Game outcome model

NHL MONEYLINE & TOTALS

Predicts each upcoming NHL game's win probability and total goals against the real captured sportsbook lines. Brand new this season - no real backtested edge threshold exists yet, so every pick shown is informational only.

Upcoming games

With moneyline odds

With totals line

Saturday, October 24

ANA @ PHI

Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 191d

G: L. Dostal(0.833)

Power: 1486

L10: 7-3

Rest: 193d

G: D. Vladar(0.913)

Power: 1536

MoneylineANA: +102PHI: -122FanDuel

Model leans

PHI 51.8%

Total goals (estimate)6.58

Market total5.5 (FanDuel)

Model leansOVER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

LAK @ NJD

Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 191d

G: A. Forsberg(0.927)

Power: 1469

L10: 5-5

Rest: 193d

G: J. Allen(0.893)

Power: 1500

MoneylineLAK: +142NJD: -172FanDuel

Model leans

NJD 55.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.62

Market total3.5 (Hard Rock Bet)

Model leansOVER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

TOR @ EDM

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 192d

G: A. Akhtyamov(0.865)

Power: 1437

L10: 6-4

Rest: 191d

G: C. Ingram(0.887)

Power: 1503

MoneylineTOR: +155EDM: -188FanDuel

Model leans

EDM 58.8%

Total goals (estimate)6.70

Market total6.5 (Hard Rock Bet)

Model leansOVER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

BUF @ WSH

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 192d

G: U. Luukkonen(0.876)

Power: 1569

L10: 8-2

Rest: 193d

G: L. Thompson(0.886)

Power: 1531

MoneylineBUF: +104WSH: -126FanDuel

Model leans

WSH 53.5%

Total goals (estimate)6.39

Market total6.5 (DraftKings)

Model leansUNDER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

SJS @ BOS

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 191d

G: Y. Askarov(0.872)

Power: 1473

L10: 5-5

Rest: 193d

G: J. Swayman(0.904)

Power: 1520

MoneylineSJS: +150BOS: -182FanDuel

Model leans

BOS 51.7%

Total goals (estimate)6.48

Market total6.5 (DraftKings)

Model leansUNDER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NSH @ PIT

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 4-6

Rest: 191d

G: J. Annunen(0.932)

Power: 1485

L10: 5-5

Rest: 193d

G: A. Silovs(0.887)

Power: 1503

MoneylineNSH: +120PIT: -144FanDuel

Model leans

PIT 54.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.09

Market total6.5 (DraftKings)

Model leansUNDER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

VGK @ CBJ

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 192d

G: C. Hart(0.896)

Power: 1494

L10: 2-8

Rest: 193d

G: J. Greaves(0.897)

Power: 1494

MoneylineVGK: -140CBJ: +116FanDuel

Model leans

CBJ 55.2%

Total goals (estimate)6.39

Market total6.5 (Hard Rock Bet)

Model leansUNDER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

CAR @ STL

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 193d

G: B. Bussi(0.893)

Power: 1576

L10: 6-4

Rest: 191d

G: J. Hofer(0.921)

Power: 1516

MoneylineCAR: -156STL: +130FanDuel

Model leans

STL 54.3%

Total goals (estimate)6.45

Market total6.5 (DraftKings)

Model leansUNDER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NYR @ OTT

Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 192d

G: I. Shesterkin(0.900)

Power: 1461

L10: 6-4

Rest: 192d

G: L. Ullmark(0.929)

Power: 1540

MoneylineNYR: +114OTT: -137FanDuel

Model leans

OTT 54.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.56

Market total5.5 (Hard Rock Bet)

Model leansOVER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

TBL @ UTA

Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 192d

G: A. Vasilevskiy(0.891)

Power: 1548

L10: 6-4

Rest: 191d

G: K. Vejmelka(0.888)

Power: 1508

MoneylineTBL: +122UTA: -146FanDuel

Model leans

UTA 55.1%

Total goals (estimate)6.28

Market total6.5 (FanDuel)

Model leansUNDER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

DET @ CGY

Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 192d

G: J. Gibson(0.856)

Power: 1475

L10: 4-6

Rest: 191d

G: D. Wolf(0.894)

Power: 1469

MoneylineDET: -146CGY: +122FanDuel

Model leans

CGY 51.9%

Total goals (estimate)6.42

Market total5.5 (DraftKings)

Model leansOVER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

MIN @ SEA

Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 193d

G: J. Wallstedt(0.910)

Power: 1526

L10: 2-8

Rest: 191d

G: N. Kokko(0.890)

Power: 1439

MoneylineMIN: -156SEA: +130FanDuel

Model leans

SEA 55.0%

Total goals (estimate)6.44

Market total2.5 (Hard Rock Bet)

Model leansOVER

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

Sunday, October 25

FLA @ CHI

Sun, Oct 25, 3:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 193d

G: D. Tarasov(0.882)

Power: 1493

L10: 2-8

Rest: 193d

G: S. Knight(0.870)

Power: 1417

MoneylineFLA: --CHI: --

Model leans

CHI 54.8%

Total goals (estimate)6.25

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NYI @ DAL

Sun, Oct 25, 6:00 PM ET

L10: 3-7

Rest: 194d

G: I. Sorokin(0.874)

Power: 1492

L10: 7-3

Rest: 193d

G: J. Oettinger(0.892)

Power: 1551

MoneylineNYI: --DAL: --

Model leans

DAL 54.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.41

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

MTL @ WPG

Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 194d

G: J. Dobes(0.897)

Power: 1560

L10: 5-5

Rest: 192d

G: C. Hellebuyck(0.886)

Power: 1473

MoneylineMTL: --WPG: --

Model leans

WPG 55.0%

Total goals (estimate)6.39

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

COL @ NSH

Sun, Oct 25, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 192d

G: S. Wedgewood(0.895)

Power: 1566

L10: 4-6

Rest: 192d

G: J. Annunen(0.932)

Power: 1485

MoneylineCOL: --NSH: --

Model leans

NSH 51.9%

Total goals (estimate)6.44

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

MIN @ VAN

Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 194d

G: J. Wallstedt(0.910)

Power: 1526

L10: 4-6

Rest: 192d

G: K. Lankinen(0.877)

Power: 1399

MoneylineMIN: --VAN: --

Model leans

VAN 53.3%

Total goals (estimate)6.29

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

Monday, October 26

LAK @ NYR

Mon, Oct 26, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 193d

G: A. Forsberg(0.927)

Power: 1469

L10: 6-4

Rest: 194d

G: I. Shesterkin(0.900)

Power: 1461

MoneylineLAK: --NYR: --

Model leans

NYR 55.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.32

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

TOR @ CGY

Mon, Oct 26, 8:30 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 194d

G: A. Akhtyamov(0.865)

Power: 1437

L10: 4-6

Rest: 193d

G: D. Wolf(0.894)

Power: 1469

MoneylineTOR: --CGY: --

Model leans

CGY 55.7%

Total goals (estimate)6.55

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

DET @ EDM

Mon, Oct 26, 9:30 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 194d

G: J. Gibson(0.856)

Power: 1475

L10: 6-4

Rest: 193d

G: C. Ingram(0.887)

Power: 1503

MoneylineDET: --EDM: --

Model leans

EDM 53.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.48

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

Tuesday, October 27

CBJ @ PHI

Tue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 196d

G: J. Greaves(0.897)

Power: 1494

L10: 7-3

Rest: 196d

G: D. Vladar(0.913)

Power: 1536

MoneylineCBJ: --PHI: --

Model leans

PHI 54.2%

Total goals (estimate)6.41

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

FLA @ WPG

Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 195d

G: D. Tarasov(0.882)

Power: 1493

L10: 5-5

Rest: 194d

G: C. Hellebuyck(0.886)

Power: 1473

MoneylineFLA: --WPG: --

Model leans

WPG 56.2%

Total goals (estimate)6.23

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

MTL @ STL

Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 196d

G: J. Dobes(0.897)

Power: 1560

L10: 6-4

Rest: 194d

G: J. Hofer(0.921)

Power: 1516

MoneylineMTL: --STL: --

Model leans

STL 55.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.41

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NYI @ NSH

Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 3-7

Rest: 196d

G: I. Sorokin(0.874)

Power: 1492

L10: 4-6

Rest: 194d

G: J. Annunen(0.932)

Power: 1485

MoneylineNYI: --NSH: --

Model leans

NSH 53.0%

Total goals (estimate)6.45

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NJD @ DAL

Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 196d

G: J. Allen(0.893)

Power: 1500

L10: 7-3

Rest: 195d

G: J. Oettinger(0.892)

Power: 1551

MoneylineNJD: --DAL: --

Model leans

DAL 55.9%

Total goals (estimate)6.43

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

LAK @ CHI

Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 194d

G: A. Forsberg(0.927)

Power: 1469

L10: 2-8

Rest: 195d

G: S. Knight(0.870)

Power: 1417

MoneylineLAK: --CHI: --

Model leans

CHI 55.3%

Total goals (estimate)6.06

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

BOS @ CAR

Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 196d

G: J. Swayman(0.904)

Power: 1520

L10: 7-3

Rest: 196d

G: B. Bussi(0.893)

Power: 1576

MoneylineBOS: --CAR: --

Model leans

CAR 56.2%

Total goals (estimate)6.44

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

MIN @ UTA

Tue, Oct 27, 9:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 196d

G: J. Wallstedt(0.910)

Power: 1526

L10: 6-4

Rest: 194d

G: K. Vejmelka(0.888)

Power: 1508

MoneylineMIN: --UTA: --

Model leans

UTA 56.5%

Total goals (estimate)6.38

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

OTT @ VGK

Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 195d

G: L. Ullmark(0.929)

Power: 1540

L10: 7-3

Rest: 195d

G: C. Hart(0.896)

Power: 1494

MoneylineOTT: --VGK: --

Model leans

VGK 54.5%

Total goals (estimate)6.46

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

VAN @ ANA

Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 4-6

Rest: 194d

G: K. Lankinen(0.877)

Power: 1399

L10: 2-8

Rest: 194d

G: L. Dostal(0.833)

Power: 1486

MoneylineVAN: --ANA: --

Model leans

ANA 56.7%

Total goals (estimate)6.06

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

BUF @ SJS

Tue, Oct 27, 10:30 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 195d

G: U. Luukkonen(0.876)

Power: 1569

L10: 5-5

Rest: 194d

G: Y. Askarov(0.872)

Power: 1473

MoneylineBUF: --SJS: --

Model leans

SJS 52.1%

Total goals (estimate)6.22

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

Wednesday, October 28

PHI @ WSH

Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 197d

G: D. Vladar(0.913)

Power: 1536

L10: 8-2

Rest: 197d

G: L. Thompson(0.886)

Power: 1531

MoneylinePHI: --WSH: --

Model leans

WSH 53.3%

Total goals (estimate)6.37

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

CGY @ EDM

Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET

L10: 4-6

Rest: 195d

G: D. Wolf(0.894)

Power: 1469

L10: 6-4

Rest: 195d

G: C. Ingram(0.887)

Power: 1503

MoneylineCGY: --EDM: --

Model leans

EDM 56.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.49

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NJD @ COL

Wed, Oct 28, 9:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 197d

G: J. Allen(0.893)

Power: 1500

L10: 7-3

Rest: 195d

G: S. Wedgewood(0.895)

Power: 1566

MoneylineNJD: --COL: --

Model leans

COL 57.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.24

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

TOR @ SEA

Wed, Oct 28, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 196d

G: A. Akhtyamov(0.865)

Power: 1437

L10: 2-8

Rest: 195d

G: N. Kokko(0.890)

Power: 1439

MoneylineTOR: --SEA: --

Model leans

SEA 56.5%

Total goals (estimate)6.45

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

Thursday, October 29

CBJ @ CAR

Thu, Oct 29, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 198d

G: J. Greaves(0.897)

Power: 1494

L10: 7-3

Rest: 198d

G: B. Bussi(0.893)

Power: 1576

MoneylineCBJ: --CAR: --

Model leans

CAR 57.9%

Total goals (estimate)6.41

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

WPG @ TBL

Thu, Oct 29, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 196d

G: C. Hellebuyck(0.886)

Power: 1473

L10: 5-5

Rest: 197d

G: A. Vasilevskiy(0.891)

Power: 1548

MoneylineWPG: --TBL: --

Model leans

TBL 57.3%

Total goals (estimate)6.38

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

UTA @ PIT

Thu, Oct 29, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 196d

G: K. Vejmelka(0.888)

Power: 1508

L10: 5-5

Rest: 198d

G: A. Silovs(0.887)

Power: 1503

MoneylineUTA: --PIT: --

Model leans

PIT 54.1%

Total goals (estimate)6.03

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

CHI @ DET

Thu, Oct 29, 7:30 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 197d

G: S. Knight(0.870)

Power: 1417

L10: 2-8

Rest: 197d

G: J. Gibson(0.856)

Power: 1475

MoneylineCHI: --DET: --

Model leans

DET 55.1%

Total goals (estimate)6.20

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

NYI @ MIN

Thu, Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 3-7

Rest: 198d

G: I. Sorokin(0.874)

Power: 1492

L10: 6-4

Rest: 198d

G: J. Wallstedt(0.910)

Power: 1526

MoneylineNYI: --MIN: --

Model leans

NYI 50.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.40

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

BOS @ STL

Thu, Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 198d

G: J. Swayman(0.904)

Power: 1520

L10: 6-4

Rest: 196d

G: J. Hofer(0.921)

Power: 1516

MoneylineBOS: --STL: --

Model leans

STL 54.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.42

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

WSH @ NSH

Thu, Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 8-2

Rest: 198d

G: L. Thompson(0.886)

Power: 1531

L10: 4-6

Rest: 196d

G: J. Annunen(0.932)

Power: 1485

MoneylineWSH: --NSH: --

Model leans

NSH 56.1%

Total goals (estimate)6.54

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

MTL @ DAL

Thu, Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 7-3

Rest: 198d

G: J. Dobes(0.897)

Power: 1560

L10: 7-3

Rest: 197d

G: J. Oettinger(0.892)

Power: 1551

MoneylineMTL: --DAL: --

Model leans

DAL 55.8%

Total goals (estimate)6.46

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

OTT @ LAK

Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 197d

G: L. Ullmark(0.929)

Power: 1540

L10: 6-4

Rest: 196d

G: A. Forsberg(0.927)

Power: 1469

MoneylineOTT: --LAK: --

Model leans

LAK 53.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.41

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

BUF @ ANA

Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 6-4

Rest: 197d

G: U. Luukkonen(0.876)

Power: 1569

L10: 2-8

Rest: 196d

G: L. Dostal(0.833)

Power: 1486

MoneylineBUF: --ANA: --

Model leans

ANA 54.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.27

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

VAN @ SJS

Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET

L10: 4-6

Rest: 196d

G: K. Lankinen(0.877)

Power: 1399

L10: 5-5

Rest: 196d

G: Y. Askarov(0.872)

Power: 1473

MoneylineVAN: --SJS: --

Model leans

SJS 54.9%

Total goals (estimate)6.24

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

Friday, October 30

NJD @ VGK

Fri, Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 199d

G: J. Allen(0.893)

Power: 1500

L10: 7-3

Rest: 198d

G: C. Hart(0.896)

Power: 1494

MoneylineNJD: --VGK: --

Model leans

VGK 55.4%

Total goals (estimate)6.42

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

WPG @ FLA

Fri, Oct 30, 7:00 PM ET

L10: 5-5

Rest: 197d

G: C. Hellebuyck(0.886)

Power: 1473

L10: 5-5

Rest: 198d

G: D. Tarasov(0.882)

Power: 1493

MoneylineWPG: --FLA: --

Model leans

FLA 55.6%

Total goals (estimate)6.38

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

SEA @ CGY

Fri, Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET

L10: 2-8

Rest: 197d

G: N. Kokko(0.890)

Power: 1439

L10: 4-6

Rest: 197d

G: D. Wolf(0.894)

Power: 1469

MoneylineSEA: --CGY: --

Model leans

CGY 51.5%

Total goals (estimate)6.40

No proven-edge threshold exists yet for this brand-new sport - every pick shown is the model's raw lean, for information only, not a recommendation.

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