MLB pitcher strikeout
Erick Fedde
Projection
1.9
Model strikeouts
Market line
4.5
BetMGM
Model edge
+2.6
Under 4.5
Recommendation
Under 4.5
BetMGM
Confidence
B+
75/100
Pitcher K%
18.6%
Whiff%
22.6%
CSW%
27.6%
WHIP
1.41
Avg IP
4.3
Avg pitches
74.6
Last 5 avg Ks
3.6
Games logged
20
Matchup K%
21.2%
Platoon K%
15.9%
Team chase
31.1%
Recent chase
28.8%
Recent contact
74.4%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
4.5
BetMGM
Model projection
1.9
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
10%
1 of 10 overs
Average Ks
3.5
Selected starts
Average margin
-1.0
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
4.5
Over
1
Under
9
Push
0
Jul 20
Texas Rangers
Strikeouts
6
+1.5
Jul 11
Athletics
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
Jul 5
Cleveland Guardians
Strikeouts
4
-0.5
Jun 30
Baltimore Orioles
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
Jun 24
Cleveland Guardians
Strikeouts
2
-2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.5 | +115 | -150 | -1.6 | +1.6 | — |
| Caesars | 3.5 | +109 | -- | -1.6 | +1.6 | — |
| DraftKings | 3.5 | +114 | -146 | -1.6 | +1.6 | — |
| FanDuel | 3.5 | +114 | -146 | -1.6 | +1.6 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | -110 | -120 | -2.6 | +2.6 | Best Under |
| ESPN BET | 3.5 | +110 | -155 | -1.6 | +1.6 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 34 | 5 | 14.7% |
| Joc Pederson | 10 | 4 | 40% |
| Wyatt Langford | 8 | 2 | 25% |
| Jake Burger | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Josh Jung | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Elias Díaz | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Ezequiel Duran | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Evan Carter | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Nicky Lopez | 1 | 1 | 100% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 29.8% | 32.7% | 28% | 76.9% |
| Wyatt Langford | 26.7% | 26.7% | 22.9% | 78.5% |
| Josh Jung | 28% | 24.6% | 20% | 81% |
| Brandon Nimmo | 27.9% | 25.8% | 28.6% | 76.3% |
| Jake Burger | 35.3% | 36.5% | 30.6% | 60.6% |
| Ezequiel Duran | 37.9% | 40% | 37.1% | 65.9% |
| Evan Carter | 19.5% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 77.8% |
| Elias Díaz | 40.2% | 31.6% | 31.2% | 66.7% |
| Nicky Lopez | 34.4% | 24.5% | 14.8% | 85.5% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Texas Rangers | 1.9 | 6 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Texas Rangers | Away | 4 | 6 | 64 | 1.4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Athletics | Home | 4 | 3 | 55 | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-05 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 5.1 | 4 | 89 | 1.45 |
| 2026-06-30 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 5 | 3 | 90 | 1.43 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cleveland Guardians | Home | 4 | 2 | 75 | 1.42 |
| 2026-06-19 | Detroit Tigers | Away | 4.2 | 4 | 78 | 1.39 |
| 2026-06-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Home | 2.2 | 4 | 58 | 1.41 |
| 2026-06-09 | Atlanta Braves | Home | 5 | 4 | 88 | 1.39 |
| 2026-06-03 | Minnesota Twins | Away | 5 | 2 | 61 | 1.41 |
| 2026-05-29 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 4 | 3 | 84 | 1.48 |