MLB pitcher strikeout
Janson Junk
Projection
3.4
Model strikeouts
Market line
4.5
BetMGM
Model edge
+1.1
Under 4.5
Recommendation
Under 4.5
BetMGM
Confidence
B+
70/100
Pitcher K%
15.8%
Whiff%
14.1%
CSW%
23.5%
WHIP
1.21
Avg IP
5.2
Avg pitches
87.5
Last 5 avg Ks
3.6
Games logged
13
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
17.6%
Team chase
31.1%
Recent chase
33.2%
Recent contact
79.2%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
4.5
BetMGM
Model projection
3.4
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10 overs
Average Ks
3.9
Selected starts
Average margin
-0.6
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
4.5
Over
3
Under
7
Push
0
Jul 20
Houston Astros
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
Jul 9
Seattle Mariners
Strikeouts
5
+0.5
May 25
Toronto Blue Jays
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
May 20
Atlanta Braves
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
May 15
Tampa Bay Rays
Strikeouts
4
-0.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.5 | -108 | -- | -0.1 | +0.1 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | +105 | -140 | -1.1 | +1.1 | Best Under |
| Bovada | 3.5 | -130 | +100 | -0.1 | +0.1 | — |
| Caesars | 3.5 | -130 | -- | -0.1 | +0.1 | — |
| DraftKings | 3.5 | -136 | +107 | -0.1 | +0.1 | — |
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | +110 | -155 | -1.1 | +1.1 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Jose Altuve | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Yainer Diaz | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Taylor Trammell | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Jeremy Peña | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Isaac Paredes | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Zach Dezenzo | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Lucas Spence | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Peña | 34.5% | 23.8% | 8% | 84.1% |
| Yordan Alvarez | 27.7% | 26.2% | 13.9% | 85.5% |
| Isaac Paredes | 26.8% | 31.7% | 11.1% | 84.6% |
| Jose Altuve | 39.4% | 46.9% | 27.3% | 79% |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 16.4% | 6% | 19.2% | 92.9% |
| Yainer Diaz | 42% | 52.5% | 15.4% | 76.7% |
| Taylor Trammell | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | 70% |
| Zach Dezenzo | 32% | 50% | 40% | 67.6% |
| Lucas Spence | N/A | 28.1% | 25% | 72.4% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Seattle Mariners | 3.6 | 5 |
| 2026-07-20 | Houston Astros | 3.4 | 3 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Houston Astros | Away | 4 | 3 | 80 | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-09 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 5 | 5 | 79 | 1.31 |
| 2026-05-25 | Toronto Blue Jays | Away | 5 | 3 | 93 | 1.3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Atlanta Braves | Home | 5 | 3 | 86 | 1.27 |
| 2026-05-15 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 5.2 | 4 | 100 | 1.24 |
| 2026-05-09 | Washington Nationals | Home | 6 | 6 | 94 | 1.11 |
| 2026-05-04 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 5.1 | 6 | 92 | 1.04 |
| 2026-04-28 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Away | 6 | 4 | 76 | 1.06 |
| 2026-04-22 | St. Louis Cardinals | Home | 5 | 2 | 56 | 1.15 |
| 2026-04-17 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 5.1 | 3 | 93 | 1.32 |