MLB pitcher strikeout
Jacob Misiorowski
Projection
11.2
Model strikeouts
Market line
8.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+2.7
Over 8.5
Recommendation
Over 8.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A+
100/100
Pitcher K%
38.2%
Whiff%
36.5%
CSW%
34.6%
WHIP
0.77
Avg IP
6.4
Avg pitches
91.1
Last 5 avg Ks
8.4
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
41.9%
Team chase
29.1%
Recent chase
30.4%
Recent contact
78%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
8.5
DraftKings
Model projection
11.2
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10 overs
Average Ks
9.3
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.8
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
8.5
Over
4
Under
6
Push
0
Jul 20
New York Mets
Strikeouts
6
-2.5
Jul 7
St. Louis Cardinals
Strikeouts
11
+2.5
Jul 2
Cincinnati Reds
Strikeouts
10
+1.5
Jun 26
Chicago Cubs
Strikeouts
8
-0.5
Jun 19
Atlanta Braves
Strikeouts
7
-1.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 8.5 | +115 | -- | +2.7 | -2.7 | Best Over |
| Caesars | 8.5 | +114 | -- | +2.7 | -2.7 | — |
| FanDuel | 8.5 | +120 | -154 | +2.7 | -2.7 | — |
| BetMGM | 8.5 | +105 | -145 | +2.7 | -2.7 | — |
| Bovada | 8.5 | +125 | -165 | +2.7 | -2.7 | — |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 | +105 | -150 | +2.7 | -2.7 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Francisco Lindor | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Jorge Polanco | 4 | 2 | 50% |
| A.J. Ewing | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Bo Bichette | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Jared Young | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Luis Robert Jr. | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| Brett Baty | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Ewing | 28.4% | 35.4% | 36.6% | 65.8% |
| Juan Soto | 18.8% | 23% | 20.5% | 76.4% |
| Bo Bichette | 38.6% | 34.4% | 13.8% | 86.9% |
| Francisco Lindor | 30.8% | 33.3% | 15.2% | 77.9% |
| Jorge Polanco | N/A | 36.1% | 19% | 84.8% |
| Jared Young | 26.8% | 21.7% | 13% | 81% |
| Luis Robert Jr. | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Brett Baty | 26.4% | 34.5% | 24.2% | 77.6% |
| Francisco Alvarez | 33.6% | 24.7% | 25% | 73.5% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | St. Louis Cardinals | 11.4 | 11 |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Mets | 11.2 | 6 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | New York Mets | Home | 4 | 6 | 65 | 0.77 |
| 2026-07-07 | St. Louis Cardinals | Away | 7 | 11 | 103 | 0.76 |
| 2026-07-02 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 5 | 10 | 82 | 0.78 |
| 2026-06-26 | Chicago Cubs | Home | 6 | 8 | 107 | 0.77 |
| 2026-06-19 | Atlanta Braves | Away | 6 | 7 | 91 | 0.75 |
| 2026-06-12 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 9 | 15 | 95 | 0.74 |
| 2026-06-06 | Colorado Rockies | Away | 7 | 8 | 98 | 0.81 |
| 2026-05-31 | Houston Astros | Away | 7 | 8 | 88 | 0.79 |
| 2026-05-25 | St. Louis Cardinals | Home | 7 | 12 | 96 | 0.83 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chicago Cubs | Away | 6 | 8 | 74 | 0.88 |