MLB pitcher strikeout
Will Warren
Projection
3.5
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
FanDuel
Model edge
+2.0
Under 5.5
Recommendation
Under 5.5
FanDuel
Confidence
A
80/100
Pitcher K%
17.1%
Whiff%
21.5%
CSW%
27.5%
WHIP
1.31
Avg IP
5
Avg pitches
86
Last 5 avg Ks
4.0
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
20.1%
Team chase
31.6%
Recent chase
30.5%
Recent contact
73.8%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
FanDuel
Model projection
3.5
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10 overs
Average Ks
3.7
Selected starts
Average margin
-1.8
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
2
Under
8
Push
0
Jul 12
Washington Nationals
Strikeouts
2
-3.5
Jul 7
Tampa Bay Rays
Strikeouts
3
-2.5
Jul 1
Detroit Tigers
Strikeouts
7
+1.5
Jun 26
Boston Red Sox
Strikeouts
0
-5.5
Jun 20
Cincinnati Reds
Strikeouts
8
+2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +104 | -- | -2.0 | +2.0 | Best Under |
| Bovada | 5.5 | +106 | -137 | -2.0 | +2.0 | — |
| Caesars | 5.5 | +102 | -- | -2.0 | +2.0 | — |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | +100 | -135 | -2.0 | +2.0 | — |
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +100 | -127 | -2.0 | +2.0 | — |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 | +105 | -150 | -2.0 | +2.0 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
Projected lineup| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Jake Mangum | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Bryan Reynolds | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Jared Triolo | 1 | 1 | 100% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
Projected lineup| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum | 47.4% | 51.6% | 13.9% | 76.7% |
| Brandon Lowe | 34.5% | 37% | 40% | 59.2% |
| Bryan Reynolds | 22.9% | 25.7% | 34.2% | 73.7% |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 24.5% | 24% | 43.6% | 63.7% |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 34.4% | 30.5% | 24.3% | 78.3% |
| Nick Gonzales | 31% | 26.9% | 23.1% | 71.2% |
| Tyler Callihan | 31.6% | 22.2% | N/A | 80.6% |
| Jared Triolo | 24.9% | 22% | 13.8% | 89.8% |
| Henry Davis | 33.5% | 34.7% | 22.7% | 71.2% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3.6 | 3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals | 3.1 | 2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3.5 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals | Away | 5 | 2 | 83 | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 4 | 3 | 75 | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-01 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 5.1 | 7 | 79 | 1.33 |
| 2026-06-26 | Boston Red Sox | Away | 5.2 | 0 | 90 | 1.36 |
| 2026-06-20 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 5.2 | 8 | 90 | 1.33 |
| 2026-06-14 | Toronto Blue Jays | Away | 4 | 1 | 98 | 1.29 |
| 2026-06-08 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 4.1 | 5 | 91 | 1.21 |
| 2026-05-31 | Athletics | Away | 6 | 5 | 82 | 1.2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Kansas City Royals | Away | 6 | 3 | 85 | 1.17 |
| 2026-05-19 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 5 | 3 | 86 | 1.18 |