
MLB hitter props
Mike Trout
HR probability
11.4%
Season HR%
2.3%
Park factor
2.7
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
DraftKings
Model projection
1
Expected hits
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10 overs
Average Hits
1.0
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.5
Vs selected line
Current streak
3
OVER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 1.0 | 0.5DraftKings | +0.5 | — | 70% (7/10)· 3O streak |
| H+R+R | 1.7 | 1.5DraftKings | +0.2 | — | 50% (5/10)· 1O streak |
| Total Bases | 1.5 | — | +0.0 | — | 40% (4/10)· 1O streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
10.1%
Hard Hit%
38.9%
Exit Velo
88 mph
EV90
108 mph
Sweet Spot%
38.3%
Fly Ball%
28.9%
xSLG
0.597
ISO
0.129
K%
27.7%
Contact%
77.4%
Bat Speed
72.1 mph
Swing Length
7.3 ft
Platoon HR%
2.3%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Paul Skenes
View Paul Skenes's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Paul Skenes
View Paul Skenes's report →HR% Allowed
2.6%
Barrel% Allowed
10.1%
Hard Hit% Allowed
44.2%
xSLG Allowed
0.570
Fly Ball% Allowed
23.6%
HR/FB
18.4%
HR/9 (est.)
1.02
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
7
Under
3
Push
0
Sep 5
@ PIT
Hits
2
+1.5
Sep 4
@ PIT
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 2
vs NYY
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 1
vs NYY
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 31
vs NYY
Hits
2
+1.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Paul Skenes's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Mike Trout's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 44.6% | 28.6% | 25.4% | 96.7 | 14.3% |
| Sweeper | 15.5% | 28.6% | 20.6% | 84.6 | 16.3% |
| Slider | 10.9% | 30.8% | 27.5% | 86.9 | 28.7% |
| Splitter | 9.8% | 18.6% | 10% | 92.9 | 22.7% |
| Sinker | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 96.6 | 14.9% |
| Changeup | 9.5% | 36.4% | 15.2% | 88.5 | 23.5% |
Green = a plus pitch for Paul Skenes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Mike Trout (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Mike Trout handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 44.6% | 51.6% | 0.328 | 46.2% | 0.352 |
| Sweeper | 15.5% | 28% | 0.256 | 37.5% | 0.459 |
| Slider | 10.9% | 38.9% | 0.292 | 54.5% | 0.224 |
| Splitter | 9.8% | 46.4% | 0.335 | 50% | 0.213 |
| Sinker | 9.7% | 44.4% | 0.441 | 55.9% | 0.419 |
| Changeup | 9.5% | 26.7% | 0.486 | 38.1% | 0.370 |