MLB pitcher strikeout
Jacob deGrom
Projection
9.4
Model strikeouts
Market line
6.5
FanDuel
Model edge
+2.9
Over 6.5
Recommendation
Over 6.5
FanDuel
Confidence
A+
100/100
Pitcher K%
32.8%
Whiff%
36.7%
CSW%
32.9%
WHIP
1.01
Avg IP
5.7
Avg pitches
92.2
Last 5 avg Ks
7.8
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
30%
Team chase
28.7%
Recent chase
30.7%
Recent contact
75.2%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
6.5
FanDuel
Model projection
9.4
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10 overs
Average Ks
6.7
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.2
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
6.5
Over
5
Under
5
Push
0
Jul 20
Chicago White Sox
Strikeouts
6
-0.5
Jul 7
Los Angeles Angels
Strikeouts
7
+0.5
Jun 30
Cleveland Guardians
Strikeouts
9
+2.5
Jun 24
Miami Marlins
Strikeouts
8
+1.5
Jun 19
San Diego Padres
Strikeouts
9
+2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.5 | +114 | -- | +2.9 | -2.9 | Best Over |
| Caesars | 6.5 | +122 | -- | +2.9 | -2.9 | — |
| DraftKings | 6.5 | +130 | -175 | +2.9 | -2.9 | — |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -160 | +120 | +2.9 | -2.9 | — |
| BetMGM | 6.5 | -155 | +115 | +2.9 | -2.9 | — |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 | +130 | -180 | +2.9 | -2.9 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 12 | 0 | 0% |
| Chase Meidroth | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Munetaka Murakami | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Miguel Vargas | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Colson Montgomery | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Kyle Teel | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Braden Montgomery | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Tristan Peters | 2 | 1 | 50% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Antonacci | 21.9% | 24.3% | 14.3% | 93% |
| Munetaka Murakami | 23.4% | 22.2% | 38.7% | 44.9% |
| Miguel Vargas | 23.2% | 35.7% | 15.4% | 82.2% |
| Colson Montgomery | 34% | 35.3% | 44.7% | 62.1% |
| Andrew Benintendi | 30% | 22.4% | 4.2% | 81% |
| Kyle Teel | 33.1% | 40% | 38.1% | 75% |
| Braden Montgomery | 29.2% | 30.5% | 13.9% | 76.5% |
| Tristan Peters | 34.7% | 34% | 17.9% | 78.8% |
| Chase Meidroth | 28.8% | 31.7% | 25.8% | 83.3% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Angels | 9.6 | 7 |
| 2026-07-20 | Chicago White Sox | 9.4 | 6 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Chicago White Sox | Home | 4.2 | 6 | 97 | 1.05 |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 5 | 7 | 80 | 1.01 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 7 | 9 | 96 | 0.99 |
| 2026-06-24 | Miami Marlins | Away | 6 | 8 | 91 | 1.03 |
| 2026-06-19 | San Diego Padres | Home | 6 | 9 | 106 | 1.03 |
| 2026-06-13 | Boston Red Sox | Away | 6 | 5 | 90 | 0.99 |
| 2026-06-07 | Cleveland Guardians | Home | 6 | 6 | 87 | 0.99 |
| 2026-06-01 | St. Louis Cardinals | Away | 5 | 8 | 91 | 1.01 |
| 2026-05-27 | Houston Astros | Home | 6 | 6 | 97 | 1.01 |
| 2026-05-22 | Los Angeles Angels | Away | 3 | 3 | 65 | 1.02 |