MLB pitcher strikeout
Braxton Ashcraft
Projection
7
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+1.5
Over 5.5
Recommendation
Over 5.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A
88/100
Pitcher K%
29.5%
Whiff%
25.6%
CSW%
29.2%
WHIP
1.1
Avg IP
5.2
Avg pitches
89.8
Last 5 avg Ks
6.6
Games logged
20
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
27.9%
Team chase
30.6%
Recent chase
30.5%
Recent contact
78.8%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model projection
7
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Ks
6.5
Selected starts
Average margin
+1.0
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Jul 20
New York Yankees
Strikeouts
2
-3.5
Jul 11
Milwaukee Brewers
Strikeouts
6
+0.5
Jul 4
Washington Nationals
Strikeouts
7
+1.5
Jun 29
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
8
+2.5
Jun 24
Seattle Mariners
Strikeouts
10
+4.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | -115 | -120 | +1.5 | -1.5 | Best Over |
| Caesars | 6.5 | -127 | -- | +0.5 | -0.5 | — |
| FanDuel | 6.5 | +176 | -- | +0.5 | -0.5 | — |
| BetMGM | 6.5 | -125 | -105 | +0.5 | -0.5 | — |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -130 | +100 | +0.5 | -0.5 | — |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 | +190 | -- | +0.5 | -0.5 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Ben Rice | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Jasson Domínguez | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ryan McMahon | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Austin Wells | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| José Caballero | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 17.6% | 20.3% | 11.1% | 84.4% |
| Ben Rice | 26.2% | 27.3% | 21.1% | 81.6% |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 35.2% | 31% | 33.3% | 63.3% |
| Cody Bellinger | 31.5% | 38.3% | 22.2% | 82.6% |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 29.5% | 31.6% | 34.4% | 76.5% |
| Jasson Domínguez | 37.1% | 37.7% | 21.6% | 82.1% |
| Ryan McMahon | 30.3% | 22.2% | 26.1% | 76.5% |
| Austin Wells | 30.9% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 76.2% |
| José Caballero | 37.5% | 43.9% | 13.8% | 85.7% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.6 | 6 |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees | 7 | 2 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees | Away | 3 | 2 | 74 | 1.17 |
| 2026-07-11 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 5 | 6 | 98 | 1.11 |
| 2026-07-04 | Washington Nationals | Away | 5.2 | 7 | 94 | 1.1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Philadelphia Phillies | Away | 6 | 8 | 97 | 1.08 |
| 2026-06-24 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 6 | 10 | 86 | 1.09 |
| 2026-06-17 | Athletics | Away | 6 | 7 | 93 | 1.1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Miami Marlins | Home | 5 | 4 | 90 | 1.1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Atlanta Braves | Away | 5 | 5 | 86 | 1.08 |
| 2026-05-31 | Minnesota Twins | Home | 6 | 11 | 80 | 1.03 |
| 2026-05-26 | Chicago Cubs | Home | 6.1 | 5 | 95 | 1.05 |