The Edge Board

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Daily model board

MLB STRIKEOUT DASHBOARD

Thursday, October 8, 2026

Pitchers

Average edge

+0.93

Model opportunities

TOP EDGES ON THE BOARD

Showing FanDuel lines and ranking pitchers by model edge.

Loaded

2 pitchers

Pitcher strikeouts

Hagen SmithLHP

vs Cleveland Guardians

Cutter K%: 46.2%vs16.4%Slider K%: 35%vs17.3%Changeup K%: 25%vs14.7%

Projection

2.7

Market line

1.5

Model edge

+1.2

Sportsbook

DraftKings

Strong over edge

Pitcher K%

23.7%

Whiff%

30.9%

Contact%

69.1%

Opponent K%

17.3%

WHIP

0.9

Full analysis

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Pitcher strikeouts

Parker MessickLHP

@ Chicago White Sox

A+

4-Seam Fastball K%: 22.2%vs21.9%Slider K%: 19.2%vs26.1%Changeup K%: 19%vs22.2%

Projection

6.2

Ensemble: 5.7

Market line

5.5

Model edge

+0.7

Sportsbook

FanDuel

Over edge

Pitcher K%

25.5%

Whiff%

22.1%

Contact%

77.9%

Opponent K%

26.7%

WHIP

1.0

Full analysis

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Market scanner

ALL PITCHERS

Compare projections, sportsbook lines, model edge, and performance metrics.

Visible results

Grade

Edge

Book

▼

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Click a metric to sort. Click again to reverse.

Active book: FanDuel

Rank	Pitcher	Opponent						Result	Model					Book
01	Parker Messick View analysis	@ Chicago White Sox	6.15	5.5	+0.7	A+	5	UNDER	INCORRECT	25.5%	22.1%	26.7%	1.03	FanDuel
02	Hagen Smith View analysis	vs Cleveland Guardians	2.7	1.5	+1.2	A	0	UNDER	INCORRECT	23.7%	30.9%	17.3%	0.91	DraftKings

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