MLB hitter props

Jonathan Aranda

vs Logan HendersonProjected lineup8:00 PM ET

HR probability

10.6%

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Season HR%

3.6%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.9	1.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	60% (6/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

68%Line

2+ Hits

28%

3+ Hits

7.2%

4+ Hits

0.9%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

9.1%

Hard Hit%

48.3%

Exit Velo

91 mph

EV90

103.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

42.7%

Fly Ball%

30.8%

xSLG

0.584

ISO

0.169

26.8%

Contact%

78.9%

Bat Speed

69.3 mph

Swing Length

7.14 ft

Platoon HR%

3.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Logan Henderson

View Logan Henderson's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Logan Henderson

View Logan Henderson's report →

HR% Allowed

3.4%

Barrel% Allowed

7.4%

Hard Hit% Allowed

36.9%

xSLG Allowed

0.484

Fly Ball% Allowed

29.0%

HR/FB

17.6%

HR/9 (est.)

1.32

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Oct 23

@ MIL

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Oct 19

vs CLE

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Oct 18

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Oct 17

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Oct 15

@ CLE

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Logan Henderson's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jonathan Aranda's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.2%	14.6%	20%	93.2	17.1%
Changeup	36.7%	36.6%	19%	83.3	11.4%
Cutter	11.4%	21.6%	14.3%	88.6	26%
Sweeper	2.7%	9.1%	5.6%	81.5	17%

Green = a plus pitch for Logan Henderson (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jonathan Aranda (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jonathan Aranda handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.2%	47.1%	0.204	52%	0.331
Changeup	36.7%	20.4%	0.236	30.4%	0.328
Cutter	11.4%	50%	0.419	47.6%	0.420
Sweeper	2.7%	14.3%	0.250	61.1%	0.445

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