MLB pitcher strikeout
Michael Wacha
Projection
4.9
Model strikeouts
Market line
4.5
Bovada
Model edge
+0.4
Over 4.5
Recommendation
Over 4.5
Bovada
Confidence
A
85/100
Pitcher K%
22.7%
Whiff%
19.1%
CSW%
27.5%
WHIP
1.16
Avg IP
6.2
Avg pitches
97.2
Last 5 avg Ks
5.8
Games logged
20
Matchup K%
19%
Platoon K%
18.7%
Team chase
33.4%
Recent chase
31.1%
Recent contact
79.8%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
4.5
Bovada
Model projection
4.9
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10 overs
Average Ks
4.6
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.1
Vs selected line
Current streak
5
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
4.5
Over
7
Under
3
Push
0
Jul 20
San Francisco Giants
Strikeouts
5
+0.5
Jul 9
New York Mets
Strikeouts
5
+0.5
Jul 4
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
7
+2.5
Jun 27
Chicago White Sox
Strikeouts
7
+2.5
Jun 22
Tampa Bay Rays
Strikeouts
5
+0.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.5 | +105 | -135 | +0.4 | -0.4 | Best Over |
| Caesars | 4.5 | -121 | -- | +0.4 | -0.4 | — |
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -125 | -105 | +0.4 | -0.4 | — |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | +128 | -- | +0.4 | -0.4 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | -115 | -115 | +0.4 | -0.4 | — |
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | -110 | -125 | +0.4 | -0.4 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 19 | 2 | 10.5% |
| Rafael Devers | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| Willy Adames | 10 | 2 | 20% |
| Heliot Ramos | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Casey Schmitt | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Bryce Eldridge | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Drew Gilbert | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Daniel Susac | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 33.3% | 28.9% | 7.5% | 95.6% |
| Bryce Eldridge | 26% | 20.2% | 31.6% | 73.8% |
| Casey Schmitt | 36.7% | 21.7% | 15% | 84.1% |
| Rafael Devers | 29.8% | 31.3% | 35% | 68.4% |
| Heliot Ramos | 39.3% | 44.8% | 36.8% | 69.1% |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 33% | 41% | 12.1% | 87.9% |
| Willy Adames | 34.9% | 35.2% | 26.3% | 78.3% |
| Drew Gilbert | 25.4% | 25.9% | 9.7% | 81.5% |
| Daniel Susac | 42.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets | 4 | 5 |
| 2026-07-20 | San Francisco Giants | 4.9 | 5 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | San Francisco Giants | Home | 6 | 5 | 96 | 1.17 |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets | Away | 4.2 | 5 | 104 | 1.19 |
| 2026-07-04 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 6 | 7 | 105 | 1.16 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 7.2 | 7 | 105 | 1.14 |
| 2026-06-22 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 7 | 5 | 99 | 1.16 |
| 2026-06-16 | Washington Nationals | Away | 6 | 3 | 90 | 1.17 |
| 2026-06-11 | Texas Rangers | Home | 7 | 2 | 102 | 1.16 |
| 2026-06-05 | Minnesota Twins | Away | 5.2 | 2 | 77 | 1.14 |
| 2026-05-31 | Texas Rangers | Away | 5 | 5 | 82 | 1.12 |
| 2026-05-25 | New York Yankees | Home | 7 | 5 | 93 | 1.02 |