MLB pitcher strikeout
Joe Ryan
Projection
7.4
Model strikeouts
Market line
3.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+3.9
Over 3.5
Recommendation
Over 3.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A+
93/100
Pitcher K%
26.4%
Whiff%
28.8%
CSW%
30.2%
WHIP
1.04
Avg IP
5.5
Avg pitches
96
Last 5 avg Ks
6.4
Games logged
21
Matchup K%
19.3%
Platoon K%
28%
Team chase
29.4%
Recent chase
30.3%
Recent contact
79%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
3.5
DraftKings
Model projection
7.4
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10 overs
Average Ks
7.0
Selected starts
Average margin
+3.5
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
3.5
Over
9
Under
1
Push
0
Jul 20
Cleveland Guardians
Strikeouts
3
-0.5
Jul 11
Los Angeles Angels
Strikeouts
6
+2.5
Jul 5
New York Yankees
Strikeouts
9
+5.5
Jun 30
Houston Astros
Strikeouts
5
+1.5
Jun 24
Los Angeles Dodgers
Strikeouts
9
+5.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.5 | -110 | -120 | +3.9 | -3.9 | Best Over |
| ESPN BET | 3.5 | -125 | -110 | +3.9 | -3.9 | — |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | -135 | +100 | +1.9 | -1.9 | — |
| FanDuel | 6.5 | -118 | -108 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -145 | +110 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| Caesars | 6.5 | -122 | -- | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 28 | 3 | 10.7% |
| Brayan Rocchio | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Daniel Schneemann | 10 | 4 | 40% |
| Rhys Hoskins | 8 | 2 | 25% |
| Patrick Bailey | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Travis Bazzana | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Chase DeLauter | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| David Fry | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Petey Halpin | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 21.8% | 21.2% | 6.1% | 94.7% |
| Travis Bazzana | 26.2% | 26% | 31% | 77.2% |
| Chase DeLauter | 20.9% | 19.8% | 12.5% | 92.2% |
| Brayan Rocchio | 34.6% | 32.3% | 20% | 80.6% |
| Rhys Hoskins | 21.4% | 31.2% | 35% | 71.4% |
| Daniel Schneemann | 32.9% | 24.4% | 31.6% | 73.7% |
| David Fry | 29.1% | 36.1% | N/A | 67.9% |
| Patrick Bailey | 34.6% | 28.9% | 20% | 79.1% |
| Petey Halpin | 42.7% | 52.4% | 25% | 74.5% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Angels | 9.4 | 6 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians | 7.4 | 3 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 4 | 3 | 78 | 1.1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 6 | 6 | 94 | 1.05 |
| 2026-07-05 | New York Yankees | Away | 7 | 9 | 106 | 1.04 |
| 2026-06-30 | Houston Astros | Away | 4 | 5 | 91 | 1.07 |
| 2026-06-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Home | 6 | 9 | 98 | 1.03 |
| 2026-06-18 | Texas Rangers | Away | 5 | 7 | 97 | 1 |
| 2026-06-12 | St. Louis Cardinals | Home | 6 | 8 | 102 | 1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 6 | 5 | 102 | 1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Chicago White Sox | Home | 6 | 9 | 98 | 0.97 |
| 2026-05-26 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 7.2 | 9 | 98 | 0.93 |