS	7.1%	15.3%	7% vs L: 4.2%	14.3% vs L: 9.5%	13.3% vs L: 9.5%	11.1% vs L: 14.3%
Jo AdellR	22.6%	24.2%	17% vs L: 15.6%	19.8% vs L: 16%	23.9% vs L: 23.4%	22.9% vs L: 22.2%
Nathaniel LoweL	25.6%	23.8%	17.9% vs L: 10%	18.2% vs L: 33.3%	13.5%	17% vs L: 14.3%
Angel MartínezS	15.3%	25%	13.9% vs L: 18.9%	23.7% vs L: 26.7%	14% vs L: 17.4%	32.7% vs L: 11.1%
Travis BazzanaL	25.8%	19.5%	16.2% vs L: 21.2%	23.8% vs L: 22.9%	14.7% vs L: 25%	9.1% vs L: 10.5%
Austin HedgesR	10%	24.8%	12.8% vs L: 8.7%	20% vs L: 23.1%	14.3% vs L: 6.7%	27.3% vs L: 14.3%
Brayan RocchioS	16.6%	13.6%	14.9% vs L: 15%	14.9% vs L: 25.8%	15.2% vs L: 16.7%	9.6% vs L: 18.2%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Slider	Changeup	Sinker
Steven KwanL	2.6% vs L: 3.3%	12.4% vs L: 22.5%	10.7% vs L: 25%	3% vs L: 1.3%
Chase DeLauterL	12.4% vs L: 18.8%	22.8% vs L: 23.9%	17.5% vs L: 16.7%	4.9% vs L: 5.6%
José RamírezS	9.1% vs L: 7.1%	19.2% vs L: 17.1%	19.7% vs L: 19.4%	9.3% vs L: 6.9%
Jo AdellR	20.5% vs L: 17.6%	35.7% vs L: 32.4%	40.4% vs L: 50%	16.6% vs L: 20%
Nathaniel LoweL	16.8% vs L: 21.4%	26% vs L: 54.5%	20%	12.2% vs L: 8.7%
Angel MartínezS	12% vs L: 11.9%	22.1% vs L: 22.7%	19% vs L: 19.4%	15.6% vs L: 15.4%
Travis BazzanaL	14.9% vs L: 20.5%	35.4% vs L: 37.9%	38.1% vs L: 83.3%	12.3% vs L: 13.9%
Austin HedgesR	15.7% vs L: 16.4%	32% vs L: 26.1%	25.9% vs L: 20.8%	6.6% vs L: 4.2%
Brayan RocchioS	14.5% vs L: 18.8%	27.7% vs L: 34.9%	31% vs L: 37.5%	8.4% vs L: 2.4%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

No head-to-head history found for this lineup.

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Steven Kwan	18.6%	15.7%	8%	98.8%
Chase DeLauter	24%	26.6%	25%	83.1%
José Ramírez	29.4%	31.8%	15.9%	89.7%
Jo Adell	34.6%	34.2%	16.3%	80.2%
Nathaniel Lowe	30.8%	33.7%	23.4%	77%
Angel Martínez	40.2%	30.6%	16.1%	87.1%
Travis Bazzana	27.9%	26.9%	17.6%	81.4%
Austin Hedges	28.2%	27.3%	28.6%	75%
Brayan Rocchio	34.8%	50.9%	14.7%	78.6%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-09-04	Cleveland Guardians	3.5	4

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 14.3%

!Whiff rate is 26.8%

!CSW rate is 26.7%

!Opponent K% is 17.6%

!Average pitch count is 58

!WHIP is 1.55

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-09-04	Cleveland Guardians	Away	2.1	2	30	1.33	—	—
2026-08-29	Los Angeles Dodgers	Home	2.2	1	42	1.35	7	14.3%
2026-08-23	Kansas City Royals	Away	4	3	74	1.75	10	30%