MLB pitcher strikeout
George Kirby
Projection
6.3
Model strikeouts
Market line
6.5
BetMGM
Model edge
--
No qualifying edge
Recommendation
No recommendation
Confidence
A
80/100
Pitcher K%
23.6%
Whiff%
24.8%
CSW%
28%
WHIP
1.3
Avg IP
5.9
Avg pitches
91.1
Last 5 avg Ks
6.0
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
23.5%
Team chase
28.5%
Recent chase
28.2%
Recent contact
76.9%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
6.5
BetMGM
Model projection
6.3
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10 overs
Average Ks
5.8
Selected starts
Average margin
-0.7
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
6.5
Over
3
Under
7
Push
0
Jul 20
Cincinnati Reds
Strikeouts
6
-0.5
Jul 8
Miami Marlins
Strikeouts
7
+0.5
Jun 29
Los Angeles Angels
Strikeouts
7
+0.5
Jun 23
Pittsburgh Pirates
Strikeouts
5
-1.5
Jun 17
Baltimore Orioles
Strikeouts
5
-1.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 | +105 | -140 | -0.2 | +0.2 | — |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 | -110 | -125 | -0.2 | +0.2 | — |
| FanDuel | 6.5 | +186 | -- | -0.2 | +0.2 | — |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -125 | -105 | -0.2 | +0.2 | — |
| DraftKings | 6.5 | -133 | +105 | -0.2 | +0.2 | — |
| Caesars | 6.5 | -124 | -- | -0.2 | +0.2 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Bleday | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Elly De La Cruz | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Eugenio Suárez | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Sal Stewart | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Spencer Steer | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Tyler Stephenson | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Dane Myers | 2 | 1 | 50% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | 27.1% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 87.5% |
| Sal Stewart | 29.4% | 41.4% | 17.1% | 83.3% |
| JJ Bleday | 22.5% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 72% |
| Spencer Steer | 25% | 30.3% | 18.4% | 77.8% |
| Eugenio Suárez | 33.3% | 34.6% | 50% | 63% |
| Tyler Stephenson | 22.9% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 86.7% |
| Dane Myers | 23.1% | 28.1% | N/A | 63.2% |
| Edwin Arroyo | 40% | 32.7% | 14.3% | 79.6% |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 33.1% | 28% | N/A | 79.2% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Miami Marlins | 4.3 | 7 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cincinnati Reds | 6.3 | 6 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 6 | 6 | 80 | 1.28 |
| 2026-07-08 | Miami Marlins | Away | 6 | 7 | 86 | 1.32 |
| 2026-06-29 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 8 | 7 | 100 | 1.32 |
| 2026-06-23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Away | 6 | 5 | 91 | 1.34 |
| 2026-06-17 | Baltimore Orioles | Home | 6 | 5 | 92 | 1.31 |
| 2026-06-10 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 6 | 10 | 104 | 1.31 |
| 2026-06-03 | New York Mets | Home | 4 | 5 | 89 | 1.28 |
| 2026-05-29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 5.1 | 4 | 87 | 1.22 |
| 2026-05-23 | Kansas City Royals | Away | 6 | 3 | 92 | 1.21 |
| 2026-05-17 | San Diego Padres | Home | 5.2 | 6 | 98 | 1.18 |