MLB pitcher strikeout
Jeffrey Springs
Projection
2.4
Model strikeouts
Market line
3.5
Bovada
Model edge
+1.1
Under 3.5
Recommendation
Under 3.5
Bovada
Confidence
B+
70/100
Pitcher K%
16.4%
Whiff%
27.8%
CSW%
26.2%
WHIP
1.34
Avg IP
4.5
Avg pitches
87.1
Last 5 avg Ks
3.6
Games logged
20
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
17.1%
Team chase
29.5%
Recent chase
30.5%
Recent contact
79.2%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
3.5
Bovada
Model projection
2.4
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10 overs
Average Ks
3.9
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.4
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
3.5
Over
5
Under
5
Push
0
Jul 20
Arizona Diamondbacks
Strikeouts
2
-1.5
Jul 8
Detroit Tigers
Strikeouts
4
+0.5
Jun 30
Los Angeles Dodgers
Strikeouts
2
-1.5
Jun 25
San Francisco Giants
Strikeouts
6
+2.5
Jun 19
Los Angeles Angels
Strikeouts
4
+0.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.5 | -140 | +105 | -0.1 | +0.1 | — |
| Bovada | 3.5 | -105 | -125 | -1.1 | +1.1 | Best Under |
| ESPN BET | 3.5 | -105 | -130 | -1.1 | +1.1 | — |
| Caesars | 2.5 | -130 | -- | -0.1 | +0.1 | — |
| BetMGM | 3.5 | -110 | -120 | -1.1 | +1.1 | — |
| FanDuel | 3.5 | +330 | -- | -1.1 | +1.1 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 8 | 0 | 0% |
| Ketel Marte | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Tyler Locklear | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| Jorge Barrosa | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 32.1% | 40% | 26.8% | 77.1% |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 22.4% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 87.3% |
| Tim Tawa | 31% | 31.2% | 17.9% | 78.6% |
| Gabriel Moreno | 28.7% | 31.2% | 15.4% | 88.9% |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 38.4% | 38.9% | 17.4% | 83.7% |
| Nolan Arenado | 29.9% | 25.3% | 24.3% | 75% |
| Tyler Locklear | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 25.6% | 33.3% | 52.9% | 55.9% |
| Jorge Barrosa | 27.8% | N/A | N/A | 87.5% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Detroit Tigers | 2.3 | 4 |
| 2026-07-20 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.4 | 2 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Away | 5 | 2 | 78 | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-08 | Detroit Tigers | Away | 4.1 | 4 | 92 | 1.42 |
| 2026-06-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Home | 5.1 | 2 | 92 | 1.38 |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco Giants | Away | 5.1 | 6 | 87 | 1.33 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 3.2 | 4 | 86 | 1.35 |
| 2026-06-14 | Colorado Rockies | Home | 4 | 5 | 77 | 1.32 |
| 2026-06-08 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 5 | 3 | 99 | 1.29 |
| 2026-06-03 | Chicago Cubs | Away | 3.2 | 3 | 86 | 1.24 |
| 2026-05-27 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 5 | 7 | 84 | 1.19 |
| 2026-05-22 | San Diego Padres | Away | 6.1 | 3 | 95 | 1.17 |