MLB pitcher strikeout
Zac Thornton
Projection
5.2
Model strikeouts
Market line
--
No line available
Model edge
--
No qualifying edge
Recommendation
No recommendation
Confidence
B+
78/100
Pitcher K%
22.4%
Whiff%
22.8%
CSW%
28.3%
WHIP
1.15
Avg IP
5.8
Avg pitches
80
Last 5 avg Ks
5.0
Games logged
3
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
23.6%
Team chase
25.7%
Recent chase
27%
Recent contact
81.9%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
Selected line
Model projection
5.2
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
33%
1 of 3 overs
Average Ks
5.0
Selected starts
Average margin
-0.5
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
1
Under
2
Push
0
Jul 12
Boston Red Sox
Strikeouts
5
-0.5
Jun 26
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
7
+1.5
May 20
Washington Nationals
Strikeouts
3
-2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
No sportsbook lines found for this pitcher.
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
No head-to-head history found for this lineup.
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 32.6% | 36.2% | 34.2% | 73.3% |
| Brice Turang | 25.8% | 24.1% | 18.8% | 77.8% |
| William Contreras | 31% | 30.3% | 19.4% | 82.8% |
| Andrew Vaughn | 22.5% | 25% | 11.1% | 88.2% |
| Garrett Mitchell | 23.1% | 25.7% | 28.9% | 73.9% |
| Gary Sánchez | 19.9% | 15.6% | N/A | 89.5% |
| Luis Lara | 17.1% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 83.3% |
| Cooper Pratt | 29.9% | 41.3% | 17.9% | 81% |
| Joey Ortiz | 29% | 27.5% | 18.2% | 87.7% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Boston Red Sox | 5.5 | 5 |
| 2026-07-21 | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.2 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Boston Red Sox | Home | 7 | 5 | 82 | 0.92 |
| 2026-06-26 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 6 | 7 | 78 | 1.16 |
| 2026-05-20 | Washington Nationals | Away | 4.1 | 3 | 80 | 1.38 |