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WNBA game details

ATL

Monday, October 26 at 8:00 PM ET

Spread

No Play

Model marginATL by 1.3

Fair lineATL -1.5

Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical WNBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.

Totals

Model total162.9

Fair line163.0

Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical WNBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate here.

GS Offense vs ATL Defense

Factor	GS Offense	ATL Allows	Edge
eFG%	50.2%(47.8% L5)	53.3%(44.4% L5)	3.1%
TOV%	12.0%(12.5% L5)	17.3%(16.2% L5)	5.3%
ORB%	26.7%(25.9% L5)	20.2%(15.1% L5)	6.5%
FTr	0.28(0.30 L5)	0.32(0.29 L5)	0.05

Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.

ATL Offense vs GS Defense

Factor	ATL Offense	GS Allows	Edge
eFG%	50.6%(54.9% L5)	47.9%(44.6% L5)	2.7%
TOV%	13.2%(10.1% L5)	16.1%(16.9% L5)	2.9%
ORB%	30.1%(20.9% L5)	24.2%(23.3% L5)	5.9%
FTr	0.34(0.31 L5)	0.32(0.24 L5)	0.03

Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.

Schedule & recent form

Rest days

ATL: 34GS: 33

Back-to-back

ATL: NoGS: No

Last 5 win%

ATL: 100%GS: 80%

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