MLB hitter props
Denzer Guzman
HR probability
12.1%
Season HR%
2.6%
Park factor
2.7
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
Selected line
Model projection
0.9
Expected hits
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.3
Last 10 games
Average margin
-0.2
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 0.9 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 1O streak |
| H+R+R | 1.4 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 1O streak |
| Total Bases | 1.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 10% (1/10)· 6U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
5.8%
Hard Hit%
34.0%
Exit Velo
86 mph
EV90
102.8 mph
Sweet Spot%
36.5%
Fly Ball%
20.5%
xSLG
0.459
ISO
0.120
K%
25.9%
Contact%
75.2%
Bat Speed
71.9 mph
Swing Length
7.86 ft
Platoon HR%
1.2%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Paul Skenes
View Paul Skenes's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Paul Skenes
View Paul Skenes's report →HR% Allowed
2.6%
Barrel% Allowed
10.1%
Hard Hit% Allowed
44.2%
xSLG Allowed
0.570
Fly Ball% Allowed
23.6%
HR/FB
18.4%
HR/9 (est.)
1.02
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
3
Under
7
Push
0
Sep 5
@ PIT
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 31
vs NYY
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 30
vs PHI
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 29
vs PHI
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 28
vs PHI
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Paul Skenes's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Denzer Guzman's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 44.6% | 28.6% | 25.4% | 96.7 | 24% |
| Sweeper | 15.5% | 28.6% | 20.6% | 84.6 | 16.3% |
| Slider | 10.9% | 30.8% | 27.5% | 86.9 | 17.1% |
| Splitter | 9.8% | 18.6% | 10% | 92.9 | 50% |
| Sinker | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 96.6 | 21.2% |
| Changeup | 9.5% | 36.4% | 15.2% | 88.5 | 40% |
Green = a plus pitch for Paul Skenes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Denzer Guzman (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Denzer Guzman handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 44.6% | 51.6% | 0.328 | 32.1% | 0.186 |
| Sweeper | 15.5% | 28% | 0.256 | 17.6% | 0.186 |
| Slider | 10.9% | 38.9% | 0.292 | 33.3% | 0.283 |
| Splitter | 9.8% | 46.4% | 0.335 | -- | 0.180 |
| Sinker | 9.7% | 44.4% | 0.441 | 47.2% | 0.298 |
| Changeup | 9.5% | 26.7% | 0.486 | 23.1% | 0.234 |