MLB pitcher strikeout

Jacob Misiorowski

vs Los Angeles Dodgers2026-10-11FanDuelRHP

Projection

6.0

Ensemble: 7.1

Market line

7.5

FanDuel

Model edge

+1.5

Under 7.5

10% (1/10)· 6U streak

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Recommendation

Under 7.5

FanDuel

Confidence

A+

100/100

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Pitcher K%

34.1%

Whiff%

32.5%

CSW%

32.3%

WHIP

0.84

Avg IP

Avg pitches

81.5

Last 5 avg Ks

4.4

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

33.4%

Team chase

27.9%

Recent chase

N/A

Recent contact

N/A

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

21.3%

Opp K% vs LHP

20.2%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

7.5

FanDuel

Model projection

6.0

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

10%

1 of 10 overs

Average Ks

5.5

Selected starts

Average margin

-2.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

10% (1/10)· 6U streak

Strikeout Simulator

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Active line

7.5

0.527

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Under

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Line 7.5Model 6.0

Oct 23

vs TB

UNDER

Strikeouts

-5.5

Oct 11

vs LAD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-2.5

Oct 3

vs SD

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 27

vs STL

UNDER

Strikeouts

-2.5

Sep 20

@ BAL

UNDER

Strikeouts

-3.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

16.5

FanDuel

Model projection

14.8

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Outs

14.0

Selected starts

Average margin

-2.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

30% (3/10)· 6U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

16.5

0.527

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Under

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Line 16.5Model 14.8

Oct 23

vs TB

UNDER

Outs

-8.5

Oct 11

vs LAD

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Oct 3

vs SD

UNDER

Outs

-4.5

Sep 27

vs STL

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 20

@ BAL

UNDER

Outs

-7.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

No prior starts found against Los Angeles Dodgers.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
FanDuel	7.5	+102	-130	-1.5	+1.5	Best Under
DraftKings	7.5	-116	-110	-1.5	+1.5	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

85.5%

5+ Ks

71.5%

6+ Ks

52.5%

7+ Ks

33.4%

8+ Ks

18.8%Line

9+ Ks

8.4%

10+ Ks

3.3%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	63.7%	35.5%	29%	100.8
Cutter	14.5%	21.2%	20%	95.6
Slider	11.7%	39.7%	25%	91.1
Curveball	9.8%	37.5%	27.5%	88.1

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

50%

2-Strike Foul%

29.9%

2-Strike Contact%

71%

Expected Ks

K Luck

-2

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	31	54.8%	45.2%
1-2	26	57.7%	42.3%
2-2	19	42.1%	57.9%
3-2 (full)	18	44.4%	55.6%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Cutter	Slider	Curveball
Mookie BettsR	7.6%	12.6%	7.7% vs R: 7%	20.7% vs R: 26.1%	19.8% vs R: 20%	8.8% vs R: 15.8%
Freddie FreemanL	20.6%	16.2%	17% vs R: 13%	10.2% vs R: 13.9%	16.1% vs R: 16.3%	9.6% vs R: 13.5%
Will SmithR	21.7%	14%	12.1% vs R: 9.2%	6.2% vs R: 0%	9.3% vs R: 7.1%	21.7% vs R: 23.1%
Shohei OhtaniL	25%	24.3%	23.3% vs R: 19.8%	22.6% vs R: 20.8%	24.5% vs R: 23.3%	27.1% vs R: 27.7%
Teoscar HernándezR	22.2%	29.9%	19.9% vs R: 21.4%	21.9% vs R: 26.3%	30.2% vs R: 29.6%	13.9% vs R: 15%
Max MuncyL	27.6%	24.1%	16.2% vs R: 16.9%	22.2% vs R: 25%	26.2% vs R: 24%	22.1% vs R: 21.7%
Andy PagesR	17.4%	20.5%	15.6% vs R: 16.1%	13.8% vs R: 11.1%	17.4% vs R: 18.9%	15.6% vs R: 8.3%
Kyle TuckerL	16.8%	16.7%	15.1% vs R: 13.4%	23.1% vs R: 21.4%	12.3% vs R: 17.6%	11.8% vs R: 7.9%
Enrique HernándezR	32.7%	24.4%	29.4% vs R: 50%	25%	33.3% vs R: 100%	50%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Cutter	Slider	Curveball
Mookie BettsR	5.4% vs R: 6.6%	14% vs R: 18.2%	25.2% vs R: 25.9%	8.8% vs R: 12.5%
Freddie FreemanL	19.5% vs R: 15.5%	19.8% vs R: 17.4%	31.1% vs R: 29.2%	20.8% vs R: 25%
Will SmithR	14.3% vs R: 11.3%	18.8% vs R: 20.8%	15.6% vs R: 15.9%	31.8% vs R: 45.5%
Shohei OhtaniL	23.6% vs R: 25.3%	21.8% vs R: 22.1%	37.1% vs R: 36.4%	38.5% vs R: 38.2%
Teoscar HernándezR	24% vs R: 23.7%	30.1% vs R: 34.8%	40.5% vs R: 39.1%	35.3% vs R: 38.1%
Max MuncyL	17.8% vs R: 17.2%	15.1% vs R: 10.8%	29.9% vs R: 27.6%	37.7% vs R: 35%
Andy PagesR	17.6% vs R: 19.8%	14.8% vs R: 14.3%	23.6% vs R: 24.5%	27.8% vs R: 20.8%
Kyle TuckerL	16.3% vs R: 15.1%	13.1% vs R: 11%	25.1% vs R: 22.6%	26.3% vs R: 27.3%
Enrique HernándezR	15.2% vs R: 20%	33.3%	20.8% vs R: 7.7%	40%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Mookie Betts	6	2	33.3%	.167
Freddie Freeman	6	3	50%	.000
Shohei Ohtani	6	2	33.3%	.400
Andy Pages	6	1	16.7%	.000
Max Muncy	3	1	33.3%	.000
Teoscar Hernández	2	1	50%	.500
Kyle Tucker	2	0	0%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Mookie Betts	20.9%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Freddie Freeman	32.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Will Smith	19.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Shohei Ohtani	31.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Teoscar Hernández	36.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Max Muncy	25.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Andy Pages	28.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Kyle Tucker	22.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Enrique Hernández	32.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-07	St. Louis Cardinals	11.4	11
2026-07-20	New York Mets	11.2	6
2026-07-26	Colorado Rockies	6.9	12
2026-08-02	Los Angeles Angels	7.2	10
2026-08-09	Minnesota Twins	6.5	9
2026-08-15	Los Angeles Dodgers	10.9	6
2026-08-21	Atlanta Braves	11.1	6
2026-09-02	Chicago Cubs	6.12	5
2026-09-08	Chicago Cubs	6.27	9
2026-09-15	Pittsburgh Pirates	9.1	7
2026-09-20	Baltimore Orioles	6.81	4
2026-09-27	St. Louis Cardinals	7.05	5
2026-10-03	San Diego Padres	5.89	6
2026-10-11	Los Angeles Dodgers	6.03	5
2026-10-23	Tampa Bay Rays	5.1	3

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

✓Pitcher K% is 34.1%

✓Whiff rate is 32.5%

✓CSW rate is 32.3%

!Opponent K% is 20.1%

!Average pitch count is 81.5

✓WHIP is 0.84

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-10-23	Tampa Bay Rays	Home	2.2	2	36	1.36	—	—
2026-10-11	Los Angeles Dodgers	Home	4.1	5	94	1.56	13	38.5%
2026-10-03	San Diego Padres	Home	4	6	88	1.25	13	46.2%
2026-09-27	St. Louis Cardinals	Home	5.1	5	68	0.8	10	50%
2026-09-20	Baltimore Orioles	Away	3	4	44	0.8	6	66.7%
2026-09-15	Pittsburgh Pirates	Away	5	7	82	0.81	16	43.8%
2026-09-08	Chicago Cubs	Home	6.1	9	93	0.8	17	52.9%
2026-09-02	Chicago Cubs	Away	4	5	92	0.79	13	38.5%
2026-08-27	New York Mets	Away	6	6	89	0.75	13	46.2%
2026-08-21	Atlanta Braves	Home	6	6	96	0.76	13	46.2%