MLB pitcher strikeout

Logan Henderson

vs Los Angeles Dodgers2026-10-12FanDuelRHP

Projection

5.4

Ensemble: 5.4

Market line

5.5

FanDuel

Model edge

No qualifying edge

60% (6/10)· 3U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

68/100

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Pitcher K%

25.9%

Whiff%

25.4%

CSW%

26.9%

WHIP

0.85

Avg IP

5.9

Avg pitches

90.9

Last 5 avg Ks

4.6

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

27.7%

Team chase

27.9%

Recent chase

N/A

Recent contact

N/A

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

21.3%

Opp K% vs LHP

20.2%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

5.5

FanDuel

Model projection

5.4

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Ks

5.4

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

60% (6/10)· 3U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

5.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 5.5Model 5.4

Oct 12

vs LAD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-3.5

Oct 4

vs SD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 23

@ PHI

UNDER

Strikeouts

-2.5

Sep 16

@ PIT

OVER

Strikeouts

+2.5

Sep 9

vs CHC

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

15.5

FanDuel

Model projection

15.4

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Outs

17.2

Selected starts

Average margin

+1.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

50% (5/10)· 5U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

15.5

0.527

Over

Under

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Line 15.5Model 15.4

Oct 12

vs LAD

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Oct 4

vs SD

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 23

@ PHI

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 16

@ PIT

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 9

vs CHC

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

No prior starts found against Los Angeles Dodgers.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
FanDuel	5.5	-108	-118	-0.1	+0.1	—
DraftKings	5.5	-107	-119	-0.1	+0.1	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

80.7%

5+ Ks

62.8%

6+ Ks

43.1%Line

7+ Ks

26%

8+ Ks

12.6%

9+ Ks

6.3%

10+ Ks

2.3%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	48.3%	14.2%	20.6%	93.2
Changeup	36.4%	36.9%	19.6%	83.1
Cutter	12.7%	20.3%	20%	88.3
Sweeper	2.6%	7.7%	4.8%	81.5

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

44.4%

2-Strike Foul%

28.2%

2-Strike Contact%

78%

Expected Ks

29.5

K Luck

-1.5

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	32	46.9%	53.1%
1-2	43	37.2%	62.8%
2-2	32	50%	50%
3-2 (full)	15	46.7%	53.3%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Changeup	Cutter	Sweeper
Mookie BettsR	7.6%	12.6%	7.7% vs R: 7%	11.6% vs R: 17.2%	20.7% vs R: 26.1%	5% vs R: 6.1%
Freddie FreemanL	20.6%	16.2%	17% vs R: 13%	7.4% vs R: 7.7%	10.2% vs R: 13.9%	22% vs R: 24.1%
Will SmithR	21.7%	14%	12.1% vs R: 9.2%	9.3% vs R: 12.5%	6.2% vs R: 0%	10.6% vs R: 8.8%
Shohei OhtaniL	25%	24.3%	23.3% vs R: 19.8%	24.5% vs R: 25.6%	22.6% vs R: 20.8%	24% vs R: 21.7%
Teoscar HernándezR	22.2%	29.9%	19.9% vs R: 21.4%	18.4% vs R: 17.6%	21.9% vs R: 26.3%	39.3% vs R: 39.2%
Kyle TuckerL	16.8%	16.7%	15.1% vs R: 13.4%	12.7% vs R: 12.2%	23.1% vs R: 21.4%	23.4% vs R: 45.5%
Andy PagesR	17.4%	20.5%	15.6% vs R: 16.1%	15.5% vs R: 16%	13.8% vs R: 11.1%	12.5% vs R: 10%
Max MuncyL	27.6%	24.1%	16.2% vs R: 16.9%	18.8% vs R: 15.9%	22.2% vs R: 25%	29.4% vs R: 26.5%
Enrique HernándezR	32.7%	24.4%	29.4% vs R: 50%	22.2%	25%	33.3% vs R: 18.2%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Changeup	Cutter	Sweeper
Mookie BettsR	5.4% vs R: 6.6%	16.1% vs R: 20.7%	14% vs R: 18.2%	15.9% vs R: 18.2%
Freddie FreemanL	19.5% vs R: 15.5%	20.9% vs R: 22.6%	19.8% vs R: 17.4%	24.4% vs R: 21.4%
Will SmithR	14.3% vs R: 11.3%	9.5% vs R: 25%	18.8% vs R: 20.8%	22.4% vs R: 25%
Shohei OhtaniL	23.6% vs R: 25.3%	38.5% vs R: 37.2%	21.8% vs R: 22.1%	32.1% vs R: 29.4%
Teoscar HernándezR	24% vs R: 23.7%	35.7% vs R: 33.3%	30.1% vs R: 34.8%	45.5% vs R: 43.8%
Kyle TuckerL	16.3% vs R: 15.1%	25.7% vs R: 26%	13.1% vs R: 11%	29.1% vs R: 42.3%
Andy PagesR	17.6% vs R: 19.8%	21.8% vs R: 26.9%	14.8% vs R: 14.3%	26% vs R: 25.3%
Max MuncyL	17.8% vs R: 17.2%	34.9% vs R: 33.1%	15.1% vs R: 10.8%	45.5% vs R: 39.5%
Enrique HernándezR	15.2% vs R: 20%	34.5%	33.3%	36.8% vs R: 25%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Projected lineup

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Shohei Ohtani	6	2	33.3%	.400
Mookie Betts	5	2	40%	.200
Freddie Freeman	5	1	20%	.000
Kyle Tucker	5	1	20%	.000
Andy Pages	5	1	20%	.000
Max Muncy	5	2	40%	.200
Teoscar Hernández	4	1	25%	.250

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Mookie Betts	20.9%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Freddie Freeman	32.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Will Smith	19.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Shohei Ohtani	31.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Teoscar Hernández	36.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Kyle Tucker	22.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Andy Pages	28.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Max Muncy	25.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Enrique Hernández	32.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-09	St. Louis Cardinals	6.1	4
2026-07-17	Miami Marlins	5.5	4
2026-07-22	New York Mets	5.8	9
2026-07-28	San Francisco Giants	5.1	7
2026-08-04	Pittsburgh Pirates	6.1	8
2026-08-10	San Diego Padres	7.6	7
2026-08-16	Los Angeles Dodgers	8.2	6
2026-08-22	Atlanta Braves	8.7	4
2026-09-03	Chicago Cubs	5.66	7
2026-09-09	Chicago Cubs	5.74	6
2026-09-16	Pittsburgh Pirates	5.79	8
2026-09-23	Philadelphia Phillies	8.3	3
2026-10-04	San Diego Padres	4.99	4
2026-10-12	Los Angeles Dodgers	5.38	2
2026-10-24	Tampa Bay Rays	3.95	—

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 25.9%

!Whiff rate is 25.4%

!CSW rate is 26.9%

!Opponent K% is 20.1%

✓Average pitch count is 90.9

✓WHIP is 0.85

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-10-12	Los Angeles Dodgers	Home	4	2	64	1.11	10	20%
2026-10-04	San Diego Padres	Home	5	4	72	1	11	36.4%
2026-09-23	Philadelphia Phillies	Away	5	3	87	0.84	10	30%
2026-09-16	Pittsburgh Pirates	Away	5	8	87	0.81	13	61.5%
2026-09-09	Chicago Cubs	Home	5	6	95	0.78	15	40%
2026-09-03	Chicago Cubs	Away	7	7	102	0.79	14	50%
2026-08-28	Texas Rangers	Home	7	7	91	0.83	12	58.3%
2026-08-22	Atlanta Braves	Home	6	4	100	0.89	15	26.7%
2026-08-16	Los Angeles Dodgers	Away	7	6	93	0.87	16	37.5%
2026-08-10	San Diego Padres	Away	6.1	7	91	0.91	13	53.8%