MLB pitcher strikeout
Andrew Abbott
Projection
5.7
Model strikeouts
Market line
4.5
FanDuel
Model edge
+1.2
Over 4.5
Recommendation
Over 4.5
FanDuel
Confidence
A
80/100
Pitcher K%
22.6%
Whiff%
25.1%
CSW%
27.4%
WHIP
1.42
Avg IP
5.3
Avg pitches
94.6
Last 5 avg Ks
5.2
Games logged
21
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
21.8%
Team chase
35.9%
Recent chase
37.8%
Recent contact
77.8%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
4.5
FanDuel
Model projection
5.7
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10 overs
Average Ks
5.2
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.7
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
4.5
Over
7
Under
3
Push
0
Jul 20
Seattle Mariners
Strikeouts
6
+1.5
Jul 12
Chicago Cubs
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
Jul 7
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
8
+3.5
Jul 1
Milwaukee Brewers
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
Jun 26
Pittsburgh Pirates
Strikeouts
6
+1.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -136 | -- | +1.2 | -1.2 | Best Over |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -160 | +120 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| Caesars | 5.5 | +112 | -- | +0.2 | -0.2 | — |
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | -150 | +105 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | -155 | +115 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -150 | +110 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodríguez | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Josh Naylor | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Randy Arozarena | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Dominic Canzone | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Cal Raleigh | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Cole Young | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Victor Robles | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Buddy Kennedy | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Colt Emerson | 2 | 1 | 50% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 31.2% | 28.4% | 17.9% | 71% |
| Julio Rodríguez | 40.3% | 47.1% | N/A | 75% |
| Dominic Canzone | 33.5% | 39.3% | 16.7% | 72.7% |
| Cal Raleigh | 38.4% | 42.2% | 31.6% | 77.8% |
| Josh Naylor | 36.8% | 32.3% | 8.1% | 81.6% |
| Cole Young | 32% | 35.9% | 14.7% | 86.4% |
| Victor Robles | 37.3% | 35% | 18.2% | 88.4% |
| Buddy Kennedy | N/A | N/A | N/A | 73.3% |
| Colt Emerson | 37.5% | 42.3% | 29.6% | 74.1% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.7 | 8 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chicago Cubs | 4.8 | 3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Seattle Mariners | 5.7 | 6 |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Seattle Mariners | Away | 6 | 6 | 100 | 1.4 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chicago Cubs | Home | 4 | 3 | 79 | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-07 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 6 | 8 | 95 | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-01 | Milwaukee Brewers | Away | 5 | 3 | 96 | 1.44 |
| 2026-06-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Away | 5.1 | 6 | 94 | 1.41 |
| 2026-06-20 | New York Yankees | Away | 5 | 6 | 97 | 1.42 |
| 2026-06-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 5 | 5 | 95 | 1.41 |
| 2026-06-08 | San Diego Padres | Away | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1.41 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 6 | 5 | 105 | 1.44 |
| 2026-05-27 | New York Mets | Away | 6 | 4 | 101 | 1.44 |