MLB pitcher strikeout

Bryan Woo

vs Athletics2026-09-06FanDuelRHP

Projection

6.2

Ensemble: 6.2

Market line

6.5

FanDuel

Model edge

+0.3

Under 6.5

30% (3/10)· 1O streak

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Recommendation

Under 6.5

FanDuel

Confidence

B+

78/100

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Pitcher K%

24.5%

Whiff%

21.3%

CSW%

27%

WHIP

1.11

Avg IP

5.5

Avg pitches

89.6

Last 5 avg Ks

5.4

Games logged

Matchup K%

33.3%

Platoon K%

26.9%

Team chase

32.3%

Recent chase

32.5%

Recent contact

77%

Recent K% (7d)

24.3%

Opp K% vs RHP

22.1%

Opp K% vs LHP

23.5%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

6.5

FanDuel

Model projection

6.2

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Ks

5.7

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.8

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

30% (3/10)· 1O streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

6.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 6.5Model 6.2

Sep 1

@ BOS

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Aug 26

vs PHI

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 16

@ HOU

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 11

@ NYY

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Aug 5

vs DET

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

17.5

DraftKings

Model projection

16.4

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Outs

16.6

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.9

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

50% (5/10)· 1O streak

Total Outs Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

17.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 17.5Model 16.4

Sep 1

@ BOS

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Aug 26

vs PHI

UNDER

Outs

-5.5

Aug 16

@ HOU

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Aug 11

@ NYY

UNDER

Outs

-2.5

Aug 5

vs DET

OVER

Outs

+3.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Athletics

No prior starts found against Athletics.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
FanDuel	6.5	-136	+106	-0.3	+0.3	Best Under
Pinnacle	6.5	-138	+104	-0.3	+0.3	—
DraftKings	6.5	-120	-106	-0.3	+0.3	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

85.5%

5+ Ks

70%

6+ Ks

51.4%

7+ Ks

33%Line

8+ Ks

18.3%

9+ Ks

8.4%

10+ Ks

3.2%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	45.6%	20.9%	16.4%	96.5
Sinker	20.5%	10.5%	16.9%	96.3
Slider	17.5%	34.6%	21.1%	87.6
Sweeper	6.9%	25.5%	22.4%	85
Changeup	5.9%	12.5%	18.5%	89.6
Curveball	3.6%	33.3%	21.7%	83.2

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

42.2%

2-Strike Foul%

29.6%

2-Strike Contact%

77.5%

Expected Ks

28.5

K Luck

-1.5

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	31	48.4%	48.4%
1-2	39	41%	56.4%
2-2	29	27.6%	65.5%
3-2 (full)	15	6.7%	93.3%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Sinker	Slider	Sweeper	Changeup	Curveball
Henry BolteR	33.6%	23.5%	27.5% vs R: 24%	26.5% vs R: 17.8%	24.6% vs R: 21.7%	26% vs R: 27.3%	17.3% vs R: 16%	9.5% vs R: 0%
Jeff McNeilL	7.1%	12.4%	9.8% vs R: 10.2%	11.1% vs R: 12.8%	18.8% vs R: 25%	4.8% vs R: 8.3%	6.3% vs R: 7.7%	13% vs R: 14.3%
Zack GelofR	25%	25.3%	25% vs R: 25.9%	11.9% vs R: 8.2%	13.3% vs R: 14.9%	29% vs R: 27.6%	29.3% vs R: 33.3%	25% vs R: 15.4%
Lawrence ButlerL	28.8%	25.2%	19.3% vs R: 18.9%	24.3% vs R: 17.1%	20.2% vs R: 18.4%	20% vs R: 26.7%	8.3% vs R: 10.3%	26.7% vs R: 27.3%
Tommy WhiteR	21.1%	14.4%	11.1% vs R: 7.1%	14.3% vs R: 23.1%	22.2% vs R: 21.1%	23.5% vs R: 20%	21.1%	28.6% vs R: 0%
Max MuncyR	29.7%	33.3%	23% vs R: 19.6%	17.5% vs R: 18.8%	32.7% vs R: 36.1%	28.9% vs R: 26.5%	25% vs R: 21.4%	27.8% vs R: 36.4%
Carlos CortesL	20%	16.6%	6.6% vs R: 5.3%	23.8% vs R: 23.8%	16.7% vs R: 15.8%	18.2% vs R: 14.3%	12.2% vs R: 12.5%	35.3% vs R: 35.3%
Alika WilliamsR	20.4%	27.1%	10.2% vs R: 4.5%	20% vs R: 21.4%	28.9% vs R: 20.7%	40.7% vs R: 45.5%	14.8%	28.6% vs R: 50%
Denzel ClarkeR	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Sinker	Slider	Sweeper	Changeup	Curveball
Henry BolteR	28% vs R: 26.1%	20.7% vs R: 21.4%	43.3% vs R: 46.8%	37.1% vs R: 35.7%	35.5% vs R: 47.4%	45.8% vs R: 42.9%
Jeff McNeilL	10.4% vs R: 9.1%	4.8% vs R: 4.8%	20.4% vs R: 24.7%	22.9% vs R: 25%	18.1% vs R: 19.6%	22.6% vs R: 20.7%
Zack GelofR	30.5% vs R: 28.6%	13.2% vs R: 11.5%	21.4% vs R: 24.6%	32% vs R: 30.4%	35% vs R: 42.1%	45.5% vs R: 50%
Lawrence ButlerL	23.4% vs R: 24%	12.1% vs R: 16.2%	36.1% vs R: 36.4%	23.6% vs R: 22.2%	28.3% vs R: 26%	36.1% vs R: 36%
Tommy WhiteR	12.9% vs R: 9.8%	11.8% vs R: 11.8%	32.6% vs R: 31.2%	32.1% vs R: 32%	24.2%	22.2% vs R: 16.7%
Max MuncyR	25% vs R: 15.8%	15.4% vs R: 16%	44.8% vs R: 48.4%	38.6% vs R: 39.2%	36.2% vs R: 33.3%	23.8% vs R: 26.7%
Carlos CortesL	10.8% vs R: 9.7%	16.5% vs R: 16%	28.2% vs R: 27.3%	26.5% vs R: 25%	24.7% vs R: 25.3%	37.8% vs R: 37.8%
Alika WilliamsR	15.4% vs R: 20.5%	7.2% vs R: 5%	37.3% vs R: 34.4%	46.4% vs R: 50%	18.6%	40% vs R: 50%
Denzel ClarkeR	—	—	—	—	—	—

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Projected lineup

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Lawrence Butler	23	6	26.1%	.095
Zack Gelof	13	6	46.2%	.250
Jeff McNeil	3	0	0%	.333
Carlos Cortes	3	1	33.3%	.333

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Henry Bolte	28.3%	22.6%	27.6%	72.4%
Jeff McNeil	39.1%	42%	13%	86.4%
Zack Gelof	26.4%	26.9%	22.2%	71.6%
Lawrence Butler	24.4%	20.8%	32.1%	78.6%
Tommy White	40.9%	33.3%	21.4%	71.4%
Max Muncy	30.3%	32.8%	21.2%	76.8%
Carlos Cortes	32.8%	41.3%	34.5%	68.8%
Alika Williams	36.4%	40%	18.2%	82.8%
Denzel Clarke	N/A	N/A	N/A	84.2%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-07	Miami Marlins	5.7	5
2026-07-18	San Francisco Giants	6.5	7
2026-07-25	Texas Rangers	5.6	5
2026-07-30	Los Angeles Dodgers	5.7	8
2026-08-05	Detroit Tigers	6.4	5
2026-08-11	New York Yankees	6.8	5
2026-08-16	Houston Astros	6.5	5
2026-08-26	Philadelphia Phillies	5.2	5
2026-09-01	Boston Red Sox	4.84	7
2026-09-06	Athletics	6.2	—

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 24.5%

!Whiff rate is 21.3%

!CSW rate is 27%

!Opponent K% is 22.5%

!Average pitch count is 89.6

✓WHIP is 1.11

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-09-01	Boston Red Sox	Away	6	7	99	1.09	16	43.8%
2026-08-26	Philadelphia Phillies	Home	4	5	76	1.1	12	41.7%
2026-08-16	Houston Astros	Away	6	5	75	1.08	9	55.6%
2026-08-11	New York Yankees	Away	5	5	92	1.1	14	35.7%
2026-08-05	Detroit Tigers	Home	7	5	91	1.12	13	38.5%
2026-07-30	Los Angeles Dodgers	Away	5	8	91	1.15	13	61.5%
2026-07-25	Texas Rangers	Away	5	5	95	1.14	14	35.7%
2026-07-18	San Francisco Giants	Home	6	7	98	1.09	14	50%
2026-07-07	Miami Marlins	Away	5	5	87	1.07	15	33.3%
2026-06-30	Los Angeles Angels	Home	6.1	5	106	1.03	12	41.7%