MLB pitcher strikeout
Jack Flaherty
Projection
5.7
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
Bovada
Model edge
--
No qualifying edge
Recommendation
No recommendation
Confidence
B+
75/100
Pitcher K%
26%
Whiff%
27.6%
CSW%
26.6%
WHIP
1.52
Avg IP
4.9
Avg pitches
85.6
Last 5 avg Ks
5.0
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
25%
Platoon K%
28.2%
Team chase
27.5%
Recent chase
27.3%
Recent contact
76.3%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
Bovada
Model projection
5.7
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Ks
5.8
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.3
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Jul 20
Chicago Cubs
Strikeouts
4
-1.5
Jul 10
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
6
+0.5
Jul 4
Texas Rangers
Strikeouts
5
-0.5
Jun 28
Houston Astros
Strikeouts
9
+3.5
Jun 12
Cleveland Guardians
Strikeouts
1
-4.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 5.5 | -110 | -120 | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +200 | -- | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| Caesars | 5.5 | +100 | -- | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| DraftKings | 5.5 | -105 | -123 | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | -110 | -125 | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 | -110 | -125 | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ | 18 | 3 | 16.7% |
| Alex Bregman | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Nico Hoerner | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Dansby Swanson | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| Seiya Suzuki | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Miguel Amaya | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Michael Busch | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Pedro Ramírez | 2 | 1 | 50% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 32.7% | 28.9% | 34.1% | 71.2% |
| Seiya Suzuki | 23.1% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 83.1% |
| Michael Busch | 23.3% | 29.3% | 25% | 78.2% |
| Alex Bregman | 23.1% | 23.8% | 22% | 83.1% |
| Ian Happ | 23.3% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 72.6% |
| Nico Hoerner | 29.9% | 39.1% | 7.9% | 92.3% |
| Pedro Ramírez | 33.1% | 30% | 20% | 75% |
| Dansby Swanson | 29.1% | 40% | 22.9% | 62.2% |
| Miguel Amaya | 29.8% | 18.5% | N/A | 69.2% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Philadelphia Phillies | 7 | 6 |
| 2026-07-20 | Chicago Cubs | 5.7 | 4 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Chicago Cubs | Away | 4 | 4 | 82 | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-10 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 6 | 6 | 86 | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-04 | Texas Rangers | Away | 5.2 | 5 | 88 | 1.45 |
| 2026-06-28 | Houston Astros | Home | 5 | 9 | 94 | 1.53 |
| 2026-06-12 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 3 | 1 | 63 | 1.57 |
| 2026-06-07 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 5 | 7 | 87 | 1.58 |
| 2026-06-02 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 5 | 6 | 94 | 1.6 |
| 2026-05-28 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 5.2 | 9 | 91 | 1.61 |
| 2026-05-22 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 3.1 | 7 | 78 | 1.66 |
| 2026-05-17 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 6 | 4 | 90 | 1.6 |