The Edge Board

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Daily model board

MLB STRIKEOUT DASHBOARD

Sunday, October 18, 2026

Pitchers

Strong edges

Average edge

+0.11

Model opportunities

TOP EDGES ON THE BOARD

Showing FanDuel lines and ranking pitchers by model edge.

Loaded

2 pitchers

Pitcher strikeouts

Parker MessickLHP

vs Tampa Bay Rays

4-Seam Fastball K%: 23.1%vs16.2%Changeup K%: 19.7%vs16.9%Slider K%: 19.2%vs18%

Projection

4.8

Ensemble: 4.8

Market line

4.5

Model edge

+0.3

Sportsbook

FanDuel

Over edge

Pitcher K%

23.6%

Whiff%

24.3%

Contact%

75.7%

Opponent K%

18.0%

WHIP

1.3

Full analysis

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Pitcher strikeouts

Drew RasmussenRHP

@ Cleveland Guardians

4-Seam Fastball K%: 23.1%vs16.2%Sinker K%: 22.6%vs13.7%Changeup K%: 18%vs14.3%

Projection

5.4

Ensemble: 5.8

Market line

5.5

Model edge

-0.1

Sportsbook

FanDuel

Under edge

Pitcher K%

28.7%

Whiff%

27.5%

Contact%

72.5%

Opponent K%

17.6%

WHIP

0.8

Full analysis

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Market scanner

ALL PITCHERS

Compare projections, sportsbook lines, model edge, and performance metrics.

Visible results

Grade

Edge

Book

▼

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Click a metric to sort. Click again to reverse.

Active book: FanDuel

Rank	Pitcher	Opponent						Result	Model					Book
01	Drew Rasmussen View analysis	@ Cleveland Guardians	5.37	5.5	-0.1	A	6	OVER	INCORRECT	28.7%	27.5%	17.6%	0.84	FanDuel
02	Parker Messick View analysis	vs Tampa Bay Rays	4.85	4.5	+0.3	B	3	UNDER	INCORRECT	23.6%	24.3%	18%	1.26	FanDuel

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