Daily model board
MLB STRIKEOUT DASHBOARD
Saturday, September 5, 2026
Pitchers
30
Average edge
+0.06
Model opportunities
TOP EDGES ON THE BOARD
Showing FanDuel lines and ranking pitchers by model edge.
Loaded
30 pitchers
Pitcher strikeouts
Andrew AbbottLHP
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Projection
4.3
Ensemble: 4.2
Market line
3.5
Model edge
+0.8
Sportsbook
FanDuel
Pitcher K%
16.5%
Whiff%
20.4%
Contact%
79.6%
Opponent K%
20.7%
WHIP
1.4
Full analysis
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Compare projections, sportsbook lines, model edge, and performance metrics.
Visible results
30
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
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Active book: FanDuel
| Rank | Pitcher | Opponent | Result | Model | Book | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |   Cade Cavalli View analysis | @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.67 | 5.5 | +0.2 | A+ | 8 | OVER | CORRECT | 38.6% | 36.3% | 19.8% | 1.25 | FanDuel |
| 02 |   Drew Rasmussen View analysis | @ Texas Rangers | 5.56 | 5.5 | +0.1 | A+ | 7 | OVER | CORRECT | 23.7% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 0.93 | FanDuel |
| 03 |   Parker Messick View analysis | vs Detroit Tigers | 6.28 | 6.5 | -0.2 | A+ | 12 | OVER | INCORRECT | 27.3% | 26.6% | 23.6% | 1.03 | FanDuel |
| 04 |   Braxton Ashcraft View analysis | vs Los Angeles Angels | 5.27 | 5.5 | -0.2 | A+ | 9 | OVER | INCORRECT | 20% | 22.2% | 25.6% | 1.12 | FanDuel |
| 05 |   Taj Bradley View analysis | @ Chicago White Sox | 5.88 | 6.5 | -0.6 | A+ | 6 | UNDER | CORRECT | 30.6% | 29.9% | 23.4% | 1.25 | FanDuel |
| 06 |   Jacob deGrom View analysis | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 4.76 | 5.5 | -0.7 | A+ | 7 | OVER | INCORRECT | 34.4% | 35.2% | 16.9% | 1.12 | FanDuel |
| 07 |   Ryan Gusto View analysis | vs Chicago Cubs | 4.3 | 3.5 | +0.8 | A | 5 | OVER | CORRECT | 17.8% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 1.35 | FanDuel |
| 08 |   Javier Assad View analysis | @ Miami Marlins | 4.04 | 3.5 | +0.5 | A | 3 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 18.6% | 19.5% | 23% | 1.14 | FanDuel |
| 09 |   Matthew Liberatore View analysis | @ Colorado Rockies | 5.88 | 5.5 | +0.4 | A | 3 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 30.1% | 26.2% | 22.3% | 1.49 | FanDuel |
| 10 |   Yusei Kikuchi View analysis | @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.39 | 5.5 | -0.1 | A | 6 | OVER | INCORRECT | 20% | 25.3% | 24.3% | 1.69 | FanDuel |
| 11 |   Zac Thornton View analysis | vs San Francisco Giants | 4.36 | 4.5 | -0.1 | A | 6 | OVER | INCORRECT | 18.9% | 17.1% | 25.9% | 1.06 | FanDuel |
| 12 |   Sonny Gray View analysis | @ Baltimore Orioles | 5.21 | 5.5 | -0.3 | A | 7 | OVER | INCORRECT | 24% | 26.1% | 24.4% | 1.15 | FanDuel |
| 13 |   Robbie Ray View analysis | vs New York Yankees | 5.2 | 5.5 | -0.3 | A | 1 | UNDER | CORRECT | 17.1% | 26.4% | 24.8% | 1.31 | FanDuel |
| 14 |   Brandon Pfaadt View analysis | @ Houston Astros | 4.19 | 4.5 | -0.3 | A | 4 | UNDER | CORRECT | 17.2% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 1.2 | FanDuel |
| 15 |   Zack Wheeler View analysis | vs Atlanta Braves | 6.1 | 6.5 | -0.4 | A | 9 | OVER | INCORRECT | 23.1% | 28.7% | 20.8% | 0.98 | FanDuel |
| 16 |   Dustin May View analysis | @ Cincinnati Reds | 4.91 | 5.5 | -0.6 | A | 5 | UNDER | CORRECT | 18.2% | 21.9% | 25.8% | 1.29 | FanDuel |
| 17 |   Mason Adams View analysis | vs St. Louis Cardinals | 5 | 3.5 | +1.5 | B+ | 7 | OVER | CORRECT | 26.3% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 1.47 | FanDuel |
| 18 |   Jeffrey Springs View analysis | @ Seattle Mariners | 4.4 | 3.5 | +0.9 | B+ | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 12.2% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 1.45 | FanDuel |
| 19 | Andrew Abbott View analysis | vs Milwaukee Brewers | 4.31 | 3.5 | +0.8 | B+ | 5 | OVER | CORRECT | 16.5% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 1.4 | FanDuel |
| 20 |   Anthony Kay View analysis | vs Minnesota Twins | 4.29 | 3.5 | +0.8 | B+ | 3 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 19.5% | 24.7% | 19.3% | 1.35 | FanDuel |
| 21 |   Max Scherzer View analysis | @ Kansas City Royals | 4 | 3.5 | +0.5 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 21.3% | 24% | 20.9% | 1.58 | FanDuel |
| 22 |   Framber Valdez View analysis | @ Cleveland Guardians | 3.89 | 3.5 | +0.4 | B+ | 3 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 13.7% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 1.39 | FanDuel |
| 23 |   Anthony Molina View analysis | @ New York Mets | 3.85 | 3.5 | +0.4 | B+ | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 18% | 27.2% | 21.7% | 1.05 | FanDuel |
| 24 |   Seth Lugo View analysis | vs Toronto Blue Jays | 3.79 | 3.5 | +0.3 | B+ | 1 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 16.7% | 17.6% | 17% | 1.38 | FanDuel |
| 25 |   Martín Pérez View analysis | @ Philadelphia Phillies | 3.71 | 3.5 | +0.2 | B+ | 3 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 15.8% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 1.19 | FanDuel |
| 26 |   Ethan Pecko View analysis | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.6 | 3.5 | +0.1 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 15.3% | 28.1% | 18.9% | 1.69 | FanDuel |
| 27 |   Carlos Rodón View analysis | @ San Diego Padres | 4.6 | 4.5 | +0.1 | B+ | 7 | OVER | CORRECT | 22.9% | 29.7% | 21.3% | 1.23 | FanDuel |
| 28 |   Chris Bassitt View analysis | vs Boston Red Sox | 4.21 | 4.5 | -0.3 | B+ | 6 | OVER | INCORRECT | 17.8% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 1.62 | FanDuel |
| 29 |   Tyler Glasnow View analysis | vs Washington Nationals | 6.59 | 7.5 | -0.9 | B+ | 8 | OVER | INCORRECT | 29.5% | 27.8% | 22.6% | 0.84 | FanDuel |
| 30 |   George Kirby View analysis | vs Athletics | 4.5 | 5.5 | -1.0 | B+ | 5 | UNDER | CORRECT | 15.1% | 21.3% | 22.6% | 1.31 | FanDuel |
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