MLB hitter props

Tyler Heineman

vs Paul SkenesProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

4.8%

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Season HR%

0.0%

Park factor

2.7

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

20%

2 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	20% (2/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	0.8	0.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	20% (2/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	0.5	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

62.4%Line

2+ Hits

22.5%

3+ Hits

4.5%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

0.0%

Hard Hit%

9.2%

Exit Velo

72.7 mph

EV90

92.9 mph

Sweet Spot%

30.3%

Fly Ball%

18.4%

xSLG

0.307

ISO

0.053

6.9%

Contact%

84.6%

Bat Speed

59.3 mph

Swing Length

6.5 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Paul Skenes

View Paul Skenes's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Paul Skenes

View Paul Skenes's report →

HR% Allowed

2.6%

Barrel% Allowed

10.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.570

Fly Ball% Allowed

23.6%

HR/FB

18.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.02

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

20% (2/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 4

@ PIT

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 31

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 29

vs PHI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Paul Skenes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Tyler Heineman's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%	28.6%	25.4%	96.7	19.6%
Sweeper	15.5%	28.6%	20.6%	84.6	23.1%
Slider	10.9%	30.8%	27.5%	86.9	5.3%
Splitter	9.8%	18.6%	10%	92.9	26.3%
Sinker	9.7%	13.8%	18.4%	96.6	8.3%
Changeup	9.5%	36.4%	15.2%	88.5	9.1%

Green = a plus pitch for Paul Skenes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Tyler Heineman (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Tyler Heineman handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%	51.6%	0.328	18.2%	0.299
Sweeper	15.5%	28%	0.256	0%	0.183
Slider	10.9%	38.9%	0.292	0%	0.092
Splitter	9.8%	46.4%	0.335	10%	0.156
Sinker	9.7%	44.4%	0.441	20%	0.324
Changeup	9.5%	26.7%	0.486	13.8%	0.131

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