The Edge Board

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Daily model board

MLB STRIKEOUT DASHBOARD

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Pitchers

Strong edges

Average edge

+0.45

Model opportunities

TOP EDGES ON THE BOARD

Showing FanDuel lines and ranking pitchers by model edge.

Loaded

2 pitchers

Pitcher strikeouts

Freddy PeraltaRHP

vs Cleveland Guardians

Sweeper K%: 20.8%vs16.7%Changeup K%: 17.5%vs14.8%Curveball K%: 16.2%vs17.8%

Projection

4.0

Ensemble: 4.2

Market line

3.5

Model edge

+0.5

Sportsbook

FanDuel

Over edge

Pitcher K%

18.1%

Whiff%

25.8%

Contact%

74.2%

Opponent K%

16.9%

WHIP

1.3

Full analysis

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Pitcher strikeouts

Parker MessickLHP

@ Tampa Bay Rays

4-Seam Fastball K%: 23.1%vs15.1%Changeup K%: 19.7%vs17%Slider K%: 19.2%vs19%

Projection

4.8

Ensemble: 4.8

Market line

4.5

Model edge

+0.3

Sportsbook

FanDuel

Over edge

Pitcher K%

28.0%

Whiff%

26.8%

Contact%

73.2%

Opponent K%

17.1%

WHIP

1.2

Full analysis

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Market scanner

ALL PITCHERS

Compare projections, sportsbook lines, model edge, and performance metrics.

Visible results

Grade

Edge

Book

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Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Click a metric to sort. Click again to reverse.

Active book: FanDuel

Rank	Pitcher	Opponent						Result	Model					Book
01	Freddy Peralta View analysis	vs Cleveland Guardians	4.05	3.5	+0.5	B	6	OVER	CORRECT	18.1%	25.8%	16.9%	1.31	FanDuel
02	Parker Messick View analysis	@ Tampa Bay Rays	4.85	4.5	+0.3	B	3	UNDER	INCORRECT	28%	26.8%	17.1%	1.18	FanDuel

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