Projection momentum

MODEL MOVERS

Compare today's projection against each pitcher's previous saved start to identify improving and declining model outlooks.

2026-07-21

Movers

Risers

Fallers

Home

MLB

Game Predictor Long Ball Board Strikeout Model Manual HR Predictor

Insights

Trends Backtesting Line Movement

Average move

0.8

Biggest increase

+2.7

Biggest decrease

-1.7

Projection direction

Risers

Projection increased since the previous saved start

Justin Wrobleski

#01

vs Philadelphia Phillies · Previous start 2026-07-07

Confidence A · 88/100

Movement

+2.7

4 → 6.7

Previous → Current

David Peterson

#02

vs Detroit Tigers · Previous start 2026-07-09

Confidence A · 80/100

Movement

0.7 → 1.7

Previous → Current

Luis Castillo

#03

vs Cincinnati Reds · Previous start 2026-07-10

Confidence A · 80/100

Movement

2.8 → 3.8

Previous → Current

Bubba Chandler

#04

vs New York Yankees · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence B+ · 70/100

Movement

+0.7

2.7 → 3.4

Previous → Current

Will Warren

#05

vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Previous start 2026-07-12

Confidence A · 80/100

Movement

+0.4

3.1 → 3.5

Previous → Current

Brandon Sproat

#06

vs New York Mets · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence A · 82/100

Movement

+0.4

4.9 → 5.3

Previous → Current

Matthew Liberatore

#07

vs Los Angeles Angels · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence A · 80/100

Movement

+0.4

3.9 → 4.3

Previous → Current

Walker Buehler

#08

vs Atlanta Braves · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence B+ · 75/100

Movement

+0.3

4.1 → 4.4

Previous → Current

Kyle Bradish

#09

vs Boston Red Sox · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence A · 80/100

Movement

+0.3

6.1 → 6.4

Previous → Current

Parker Messick

#10

vs Minnesota Twins · Previous start 2026-07-10

Confidence A · 88/100

Movement

+0.3

5.5 → 5.8

Previous → Current

Projection direction

Fallers

Projection decreased since the previous saved start

Tyler Mahle

#01

vs Kansas City Royals · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence B+ · 70/100

Movement

-1.7

5.2 → 3.5

Previous → Current

Chase Burns

#02

vs Seattle Mariners · Previous start 2026-07-08

Confidence A · 88/100

Movement

-1.2

8.8 → 7.6

Previous → Current

Drew Rasmussen

#03

vs Toronto Blue Jays · Previous start 2026-07-09

Confidence A · 83/100

Movement

-1.2

7.2 → 6

Previous → Current

Tatsuya Imai

#04

vs Miami Marlins · Previous start 2026-07-07

Confidence A+ · 92/100

Movement

-0.7

6.5 → 5.8

Previous → Current

Walbert Ureña

#05

vs St. Louis Cardinals · Previous start 2026-07-08

Confidence A · 80/100

Movement

-0.6

5.8 → 5.2

Previous → Current

Noah Schultz

#06

vs Texas Rangers · Previous start 2026-07-12

Confidence B+ · 70/100

Movement

-0.4

3.1 → 2.7

Previous → Current

Reynaldo López

#07

vs San Diego Padres · Previous start 2026-07-11

Confidence B+ · 75/100

Movement

-0.3

1.7 → 1.4

Previous → Current

Zac Thornton

#08

vs Milwaukee Brewers · Previous start 2026-07-12

Confidence B+ · 78/100

Movement

-0.3

5.5 → 5.2

Previous → Current