MLB pitcher strikeout
Kyle Leahy
Projection
3.3
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
Caesars
Model edge
+2.2
Under 5.5
Recommendation
Under 5.5
Caesars
Confidence
A
80/100
Pitcher K%
21.3%
Whiff%
20.6%
CSW%
24.5%
WHIP
1.49
Avg IP
5
Avg pitches
78.1
Last 5 avg Ks
4.0
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
20%
Team chase
33.4%
Recent chase
33%
Recent contact
74%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
Caesars
Model projection
3.3
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10 overs
Average Ks
4.5
Selected starts
Average margin
-1.0
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
3
Under
7
Push
0
Jul 20
Los Angeles Angels
Strikeouts
4
-1.5
Jul 10
Atlanta Braves
Strikeouts
2
-3.5
Jul 4
Chicago Cubs
Strikeouts
6
+0.5
Jun 28
Miami Marlins
Strikeouts
5
-0.5
Jun 23
Arizona Diamondbacks
Strikeouts
3
-2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.5 | +110 | -- | -1.2 | +1.2 | — |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -135 | +105 | -1.2 | +1.2 | — |
| Caesars | 5.5 | -113 | -- | -2.2 | +2.2 | Best Under |
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | -140 | +105 | -1.2 | +1.2 | — |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | -120 | -110 | -2.2 | +2.2 | — |
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -146 | +110 | -1.2 | +1.2 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Jorge Soler | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Josh Lowe | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Jo Adell | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Denzer Guzman | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Zach Neto | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Mike Trout | 1 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 40% | 38.5% | 25% | 70.3% |
| Mike Trout | 20.4% | 23.7% | 33.3% | 75.3% |
| Nolan Schanuel | 32.3% | 25.8% | 8.6% | 93.8% |
| Jorge Soler | 26.9% | 32.1% | 41.2% | 59.7% |
| Vaughn Grissom | 28.6% | 35.8% | 14.7% | 86.8% |
| Josh Lowe | 44% | 44.6% | 20% | 71.4% |
| Jo Adell | 37.9% | 30% | 22.9% | 71.9% |
| Denzer Guzman | 33.3% | 30.2% | 39.3% | 76.7% |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 36.9% | 36.5% | 28% | 60.5% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Braves | 3.3 | 2 |
| 2026-07-20 | Los Angeles Angels | 3.3 | 4 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Los Angeles Angels | Away | 6 | 4 | 95 | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Braves | Home | 3 | 2 | 44 | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-04 | Chicago Cubs | Away | 5 | 6 | 77 | 1.45 |
| 2026-06-28 | Miami Marlins | Home | 5 | 5 | 87 | 1.48 |
| 2026-06-23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 6.1 | 3 | 85 | 1.51 |
| 2026-06-17 | San Diego Padres | Home | 6 | 7 | 81 | 1.57 |
| 2026-06-12 | Minnesota Twins | Away | 5 | 5 | 77 | 1.59 |
| 2026-06-05 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 4 | 1 | 79 | 1.58 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chicago Cubs | Home | 4.1 | 4 | 78 | 1.56 |
| 2026-05-23 | Cincinnati Reds | Away | 5 | 8 | 87 | 1.58 |