MLB pitcher strikeout
Tanner Bibee
Projection
3.2
Model strikeouts
Market line
6.5
Caesars
Model edge
+3.3
Under 6.5
Recommendation
Under 6.5
Caesars
Confidence
B+
75/100
Pitcher K%
11.9%
Whiff%
15.9%
CSW%
24.8%
WHIP
1.16
Avg IP
6.2
Avg pitches
88
Last 5 avg Ks
2.8
Games logged
21
Matchup K%
18.7%
Platoon K%
18.8%
Team chase
30.9%
Recent chase
29.9%
Recent contact
77.8%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
6.5
Caesars
Model projection
3.2
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10 overs
Average Ks
4.0
Selected starts
Average margin
-2.5
Vs selected line
Current streak
5
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
6.5
Over
2
Under
8
Push
0
Jul 20
Minnesota Twins
Strikeouts
5
-1.5
Jul 11
Miami Marlins
Strikeouts
3
-3.5
Jul 5
Chicago White Sox
Strikeouts
1
-5.5
Jun 30
Texas Rangers
Strikeouts
2
-4.5
Jun 24
Chicago White Sox
Strikeouts
3
-3.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -670 | -- | -1.3 | +1.3 | — |
| Caesars | 6.5 | +136 | -- | -3.3 | +3.3 | Best Under |
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -139 | +108 | -1.3 | +1.3 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | -120 | -110 | -1.3 | +1.3 | — |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -120 | -110 | -1.3 | +1.3 | — |
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | -130 | -110 | -1.3 | +1.3 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| Royce Lewis | 18 | 2 | 11.1% |
| Byron Buxton | 14 | 5 | 35.7% |
| Brooks Lee | 14 | 1 | 7.1% |
| Kody Clemens | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Victor Caratini | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Alan Roden | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Josh Bell | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Ryan Kreidler | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 30% | 26.8% | 18.8% | 82.8% |
| Byron Buxton | 35.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kody Clemens | 33% | 36.7% | 35.1% | 69.5% |
| Josh Bell | 32.2% | 25.6% | 21.6% | 82.4% |
| Royce Lewis | 33.5% | 31.6% | 18.8% | 73.6% |
| Victor Caratini | 25.9% | 27.3% | 10% | 79.4% |
| Brooks Lee | 32.7% | 38.7% | 13.5% | 79.7% |
| Alan Roden | 27.8% | 27.8% | 16% | 79.1% |
| Ryan Kreidler | 28.2% | 24.4% | 27.3% | 76.2% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Minnesota Twins | 3.2 | 5 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Minnesota Twins | Home | 6 | 5 | 95 | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-11 | Miami Marlins | Away | 6.2 | 3 | 94 | 1.15 |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago White Sox | Home | 4 | 1 | 62 | 1.14 |
| 2026-06-30 | Texas Rangers | Home | 7 | 2 | 91 | 1.11 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 6 | 3 | 89 | 1.14 |
| 2026-06-19 | Houston Astros | Away | 5.1 | 7 | 95 | 1.18 |
| 2026-06-12 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 7 | 8 | 91 | 1.18 |
| 2026-06-06 | Texas Rangers | Away | 8 | 3 | 87 | 1.23 |
| 2026-05-31 | Boston Red Sox | Home | 6 | 5 | 90 | 1.3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Washington Nationals | Home | 3 | 3 | 61 | 1.32 |