MLB pitcher strikeout

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

@ Milwaukee Brewers2026-10-12DraftKingsRHP

Projection

6.5

Ensemble: 6.5

Market line

6.5

DraftKings

Model edge

No qualifying edge

70% (7/10)· 1O streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

A+

100/100

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Pitcher K%

30.7%

Whiff%

35.3%

CSW%

33%

WHIP

0.86

Avg IP

6.6

Avg pitches

96.1

Last 5 avg Ks

7.8

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

27.7%

Team chase

28.2%

Recent chase

N/A

Recent contact

N/A

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

22.4%

Opp K% vs LHP

21%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

6.5

DraftKings

Model projection

6.5

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Ks

7.4

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.9

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

70% (7/10)· 1O streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

6.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 6.5Model 6.5

Oct 6

@ ATL

OVER

Strikeouts

+3.5

Sep 23

vs SD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-2.5

Sep 15

@ CIN

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Sep 9

vs CIN

OVER

Strikeouts

+3.5

Sep 2

vs STL

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

17.5

FanDuel

Model projection

17.1

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

90%

9 of 10 overs

Average Outs

19.9

Selected starts

Average margin

+2.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

90% (9/10)· 8O streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

17.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 17.5Model 17.1

Oct 6

@ ATL

OVER

Outs

+3.5

Sep 23

vs SD

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Sep 15

@ CIN

OVER

Outs

+3.5

Sep 9

vs CIN

OVER

Outs

+3.5

Sep 2

vs STL

OVER

Outs

+3.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Milwaukee Brewers

No prior starts found against Milwaukee Brewers.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
DraftKings	6.5	-129	+101	-0.0	+0.0	—
FanDuel	6.5	-128	+100	-0.0	+0.0	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

91.5%

5+ Ks

80.7%

6+ Ks

65.3%

7+ Ks

46.9%Line

8+ Ks

28.7%

9+ Ks

15.3%

10+ Ks

8.1%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
Splitter	25.8%	34.9%	19.8%	91.5
4-Seam Fastball	25.1%	22.7%	23.8%	96.1
Cutter	17.5%	19.2%	10.8%	91.9
Sinker	13.6%	16.7%	31.8%	95.6
Curveball	13.1%	26.9%	22.6%	76.5
Slider	4.9%	41.4%	28.6%	86.4

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

58.2%

2-Strike Foul%

22.1%

2-Strike Contact%

64.4%

Expected Ks

33.1

K Luck

+5.9

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	30	60%	40%
1-2	33	54.5%	45.5%
2-2	27	51.9%	48.1%
3-2 (full)	12	66.7%	33.3%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	Splitter	4-Seam Fastball	Cutter	Sinker	Curveball	Slider
Jackson ChourioR	20.3%	24.6%	20.7% vs R: 20.8%	19.3% vs R: 20.5%	25.7% vs R: 24%	24.7% vs R: 23.4%	20.6% vs R: 25%	19.8% vs R: 23.1%
Brice TurangL	25.6%	24.6%	25% vs R: 23.6%	19.5% vs R: 22.5%	12.2% vs R: 3.7%	19.4% vs R: 21.4%	19.4% vs R: 20%	21.6% vs R: 18.8%
William ContrerasR	15.8%	14.2%	24.1% vs R: 25%	11% vs R: 11.6%	18.4% vs R: 22.2%	9.3% vs R: 10.2%	29.7% vs R: 11.1%	20% vs R: 23%
Jake BauersL	23.1%	28.5%	17.1% vs R: 17.1%	18% vs R: 20.8%	25.6% vs R: 26.7%	16.7% vs R: 14.3%	26.2% vs R: 34.7%	27% vs R: 33.3%
Christian YelichL	26.2%	27.2%	22.2% vs R: 19.2%	17.3% vs R: 18.2%	22.8% vs R: 22%	19% vs R: 16.7%	25.6% vs R: 25.7%	32.2% vs R: 34.6%
Garrett MitchellL	28.7%	32%	17.5% vs R: 18.4%	28.6% vs R: 27.1%	18% vs R: 18.4%	25.8% vs R: 29.4%	20.8% vs R: 19.6%	26.8% vs R: 23.9%
Cooper PrattR	21.4%	16.8%	38.5% vs R: 33.3%	15.7% vs R: 13.9%	6.2% vs R: 0%	12.8% vs R: 3.7%	14.3% vs R: 18.2%	13.3% vs R: 16.7%
Sal FrelickL	10.2%	9.8%	5.9% vs R: 5.9%	10% vs R: 9.6%	10.7% vs R: 14.3%	10.3% vs R: 9.5%	5.9% vs R: 7.7%	13.5% vs R: 14.3%
Joey OrtizR	21.3%	18.9%	33.3% vs R: 41.7%	19.4% vs R: 21.1%	7.1% vs R: 11.1%	12.5% vs R: 13.3%	15.2% vs R: 25%	19.5% vs R: 16.3%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	Splitter	4-Seam Fastball	Cutter	Sinker	Curveball	Slider
Jackson ChourioR	26.5% vs R: 28.1%	24.4% vs R: 21.7%	28.3% vs R: 28.4%	10% vs R: 11.8%	25% vs R: 33.3%	31.9% vs R: 30.4%
Brice TurangL	34.3% vs R: 34.3%	20.7% vs R: 21.7%	17.3% vs R: 7.4%	11.1% vs R: 12.4%	21.2% vs R: 20.9%	28.4% vs R: 19.8%
William ContrerasR	33.3% vs R: 31.2%	15.2% vs R: 14.6%	20.4% vs R: 26.5%	7.9% vs R: 5.3%	27.9% vs R: 11.8%	26.7% vs R: 28.1%
Jake BauersL	40.5% vs R: 40.5%	18.2% vs R: 18.8%	33.3% vs R: 36.6%	14.2% vs R: 17%	40.8% vs R: 44.6%	35% vs R: 36.5%
Christian YelichL	48.3% vs R: 46.4%	22.3% vs R: 23.5%	28.3% vs R: 26.3%	14.5% vs R: 22.2%	40.5% vs R: 41%	44.4% vs R: 44%
Garrett MitchellL	50% vs R: 50%	25% vs R: 25.7%	36.8% vs R: 38.4%	17.9% vs R: 14.9%	28.8% vs R: 27.5%	43.2% vs R: 40.5%
Cooper PrattR	47.4% vs R: 41.2%	14.4% vs R: 10.4%	18.4% vs R: 20%	16.5% vs R: 14.3%	13% vs R: 16.7%	25.3% vs R: 26.2%
Sal FrelickL	3.8% vs R: 3.8%	8.6% vs R: 7.3%	9.2% vs R: 7.1%	2.7% vs R: 1.7%	14.3% vs R: 17.4%	8.6% vs R: 10.5%
Joey OrtizR	47.6% vs R: 52.6%	15.6% vs R: 13.1%	10.4% vs R: 22.7%	6.9% vs R: 7.7%	40.7% vs R: 58.8%	24% vs R: 20.3%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Projected lineup

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Jackson Chourio	7	2	28.6%	.143
William Contreras	6	0	0%	.200
Jake Bauers	6	1	16.7%	.500
Garrett Mitchell	6	4	66.7%	.200
Joey Ortiz	5	0	0%	.500
Brice Turang	4	0	0%	.333
Christian Yelich	4	1	25%	.000
Sal Frelick	4	0	0%	.250

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Jackson Chourio	33.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brice Turang	26.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
William Contreras	26.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Jake Bauers	23.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Christian Yelich	26.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Garrett Mitchell	23.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cooper Pratt	30.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Sal Frelick	28.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Joey Ortiz	35.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-11	Arizona Diamondbacks	7.5	6
2026-07-19	New York Yankees	8.4	7
2026-07-25	New York Mets	6.1	5
2026-08-01	Boston Red Sox	6.4	3
2026-08-08	Arizona Diamondbacks	5.3	6
2026-08-14	Milwaukee Brewers	6.7	9
2026-08-21	Pittsburgh Pirates	7	9
2026-09-02	St. Louis Cardinals	6.15	8
2026-09-09	Cincinnati Reds	6.95	10
2026-09-15	Cincinnati Reds	9.9	7
2026-09-23	San Diego Padres	6.16	4
2026-10-06	Atlanta Braves	5.35	10
2026-10-12	Milwaukee Brewers	6.45	1

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

✓Pitcher K% is 30.7%

✓Whiff rate is 35.3%

✓CSW rate is 33%

!Opponent K% is 22.4%

✓Average pitch count is 96.1

✓WHIP is 0.86

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-10-06	Atlanta Braves	Away	7	10	98	0.71	16	62.5%
2026-09-23	San Diego Padres	Home	6	4	88	0.87	13	30.8%
2026-09-15	Cincinnati Reds	Away	7	7	91	0.87	11	63.6%
2026-09-09	Cincinnati Reds	Home	7	10	90	0.88	13	76.9%
2026-09-02	St. Louis Cardinals	Home	7	8	93	0.9	14	57.1%
2026-08-27	Atlanta Braves	Away	6.1	8	105	0.89	15	53.3%
2026-08-21	Pittsburgh Pirates	Home	6.1	9	107	0.9	17	52.9%
2026-08-14	Milwaukee Brewers	Home	6	9	97	0.89	16	56.2%
2026-08-08	Arizona Diamondbacks	Away	5.2	6	107	0.89	17	35.3%
2026-08-01	Boston Red Sox	Home	8	3	96	0.88	13	23.1%