
MLB hitter props
Chandler Simpson
HR probability
6.2%
Season HR%
0.0%
Park factor
2.8
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
DraftKings
Model projection
1.1
Expected hits
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.8
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.3
Vs selected line
Current streak
3
OVER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 1.1 | 0.5DraftKings | +0.6 | — | 60% (6/10)· 3O streak |
| H+R+R | 1.8 | 1.5DraftKings | +0.3 | — | 60% (6/10)· 3O streak |
| Total Bases | 1.2 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 1O streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.3 | — | +0.0 | — | 40% (4/10)· 3O streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
12.8%
Exit Velo
79.9 mph
EV90
96.5 mph
Sweet Spot%
25.6%
Fly Ball%
13.8%
xSLG
0.320
ISO
0.024
K%
5.4%
Contact%
91.3%
Bat Speed
59.6 mph
Swing Length
6.22 ft
Platoon HR%
0.0%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Logan Henderson
View Logan Henderson's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Logan Henderson
View Logan Henderson's report →HR% Allowed
3.4%
Barrel% Allowed
7.4%
Hard Hit% Allowed
36.9%
xSLG Allowed
0.484
Fly Ball% Allowed
29.0%
HR/FB
17.6%
HR/9 (est.)
1.32
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Oct 23
@ MIL
Hits
2
+1.5
Oct 19
vs CLE
Hits
1
+0.5
Oct 18
@ CLE
Hits
2
+1.5
Oct 17
@ CLE
Hits
0
-0.5
Oct 15
@ CLE
Hits
1
+0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Logan Henderson's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Chandler Simpson's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 49.2% | 14.6% | 20% | 93.2 | 5.4% |
| Changeup | 36.7% | 36.6% | 19% | 83.3 | 15.8% |
| Cutter | 11.4% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 88.6 | 9.7% |
| Sweeper | 2.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 81.5 | 16.3% |
Green = a plus pitch for Logan Henderson (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Chandler Simpson (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Chandler Simpson handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 49.2% | 47.1% | 0.204 | 16.2% | 0.352 |
| Changeup | 36.7% | 20.4% | 0.236 | 2.1% | 0.239 |
| Cutter | 11.4% | 50% | 0.419 | 14.3% | 0.293 |
| Sweeper | 2.7% | 14.3% | 0.250 | 8% | 0.269 |