MLB hitter props

Jake Bauers

vs Drew RasmussenProjected lineup8:00 PM ET

HR probability

10.4%

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Season HR%

3.9%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	80% (8/10)· 6O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	60% (6/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

61.5%Line

2+ Hits

21.8%

3+ Hits

4.7%

4+ Hits

0.5%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

15.4%

Hard Hit%

49.0%

Exit Velo

90.9 mph

EV90

107.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

46.2%

Fly Ball%

29.8%

xSLG

0.742

ISO

0.209

27.1%

Contact%

69.9%

Bat Speed

73.4 mph

Swing Length

7.58 ft

Platoon HR%

2.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Drew Rasmussen

View Drew Rasmussen's report →

Avg

0.375

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Drew Rasmussen

View Drew Rasmussen's report →

HR% Allowed

1.2%

Barrel% Allowed

5.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

34.6%

xSLG Allowed

0.457

Fly Ball% Allowed

24.0%

HR/FB

7.7%

HR/9 (est.)

0.47

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

80% (8/10)· 6O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Oct 23

vs TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Oct 15

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Oct 14

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Oct 12

vs LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Oct 11

vs LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Drew Rasmussen's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jake Bauers's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	25.9%	24.8%	95.6	18%
Sinker	26.3%	18%	22.4%	95	16.7%
Cutter	25.2%	22%	10.7%	89.7	25.6%
Changeup	15.2%	30.4%	19.5%	89.1	17.6%
Curveball	1.9%	33.3%	0%	79.3	26.2%
Sweeper	1.9%	27.3%	14.3%	84.3	27.1%

Green = a plus pitch for Drew Rasmussen (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jake Bauers (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jake Bauers handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	39%	0.173	55.9%	0.447
Sinker	26.3%	33.3%	0.246	49.3%	0.411
Cutter	25.2%	28.6%	0.188	45%	0.362
Changeup	15.2%	33.3%	0.167	53.8%	0.330
Curveball	1.9%	--	--	40%	0.177
Sweeper	1.9%	20%	0.450	52.4%	0.388

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