Weekly model board
QB PASSING TDs
2026 Week 7
QBs
28
Lines tracked
27
Strong edges
3
Model opportunities
TOP PASSING TDS EDGES
#1
@ MIN
Def rank: 1st of 32 vs QB
Projection
1.18
Line
0.5
Hard Rock Bet
Projects more passing TDs than the line (+0.7 edge), facing a defense ranked 1st of 32 vs QB, this team is implied for 17.5 points on the real market lines.
#2
vs CLE
Def rank: 24th of 32 vs QB
Projection
1.08
Line
0.5
Hard Rock Bet
Projects more passing TDs than the line (+0.6 edge), facing a defense ranked 24th of 32 vs QB.
#3
@ LV
Def rank: 27th of 32 vs QB
Projection
2
Line
1.5
Hard Rock Bet
Projects more passing TDs than the line (+0.5 edge), facing a defense ranked 27th of 32 vs QB, this team is implied for 25.8 points on the real market lines.
| Rank | QB | Def Rank | Hit Rate | Prediction | Confidence | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | @ MIN | 1st of 32 | 0/5 OVER | 1.18 | 0.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.68 | OVER | Strong | |
| 02 | vs CLE | 24th of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 1.08 | 0.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.58 | OVER | Strong | |
| 03 | @ LV | 27th of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 2 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.50 | OVER | Strong | |
| 04 | @ NYJ | 17th of 32 | 2/5 OVER | 0.99 | 0.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.49 | OVER | Lean | |
| 05 | @ HOU | 20th of 32 | -- | 0.92 | 0.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.42 | OVER | Lean | |
| 06 | @ ATL | 20th of 32 | 4/5 OVER | 1.83 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.33 | OVER | Lean | |
| 07 | @ PHI | 14th of 32 | 1/5 OVER | 1.81 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.31 | OVER | Lean | |
| 08 | @ NO | 20th of 32 | 4/5 OVER | 1.78 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.28 | OVER | Lean | |
| 09 | @ BAL | 3rd of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 1.72 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.22 | OVER | Lean | |
| 10 | vs TB | 17th of 32 | 4/5 OVER | 1.68 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.18 | OVER | Lean | |
| 11 | vs CIN | 4th of 32 | 2/4 OVER | 1.67 | 1.5Underdog Fantasy | +0.17 | OVER | Lean | |
| 12 | vs NE | 13th of 32 | 2/4 OVER | 1.66 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.16 | OVER | Lean | |
| 13 | vs LA | 14th of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 1.65 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.15 | OVER | Lean | |
| 14 | @ ARI | 31st of 32 | 1/5 OVER | 1.65 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.15 | OVER | Lean | |
| 15 | @ DET | 32nd of 32 | 4/5 OVER | 1.64 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.14 | OVER | Lean | |
| 16 | vs NYG | 26th of 32 | 2/5 OVER | 1.64 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.14 | OVER | Lean | |
| 17 | @ CHI | 19th of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 1.6 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | +0.10 | OVER | Lean | |
| 18 | vs IND | 20th of 32 | 0/4 OVER | 1.49 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.01 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 19 | vs SF | 7th of 32 | 2/4 OVER | 1.39 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.11 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 20 | @ SEA | 14th of 32 | 4/5 OVER | 1.38 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.12 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 21 | vs PIT | 4th of 32 | 2/5 OVER | 1.35 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.15 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 22 | vs DEN | 7th of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 1.35 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.15 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 23 | vs KC | 2nd of 32 | 2/4 OVER | 1.34 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.16 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 24 | vs MIA | 28th of 32 | 2/5 OVER | 1.3 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.20 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 25 | @ TEN | 4th of 32 | 3/5 OVER | 1.25 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.25 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 26 | vs DAL | 24th of 32 | -- | 1.23 | 1.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.27 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 27 | vs GB | 7th of 32 | 4/5 OVER | 2.07 | 2.5Hard Rock Bet | -0.43 | UNDER | Lean | |
| 28 | @ CAR | 12th of 32 | 2/2 OVER | 1.13 | -- | -- | -- | No Line |
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