MLB hitter props

Zach Neto

vs Paul SkenesProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

12.7%

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Season HR%

3.4%

Park factor

2.7

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	70% (7/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.9	1.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	70% (7/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.7	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 3U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

68.3%Line

2+ Hits

28.9%

3+ Hits

7.5%

4+ Hits

1.3%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.2%

Hard Hit%

43.7%

Exit Velo

89.5 mph

EV90

103.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

39.1%

Fly Ball%

34.0%

xSLG

0.603

ISO

0.177

31.8%

Contact%

66.1%

Bat Speed

69.6 mph

Swing Length

7.15 ft

Platoon HR%

3.5%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Paul Skenes

View Paul Skenes's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Paul Skenes

View Paul Skenes's report →

HR% Allowed

2.6%

Barrel% Allowed

10.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.570

Fly Ball% Allowed

23.6%

HR/FB

18.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.02

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

@ PIT

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Sep 4

@ PIT

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Aug 31

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Paul Skenes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Zach Neto's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%	28.6%	25.4%	96.7	17.4%
Sweeper	15.5%	28.6%	20.6%	84.6	28.6%
Slider	10.9%	30.8%	27.5%	86.9	24.3%
Splitter	9.8%	18.6%	10%	92.9	22.5%
Sinker	9.7%	13.8%	18.4%	96.6	24.3%
Changeup	9.5%	36.4%	15.2%	88.5	24.4%

Green = a plus pitch for Paul Skenes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Zach Neto (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Zach Neto handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%	51.6%	0.328	48.5%	0.382
Sweeper	15.5%	28%	0.256	33.3%	0.299
Slider	10.9%	38.9%	0.292	34.6%	0.278
Splitter	9.8%	46.4%	0.335	50%	0.133
Sinker	9.7%	44.4%	0.441	41.8%	0.424
Changeup	9.5%	26.7%	0.486	30%	0.255

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