MLB pitcher strikeout
Tatsuya Imai
Projection
5.8
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+0.3
Over 5.5
Recommendation
Over 5.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A+
92/100
Pitcher K%
32.5%
Whiff%
32.5%
CSW%
28.6%
WHIP
1.44
Avg IP
4.3
Avg pitches
82.9
Last 5 avg Ks
5.4
Games logged
13
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
26.4%
Team chase
30.5%
Recent chase
32.9%
Recent contact
76.7%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model projection
5.8
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10 overs
Average Ks
5.0
Selected starts
Average margin
-0.5
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
3
Under
7
Push
0
Jul 7
Washington Nationals
Strikeouts
3
-2.5
Jul 1
Minnesota Twins
Strikeouts
2
-3.5
Jun 25
Detroit Tigers
Strikeouts
10
+4.5
Jun 19
Cleveland Guardians
Strikeouts
11
+5.5
Jun 12
Kansas City Royals
Strikeouts
1
-4.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +113 | -144 | +0.3 | -0.3 | Best Over |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +120 | -154 | +0.3 | -0.3 | — |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | +110 | -150 | +0.3 | -0.3 | — |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 | +110 | -155 | +0.3 | -0.3 | — |
| Bovada | 5.5 | +120 | -160 | +0.3 | -0.3 | — |
| Caesars | 5.5 | +116 | -- | +0.3 | -0.3 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
No head-to-head history found for this lineup.
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 33.5% | 32.4% | 25.8% | 73.1% |
| Kyle Stowers | 33.5% | 32.3% | 40% | 67.1% |
| Heriberto Hernández | 27.7% | 21.9% | 35.1% | 65.2% |
| Xavier Edwards | 24.4% | 29.3% | 18.4% | 80.8% |
| Liam Hicks | 28.3% | 31.7% | 11.4% | 90.9% |
| Griffin Conine | 35.9% | 40.4% | 34.6% | 68.3% |
| Jakob Marsee | 25% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 87.5% |
| Javier Sanoja | 39.4% | 44% | 3.3% | 85.7% |
| Joe Mack | 26.7% | 38.9% | 31.8% | 71.8% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Washington Nationals | 6.5 | 3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Miami Marlins | 5.8 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Washington Nationals | Away | 3.2 | 3 | 84 | 1.5 |
| 2026-07-01 | Minnesota Twins | Home | 1.1 | 2 | 57 | 1.47 |
| 2026-06-25 | Detroit Tigers | Away | 6 | 10 | 96 | 1.32 |
| 2026-06-19 | Cleveland Guardians | Home | 6 | 11 | 89 | 1.44 |
| 2026-06-12 | Kansas City Royals | Away | 0.2 | 1 | 38 | 1.51 |
| 2026-06-06 | Athletics | Home | 5 | 8 | 92 | 1.4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 6 | 5 | 110 | 1.36 |
| 2026-05-25 | Texas Rangers | Away | 6 | 2 | 97 | 1.5 |
| 2026-05-18 | Minnesota Twins | Away | 4.2 | 5 | 74 | 1.79 |
| 2026-05-12 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 4 | 3 | 80 | 2.05 |