MLB pitcher strikeout

Michael King

vs New York Yankees2026-09-06DraftKingsRHP

Projection

5.5

Model strikeouts

Market line

5.5

DraftKings

Model edge

No qualifying edge

50% (5/10)· 2O streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

A+

90/100

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Pitcher K%

21.8%

Whiff%

23.6%

CSW%

28.3%

WHIP

1.18

Avg IP

6.1

Avg pitches

Last 5 avg Ks

5.4

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

19.3%

Team chase

31.4%

Recent chase

30.9%

Recent contact

77.4%

Recent K% (7d)

29.7%

Opp K% vs RHP

25%

Opp K% vs LHP

27%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

5.5

DraftKings

Model projection

5.5

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Ks

5.3

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

50% (5/10)· 2O streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

5.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 5.5Model 5.5

Aug 31

@ CIN

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Aug 25

vs PIT

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Aug 19

@ NYM

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 14

@ CLE

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 8

vs HOU

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

17.5

FanDuel

Model projection

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Outs

17.9

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

80% (8/10)· 5O streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

17.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 17.5

Aug 31

@ CIN

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Aug 25

vs PIT

OVER

Outs

+3.5

Aug 19

@ NYM

OVER

Outs

+2.5

Aug 14

@ CLE

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Aug 8

vs HOU

OVER

Outs

+0.5

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Analytics

Career vs. New York Yankees

No prior starts found against New York Yankees.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
DraftKings	5.5	-114	-112	+0.0	+0.0	—
FanDuel	5.5	-106	-120	+0.0	+0.0	—
Pinnacle	5.5	-106	-120	+0.0	+0.0	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

No ladder projection available for this start yet.

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
Sinker	29.1%	13.6%	16.1%	93.5
Changeup	27.1%	25.3%	16.3%	86.6
Sweeper	19.3%	24.3%	20.6%	82
4-Seam Fastball	18.9%	22.9%	14.2%	94.3
Slider	5.6%	17.6%	8.7%	85.7

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

41.5%

2-Strike Foul%

26.8%

2-Strike Contact%

76.8%

Expected Ks

23.7

K Luck

+3.3

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	30	46.7%	50%
1-2	37	45.9%	54.1%
2-2	32	37.5%	62.5%
3-2 (full)	21	28.6%	71.4%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	Sinker	Changeup	Sweeper	4-Seam Fastball	Slider
Trent GrishamL	20.4%	17.5%	18.7% vs R: 13.7%	14.9% vs R: 12.1%	20.4% vs R: 22.2%	10.8% vs R: 9.5%	16.2% vs R: 16.2%
Ben RiceL	27.4%	23.3%	26% vs R: 18.2%	20.8% vs R: 17.5%	19% vs R: 21.4%	21.2% vs R: 20.2%	21.7% vs R: 19.1%
Luis García Jr.L	17.5%	16.7%	18.2% vs R: 10.3%	20.7% vs R: 20.7%	9.1% vs R: 8.3%	13.4% vs R: 12.6%	16.8% vs R: 21.4%
Cody BellingerL	15.3%	16.8%	14% vs R: 15.2%	12.9% vs R: 11.8%	18.2% vs R: 18.8%	16.8% vs R: 17.3%	6.2% vs R: 3.8%
George Lombard Jr.R	43.8%	25.7%	31.6% vs R: 26.7%	16.7%	20% vs R: 22.2%	17.6% vs R: 16%	26.9% vs R: 26.3%
Spencer JonesL	30.2%	37.8%	22.2% vs R: 15%	34.1% vs R: 34.1%	16.7% vs R: 25%	19.8% vs R: 20.8%	29.8% vs R: 27.3%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.L	35%	27.4%	17.7% vs R: 10.7%	18.8% vs R: 15.2%	26.4% vs R: 24.1%	22.7% vs R: 20.8%	22.2% vs R: 24.5%
Austin WellsL	28.6%	26.6%	32.4% vs R: 40%	20.7% vs R: 18.9%	22% vs R: 26.1%	16.8% vs R: 18%	31.7% vs R: 30.8%
José CaballeroR	32.6%	20.1%	10.4% vs R: 8.3%	12.2% vs R: 15.8%	26.1% vs R: 22%	24.7% vs R: 22%	25.8% vs R: 21.6%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	Sinker	Changeup	Sweeper	4-Seam Fastball	Slider
Trent GrishamL	6.6% vs R: 5.6%	25.9% vs R: 24.1%	28.6% vs R: 16%	12% vs R: 12.1%	32.3% vs R: 31.6%
Ben RiceL	13.5% vs R: 8%	26.5% vs R: 25.5%	23.7% vs R: 19.5%	17.8% vs R: 16.4%	35.3% vs R: 33.7%
Luis García Jr.L	8% vs R: 5.9%	22.9% vs R: 23.2%	9.5% vs R: 6.9%	12.9% vs R: 12.9%	25.9% vs R: 28.2%
Cody BellingerL	7.8% vs R: 8.2%	19.2% vs R: 18.8%	25.5% vs R: 21.7%	15.4% vs R: 19%	21.9% vs R: 20%
George Lombard Jr.R	22.9% vs R: 22.7%	27.3%	15.4% vs R: 11.1%	26.2% vs R: 25.7%	20.6% vs R: 21.7%
Spencer JonesL	25.5% vs R: 29.7%	57.7% vs R: 57.7%	36% vs R: 41.2%	29.7% vs R: 30.3%	43.2% vs R: 47.6%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.L	18.5% vs R: 18.2%	33% vs R: 32.3%	28.9% vs R: 27.6%	18.9% vs R: 15.4%	40.9% vs R: 41.1%
Austin WellsL	13.3% vs R: 16%	39.5% vs R: 40.8%	38.6% vs R: 42.1%	15.6% vs R: 13.9%	37.6% vs R: 37%
José CaballeroR	11.3% vs R: 8.2%	25% vs R: 22.2%	37.7% vs R: 40.8%	24.8% vs R: 22.9%	36.5% vs R: 34%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Projected lineup

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	5	3	60%	.400
Cody Bellinger	4	0	0%	.000
Trent Grisham	3	1	33.3%	.000
Ben Rice	3	0	0%	.333
Luis García Jr.	3	0	0%	.333
Austin Wells	2	0	0%	.000
José Caballero	2	1	50%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Trent Grisham	22.7%	22.5%	23.8%	83.6%
Ben Rice	27.1%	19.2%	16%	83.5%
Luis García Jr.	36.5%	42.7%	20%	73.9%
Cody Bellinger	37.1%	31.2%	13.5%	83.8%
George Lombard Jr.	28.1%	29.8%	34.5%	86.8%
Spencer Jones	34.8%	37.9%	36.6%	63.3%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	28.8%	28.7%	22.5%	69%
Austin Wells	29.7%	29.5%	35.1%	78.8%
José Caballero	37.6%	36.9%	23.8%	73.8%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-08	Arizona Diamondbacks	3	4
2026-07-17	Kansas City Royals	3.2	4
2026-07-22	Atlanta Braves	3.7	7
2026-07-28	Colorado Rockies	4.1	6
2026-08-03	Arizona Diamondbacks	4.2	5
2026-08-08	Houston Astros	5.2	6
2026-08-14	Cleveland Guardians	4.8	4
2026-08-19	New York Mets	5.2	4
2026-08-25	Pittsburgh Pirates	5.1	7
2026-08-31	Cincinnati Reds	5.3	6
2026-09-06	New York Yankees	5.5	—

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 21.8%

!Whiff rate is 23.6%

!CSW rate is 28.3%

✓Opponent K% is 23.3%

✓Average pitch count is 97

!WHIP is 1.18

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-08-31	Cincinnati Reds	Away	6	6	96	1.17	14	42.9%
2026-08-25	Pittsburgh Pirates	Home	7	7	98	1.17	15	46.7%
2026-08-19	New York Mets	Away	6.2	4	100	1.17	13	30.8%
2026-08-14	Cleveland Guardians	Away	6	4	83	1.19	9	44.4%
2026-08-08	Houston Astros	Home	6	6	93	1.17	14	42.9%
2026-08-03	Arizona Diamondbacks	Away	5	5	104	1.2	15	33.3%
2026-07-28	Colorado Rockies	Home	6	6	98	1.17	14	42.9%
2026-07-22	Atlanta Braves	Away	6	7	104	1.17	15	46.7%
2026-07-17	Kansas City Royals	Away	5	4	97	1.16	13	30.8%
2026-07-08	Arizona Diamondbacks	Home	6	4	92	1.15	14	28.6%