MLB hitter props

Yandy Díaz

vs Logan HendersonProjected lineup8:00 PM ET

HR probability

11.7%

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Season HR%

3.3%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	80% (8/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

68.7%Line

2+ Hits

30.4%

3+ Hits

8.2%

4+ Hits

1.1%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

7.3%

Hard Hit%

49.7%

Exit Velo

91.2 mph

EV90

105.9 mph

Sweet Spot%

31.1%

Fly Ball%

19.2%

xSLG

0.510

ISO

0.141

14.3%

Contact%

87.2%

Bat Speed

71.7 mph

Swing Length

7.51 ft

Platoon HR%

3.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Logan Henderson

View Logan Henderson's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Logan Henderson

View Logan Henderson's report →

HR% Allowed

3.4%

Barrel% Allowed

7.4%

Hard Hit% Allowed

36.9%

xSLG Allowed

0.484

Fly Ball% Allowed

29.0%

HR/FB

17.6%

HR/9 (est.)

1.32

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

80% (8/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Oct 23

@ MIL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Oct 19

vs CLE

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Oct 18

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Oct 17

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Oct 15

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Logan Henderson's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Yandy Díaz's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.2%	14.6%	20%	93.2	16.8%
Changeup	36.7%	36.6%	19%	83.3	10.1%
Cutter	11.4%	21.6%	14.3%	88.6	16.1%
Sweeper	2.7%	9.1%	5.6%	81.5	3.7%

Green = a plus pitch for Logan Henderson (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Yandy Díaz (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Yandy Díaz handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.2%	47.1%	0.204	52.4%	0.294
Changeup	36.7%	20.4%	0.236	44%	0.347
Cutter	11.4%	50%	0.419	41.2%	0.325
Sweeper	2.7%	14.3%	0.250	43.6%	0.529

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