MLB pitcher strikeout
Jameson Taillon
Projection
3.7
Model strikeouts
Market line
2.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+1.2
Over 2.5
Recommendation
Over 2.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A
85/100
Pitcher K%
23.7%
Whiff%
27.9%
CSW%
27.3%
WHIP
1.24
Avg IP
4.7
Avg pitches
81.8
Last 5 avg Ks
4.6
Games logged
14
Matchup K%
25.5%
Platoon K%
19.9%
Team chase
26.8%
Recent chase
27.9%
Recent contact
75.5%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
2.5
DraftKings
Model projection
3.7
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10 overs
Average Ks
4.4
Selected starts
Average margin
+1.9
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
2.5
Over
8
Under
2
Push
0
Jul 20
Detroit Tigers
Strikeouts
6
+3.5
Jun 7
San Francisco Giants
Strikeouts
2
-0.5
Jun 2
Athletics
Strikeouts
6
+3.5
May 27
Pittsburgh Pirates
Strikeouts
4
+1.5
May 22
Houston Astros
Strikeouts
5
+2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.5 | +105 | -145 | +1.2 | -1.2 | Best Over |
| Caesars | 3.5 | -159 | -- | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| ESPN BET | 3.5 | -165 | +120 | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| Bovada | 3.5 | -180 | +135 | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| FanDuel | 3.5 | +200 | -- | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | +130 | -175 | -0.8 | +0.8 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| Kerry Carpenter | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Spencer Torkelson | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Gleyber Torres | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Zach McKinstry | 9 | 0 | 0% |
| Colt Keith | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| James Outman | 4 | 2 | 50% |
| Kevin McGonigle | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Dillon Dingler | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 17.2% | 23.2% | 15% | 80.8% |
| Gleyber Torres | 17% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Colt Keith | 25.1% | 27.9% | 22.7% | 81.6% |
| Riley Greene | 24.5% | 23.3% | 29.7% | 64.8% |
| Dillon Dingler | 34% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 89.1% |
| Kerry Carpenter | 38.6% | 37.2% | 29.2% | 78.7% |
| Spencer Torkelson | 24.9% | 34.2% | 33.3% | 67.1% |
| Zach McKinstry | 29.5% | 26.7% | 21.9% | 82.1% |
| James Outman | 30.1% | 27.3% | 43.5% | 59.5% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Detroit Tigers | 3.7 | 6 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 4.1 | 6 | 75 | 1.32 |
| 2026-06-07 | San Francisco Giants | Home | 1 | 2 | 35 | 1.3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Athletics | Home | 6.1 | 6 | 99 | 1.26 |
| 2026-05-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Away | 5 | 4 | 75 | 1.28 |
| 2026-05-22 | Houston Astros | Home | 4.2 | 5 | 90 | 1.27 |
| 2026-05-16 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 5 | 2 | 90 | 1.2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Texas Rangers | Away | 5.1 | 4 | 90 | 1.14 |
| 2026-05-05 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 5.2 | 5 | 100 | 1.14 |
| 2026-04-29 | San Diego Padres | Away | 7 | 6 | 95 | 1.15 |
| 2026-04-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Away | 5 | 4 | 85 | 1.3 |