MLB pitcher strikeout

Cade Cavalli

@ Los Angeles Dodgers2026-09-05FanDuelRHP

Projection

5.7

Ensemble: 6.2

Market line

5.5

FanDuel

Model edge

No qualifying edge

70% (7/10)· 1U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

A+

100/100

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Pitcher K%

38.6%

Whiff%

36.3%

CSW%

34.7%

WHIP

1.25

Avg IP

Avg pitches

Last 5 avg Ks

7.4

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

30%

Team chase

28.3%

Recent chase

27.7%

Recent contact

76.4%

Recent K% (7d)

13.1%

Opp K% vs RHP

20%

Opp K% vs LHP

21.1%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

5.5

FanDuel

Model projection

5.7

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Ks

6.8

Selected starts

Average margin

+1.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

70% (7/10)· 1U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

5.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 5.5Model 5.7

Sep 5

@ LAD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-4.5

Aug 29

vs MIA

OVER

Strikeouts

+2.5

Aug 24

vs COL

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Aug 19

@ TEX

OVER

Strikeouts

+5.5

Aug 13

vs CHC

OVER

Strikeouts

+4.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

15.5

Pinnacle

Model projection

15.6

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Outs

16.4

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.9

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

80% (8/10)· 2U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

15.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 15.5Model 15.6

Sep 5

@ LAD

UNDER

Outs

-13.5

Aug 29

vs MIA

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Aug 24

vs COL

OVER

Outs

+2.5

Aug 19

@ TEX

OVER

Outs

+2.5

Aug 13

vs CHC

OVER

Outs

+8.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

No prior starts found against Los Angeles Dodgers.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
FanDuel	5.5	-138	+108	+0.2	-0.2	—
DraftKings	5.5	-132	+104	+0.2	-0.2	—
Pinnacle	5.5	-139	+105	+0.2	-0.2	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

84.2%

5+ Ks

68.3%

6+ Ks

49.2%Line

7+ Ks

30.1%

8+ Ks

15.7%

9+ Ks

7.2%

10+ Ks

2.9%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	32.1%	18.9%	18.7%	97.1
Knuckle Curve	25.1%	34.2%	26.8%	86.9
Sweeper	15%	36.4%	37.6%	86.7
Sinker	10.9%	10.1%	11.5%	96.3
Cutter	10%	14.1%	3.6%	93.5
Changeup	6.8%	29.5%	8.8%	89.2

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

62.9%

2-Strike Foul%

19.9%

2-Strike Contact%

61.7%

Expected Ks

34.2

K Luck

+9.8

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	25	52%	44%
1-2	40	65%	32.5%
2-2	29	65.5%	34.5%
3-2 (full)	15	60%	40%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Knuckle Curve	Sweeper	Sinker	Cutter	Changeup
Tommy EdmanS	26.8%	17.2%	28.2% vs R: 21.3%	—	16.7% vs R: 11.1%	10.5% vs R: 12.5%	10% vs R: 11.1%	13.2% vs R: 11.1%
Freddie FreemanL	18.4%	15.5%	14.8% vs R: 12.4%	13.3% vs R: 14.3%	22.6% vs R: 26.9%	12.6% vs R: 11.5%	8.5% vs R: 11.4%	7.7% vs R: 8.1%
Mookie BettsR	8.4%	12.7%	8.4% vs R: 7.6%	16.7% vs R: 20%	6.7% vs R: 8.3%	9.8% vs R: 10.2%	19.2% vs R: 25%	13.3% vs R: 18.5%
Kyle TuckerL	17.8%	17.5%	14.4% vs R: 12.8%	0% vs R: 0%	23.3% vs R: 40.9%	20% vs R: 19%	21.1% vs R: 21.4%	13.2% vs R: 12.4%
Teoscar HernándezR	21.5%	29.8%	17.9% vs R: 20%	16.7% vs R: 25%	34% vs R: 35.7%	24.1% vs R: 29.5%	23.3% vs R: 29.4%	18.2% vs R: 19.4%
Hunter FeducciaL	14.3%	26.8%	20.5% vs R: 23%	45.5% vs R: 50%	14.3% vs R: 14.3%	18.8% vs R: 22.2%	0% vs R: 0%	31.4% vs R: 31%
Alex FreelandS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Alex CallR	—	—	11.1%	—	11.1%	11.8%	15.4%	5%
Enrique HernándezR	24%	36.4%	13.3% vs R: 100%	—	—	0%	0%	20%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Knuckle Curve	Sweeper	Sinker	Cutter	Changeup
Tommy EdmanS	17.3% vs R: 13%	—	26.3% vs R: 28.6%	2.7% vs R: 4%	5% vs R: 6.9%	23% vs R: 18.4%
Freddie FreemanL	17% vs R: 14%	30.4% vs R: 18.8%	24.4% vs R: 21.6%	17.9% vs R: 22.6%	15.3% vs R: 14.1%	20.6% vs R: 22.3%
Mookie BettsR	5.4% vs R: 6.4%	11.1% vs R: 20%	18% vs R: 21.4%	3.9% vs R: 4.4%	10.7% vs R: 13.6%	16.7% vs R: 20.8%
Kyle TuckerL	17.1% vs R: 16.1%	16.7% vs R: 20%	29.2% vs R: 39.1%	5.4% vs R: 9.7%	13% vs R: 11.6%	26.2% vs R: 26.4%
Teoscar HernándezR	21.6% vs R: 22.5%	44.4% vs R: 42.9%	39.7% vs R: 39.6%	14% vs R: 15.2%	29.6% vs R: 35.7%	38.5% vs R: 35.3%
Hunter FeducciaL	11.1% vs R: 12.2%	40% vs R: 44.4%	23.8% vs R: 20%	15.2% vs R: 18.2%	18.2% vs R: 18.8%	36.7% vs R: 36.6%
Alex FreelandS	—	—	—	—	—	—
Alex CallR	20.2%	—	7.1%	5.8%	5.6%	16.7%
Enrique HernándezR	13.3% vs R: 25%	—	—	11.1%	33.3%	27.3%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Hunter Feduccia	1	0	0%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Tommy Edman	30.9%	29.5%	17.3%	78.2%
Freddie Freeman	31.9%	35%	14%	77%
Mookie Betts	19.3%	24.3%	9.6%	90.5%
Kyle Tucker	23.9%	18.9%	9.3%	84.6%
Teoscar Hernández	33.5%	34%	25%	67.7%
Hunter Feduccia	23.6%	22.2%	21.1%	87.5%
Alex Freeland	22.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Alex Call	30.4%	32.1%	N/A	69.6%
Enrique Hernández	38.8%	25.7%	36.8%	56.2%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-12	New York Yankees	5.9	5
2026-07-17	Athletics	5.6	9
2026-07-22	Colorado Rockies	7.7	8
2026-07-28	Toronto Blue Jays	4.8	3
2026-08-02	Atlanta Braves	5.2	3
2026-08-07	Cincinnati Reds	7.3	8
2026-08-13	Chicago Cubs	7	10
2026-08-19	Texas Rangers	6.8	11
2026-08-24	Colorado Rockies	9	7
2026-08-29	Miami Marlins	9.5	8
2026-09-05	Los Angeles Dodgers	5.67	8

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

✓Pitcher K% is 38.6%

✓Whiff rate is 36.3%

✓CSW rate is 34.7%

!Opponent K% is 19.8%

✓Average pitch count is 91

!WHIP is 1.25

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-09-05	Los Angeles Dodgers	Away	0.2	1	19	1.2	—	—
2026-08-29	Miami Marlins	Home	4	8	70	1.2	12	66.7%
2026-08-24	Colorado Rockies	Home	6	7	93	1.21	15	46.7%
2026-08-19	Texas Rangers	Away	6	11	84	1.22	14	78.6%
2026-08-13	Chicago Cubs	Home	8	10	103	1.24	14	71.4%
2026-08-07	Cincinnati Reds	Home	6	8	100	1.3	15	53.3%
2026-08-02	Atlanta Braves	Away	6	3	90	1.29	12	25%
2026-07-28	Toronto Blue Jays	Home	6	3	98	1.29	13	23.1%
2026-07-22	Colorado Rockies	Away	6	8	90	1.29	13	61.5%
2026-07-17	Athletics	Away	6	9	95	1.31	15	60%