Daily model board
MLB STRIKEOUT DASHBOARD
Monday, July 20, 2026
Pitchers
30
Average edge
-0.16
Model opportunities
TOP EDGES ON THE BOARD
Showing FanDuel lines and ranking pitchers by model edge.
Loaded
30 pitchers
Pitcher strikeouts
Jacob deGrom
vs Chicago White Sox
Projection
9.4
Market line
6.5
Model edge
+2.9
Sportsbook
FanDuel
Pitcher K%
32.8%
Whiff%
36.7%
Contact%
63.3%
Opponent K%
23.4%
WHIP
1.0
Full analysis
OPEN FULL REPORT
Pitcher strikeouts
Dylan Cease
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Projection
10.3
Market line
7.5
Model edge
+2.8
Sportsbook
FanDuel
Pitcher K%
36.3%
Whiff%
30.2%
Contact%
69.8%
Opponent K%
17.7%
WHIP
1.2
Full analysis
OPEN FULL REPORT
Pitcher strikeouts
Jacob Misiorowski
vs New York Mets
Projection
11.2
Market line
8.5
Model edge
+2.7
Sportsbook
FanDuel
Pitcher K%
38.2%
Whiff%
36.5%
Contact%
63.5%
Opponent K%
20.6%
WHIP
0.8
Full analysis
OPEN FULL REPORT
Market scanner
ALL PITCHERS
Compare projections, sportsbook lines, model edge, and performance metrics.
Visible results
30
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Click a metric to sort. Click again to reverse.
Active book: FanDuel
| Rank | Pitcher | Opponent | Result | Model | Book | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Jacob deGrom View analysis | vs Chicago White Sox | 9.4 | 6.5 | +2.9 | A+ | 6 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 32.8% | 36.7% | 23.4% | 1.01 | FanDuel |
| 02 | Dylan Cease View analysis | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 10.3 | 7.5 | +2.8 | A+ | 7 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 36.3% | 30.2% | 17.7% | 1.18 | FanDuel |
| 03 | Jacob Misiorowski View analysis | vs New York Mets | 11.2 | 8.5 | +2.7 | A+ | 6 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 38.2% | 36.5% | 20.6% | 0.77 | FanDuel |
| 04 |   Cristopher Sánchez View analysis | vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 7.8 | 6.5 | +1.3 | A+ | 7 | OVER | CORRECT | 23.8% | 35.7% | 19.6% | 1.12 | FanDuel |
| 05 |   Joe Ryan View analysis | @ Cleveland Guardians | 7.4 | 6.5 | +0.9 | A+ | 3 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 26.4% | 28.8% | 20.7% | 1.04 | FanDuel |
| 06 |   Payton Tolle View analysis | vs Baltimore Orioles | 7.2 | 6.5 | +0.7 | A+ | 9 | OVER | CORRECT | 31.8% | 31.6% | 25% | 1.07 | FanDuel |
| 07 |   Ryan Weathers View analysis | vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.4 | 6.5 | -1.1 | A+ | 5 | UNDER | CORRECT | 24.8% | 31.2% | 24.4% | 1.2 | FanDuel |
| 08 |   Freddy Peralta View analysis | @ Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 5.5 | -1.5 | A+ | 6 | OVER | INCORRECT | 23.3% | 25.8% | 23% | 1.39 | FanDuel |
| 09 |   Ronel Blanco View analysis | vs Miami Marlins | 8.3 | -- | -- | A+ | 8 | -- | -- | 42.1% | 36.7% | 19.4% | 1.07 | -- |
| 10 |   Andrew Abbott View analysis | @ Seattle Mariners | 5.7 | 4.5 | +1.2 | A | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 22.6% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 1.42 | FanDuel |
| 11 |   Braxton Ashcraft View analysis | @ New York Yankees | 7 | 6.5 | +0.5 | A | 2 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 29.5% | 25.6% | 23% | 1.1 | FanDuel |
| 12 |   Michael Wacha View analysis | vs San Francisco Giants | 4.9 | 4.5 | +0.4 | A | 5 | OVER | CORRECT | 22.7% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 1.16 | FanDuel |
| 13 |   Jameson Taillon View analysis | vs Detroit Tigers | 3.7 | 3.5 | +0.2 | A | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 23.7% | 27.9% | 23.7% | 1.24 | FanDuel |
| 14 |   Emmet Sheehan View analysis | @ Philadelphia Phillies | 5.6 | 5.5 | +0.1 | A | 6 | OVER | CORRECT | 25.5% | 30.8% | 22.7% | 1.24 | FanDuel |
| 15 |   Shane Baz View analysis | @ Boston Red Sox | 5.5 | 5.5 | +0.0 | A | 6 | OVER | -- | 23.4% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 1.38 | FanDuel |
| 16 |   George Kirby View analysis | vs Cincinnati Reds | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.2 | A | 6 | UNDER | CORRECT | 23.6% | 24.8% | 24.2% | 1.3 | FanDuel |
| 17 |   Kyle Leahy View analysis | @ Los Angeles Angels | 3.3 | 4.5 | -1.2 | A | 4 | UNDER | CORRECT | 21.3% | 20.6% | 24.5% | 1.49 | FanDuel |
| 18 |   Nick Martinez View analysis | @ Toronto Blue Jays | 0.5 | 3.5 | -3.0 | A | 0 | UNDER | CORRECT | 10.7% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 1.15 | FanDuel |
| 19 |   José Soriano View analysis | vs St. Louis Cardinals | 4.8 | 4.5 | +0.3 | B+ | 7 | OVER | CORRECT | 22.4% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 1.27 | FanDuel |
| 20 |   Jack Flaherty View analysis | @ Chicago Cubs | 5.7 | 5.5 | +0.2 | B+ | 4 | UNDER | INCORRECT | 26% | 27.6% | 21.5% | 1.52 | FanDuel |
| 21 |   Kyle Freeland View analysis | vs Washington Nationals | 4.5 | 4.5 | +0.0 | B+ | 4 | UNDER | -- | 21% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 1.62 | FanDuel |
| 22 |   Janson Junk View analysis | @ Houston Astros | 3.4 | 3.5 | -0.1 | B+ | 3 | UNDER | CORRECT | 15.8% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 1.21 | FanDuel |
| 23 |   JP Sears View analysis | @ Atlanta Braves | 2.5 | 3.5 | -1.0 | B+ | 3 | UNDER | CORRECT | 19.2% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 1.41 | FanDuel |
| 24 |   Jeffrey Springs View analysis | @ Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.4 | 3.5 | -1.1 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | CORRECT | 16.4% | 27.8% | 17.1% | 1.34 | FanDuel |
| 25 |   Bryce Elder View analysis | vs San Diego Padres | 2.3 | 3.5 | -1.2 | B+ | 4 | OVER | INCORRECT | 16.5% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 1.16 | FanDuel |
| 26 |   Tanner Bibee View analysis | vs Minnesota Twins | 3.2 | 4.5 | -1.3 | B+ | 5 | OVER | INCORRECT | 11.9% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 1.16 | FanDuel |
| 27 |   Andrew Alvarez View analysis | @ Colorado Rockies | 3.1 | 4.5 | -1.4 | B+ | 2 | UNDER | CORRECT | 18.6% | 24.2% | 22.2% | 1.44 | FanDuel |
| 28 |   Trevor McDonald View analysis | @ Kansas City Royals | 1.9 | 3.5 | -1.6 | B+ | 3 | UNDER | CORRECT | 14.3% | 16.8% | 22% | 1.3 | FanDuel |
| 29 |   Erick Fedde View analysis | @ Texas Rangers | 1.9 | 3.5 | -1.6 | B+ | 6 | OVER | INCORRECT | 18.6% | 22.6% | 22% | 1.41 | FanDuel |
| 30 |   Mitch Bratt View analysis | vs Athletics | 0.7 | 3.5 | -2.8 | B+ | 4 | OVER | INCORRECT | 13.7% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 1.59 | FanDuel |