MLB hitter props

Wade Meckler

vs Paul SkenesProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

8.7%

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Season HR%

0.5%

Park factor

2.7

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.7	0.5DraftKings	+1.2	—	90% (9/10)· 9O streak
Total Bases	1.3	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 8U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.5%Line

2+ Hits

26.2%

3+ Hits

6.2%

4+ Hits

0.9%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

1.4%

Hard Hit%

35.2%

Exit Velo

85.2 mph

EV90

99.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.1%

Fly Ball%

16.6%

xSLG

0.428

ISO

0.064

21.1%

Contact%

79.5%

Bat Speed

65.7 mph

Swing Length

6.53 ft

Platoon HR%

0.6%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Paul Skenes

View Paul Skenes's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Paul Skenes

View Paul Skenes's report →

HR% Allowed

2.6%

Barrel% Allowed

10.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.570

Fly Ball% Allowed

23.6%

HR/FB

18.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.02

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ PIT

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 4

@ PIT

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Aug 31

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Paul Skenes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Wade Meckler's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%	28.6%	25.4%	96.7	23.1%
Sweeper	15.5%	28.6%	20.6%	84.6	45.5%
Slider	10.9%	30.8%	27.5%	86.9	14.3%
Splitter	9.8%	18.6%	10%	92.9	19%
Sinker	9.7%	13.8%	18.4%	96.6	30.4%
Changeup	9.5%	36.4%	15.2%	88.5	28%

Green = a plus pitch for Paul Skenes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Wade Meckler (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Wade Meckler handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%	51.6%	0.328	32.1%	0.393
Sweeper	15.5%	28%	0.256	25%	0.332
Slider	10.9%	38.9%	0.292	36.4%	0.227
Splitter	9.8%	46.4%	0.335	33.3%	0.438
Sinker	9.7%	44.4%	0.441	40%	0.321
Changeup	9.5%	26.7%	0.486	12%	0.275

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