MLB pitcher strikeout

Daniel Espino

@ Chicago White Sox2026-10-07RHP

Projection

2.3

Model strikeouts

Market line

No line available

Model edge

No qualifying edge

20% (2/10)· 7U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

A+

95/100

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Pitcher K%

27.8%

Whiff%

38.9%

CSW%

32.1%

WHIP

1.28

Avg IP

1.2

Avg pitches

19.1

Last 5 avg Ks

1.4

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

36%

Team chase

28.3%

Recent chase

26.4%

Recent contact

69.9%

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

25.5%

Opp K% vs LHP

25.1%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

2.5

Selected line

Model projection

2.3

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

20%

2 of 10 overs

Average Ks

1.8

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

20% (2/10)· 7U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

2.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 2.5Model 2.3

Sep 25

@ KC

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 24

@ BOS

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Sep 18

vs ATH

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 14

vs CWS

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 12

@ MIN

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

3.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Outs

3.6

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

30% (3/10)· 4U streak

Total Outs Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

3.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 3.5

Sep 25

@ KC

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 24

@ BOS

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 18

vs ATH

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 14

vs CWS

UNDER

Outs

-2.5

Sep 12

@ MIN

OVER

Outs

+2.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Chicago White Sox

No prior starts found against Chicago White Sox.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

No sportsbook lines found for this pitcher.

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

No ladder projection available for this start yet.

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	59.3%	28.8%	24.2%	98.7
Slider	32%	30%	17.6%	92.4
Curveball	8.7%	33.3%	41.7%	76.5

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

50%

2-Strike Foul%

29%

2-Strike Contact%

85.7%

Expected Ks

5.7

K Luck

-0.7

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	4	100%	0%
1-2	7	57.1%	42.9%
2-2	6	16.7%	83.3%
3-2 (full)	5	20%	80%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Slider	Curveball
Sam AntonacciL	20.9%	13.1%	14.1% vs R: 13.2%	14.3% vs R: 9.4%	12.2% vs R: 8.3%
Kyle TeelL	35.9%	35.2%	28.1% vs R: 22%	28.9% vs R: 41.7%	17.6% vs R: 20%
Miguel VargasR	16.8%	18.3%	17.3% vs R: 16.9%	16% vs R: 16.3%	9.6% vs R: 3.6%
Munetaka MurakamiL	34.9%	35.7%	26.5% vs R: 28.4%	27.2% vs R: 25.8%	21.7% vs R: 25.7%
Andrew BenintendiL	37.5%	22.3%	21.9% vs R: 20.8%	33.3% vs R: 28.6%	16.7% vs R: 17.9%
Tristan PetersL	19.4%	18.2%	16% vs R: 15.9%	24.2% vs R: 24.5%	23.2% vs R: 22.2%
Chase MeidrothR	16.8%	23.9%	20.9% vs R: 22.9%	18.8% vs R: 19%	4.9% vs R: 7.1%
Colson MontgomeryL	29.9%	38%	33.3% vs R: 33.9%	27.9% vs R: 31.5%	18.9% vs R: 22.2%
Braden MontgomeryS	30.1%	15.6%	11.4% vs R: 7.1%	23.5% vs R: 17.1%	11.8% vs R: 0%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Slider	Curveball
Sam AntonacciL	11.2% vs R: 11.4%	11.6% vs R: 8.6%	19.4% vs R: 16%
Kyle TeelL	34% vs R: 27.4%	37.2% vs R: 38.5%	25% vs R: 20%
Miguel VargasR	18.4% vs R: 19.8%	25.3% vs R: 27.9%	16.4% vs R: 10.5%
Munetaka MurakamiL	39.2% vs R: 39.6%	50.3% vs R: 47.7%	26.7% vs R: 28.6%
Andrew BenintendiL	22% vs R: 21.7%	40.2% vs R: 33.3%	28.6% vs R: 29.3%
Tristan PetersL	17.2% vs R: 17%	30.6% vs R: 30.1%	25.9% vs R: 24.4%
Chase MeidrothR	14.8% vs R: 17.3%	24.3% vs R: 25.6%	11.9% vs R: 12.5%
Colson MontgomeryL	29.9% vs R: 29.8%	45.2% vs R: 49.2%	41.8% vs R: 40.4%
Braden MontgomeryS	20.4% vs R: 13.9%	30.7% vs R: 25.4%	26.8% vs R: 19.2%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Projected lineup

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Miguel Vargas	2	1	50%	.500
Sam Antonacci	1	1	100%	.000
Kyle Teel	1	0	0%	.000
Munetaka Murakami	1	1	100%	.000
Andrew Benintendi	1	0	0%	.000
Tristan Peters	1	0	0%	.000
Colson Montgomery	1	0	0%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Sam Antonacci	21.4%	26.7%	5.6%	88.9%
Kyle Teel	32.5%	24%	N/A	68.2%
Miguel Vargas	21.1%	17.9%	26.7%	66.7%
Munetaka Murakami	22.4%	22.6%	33.3%	61.1%
Andrew Benintendi	35.9%	35.1%	N/A	56.5%
Tristan Peters	30%	N/A	N/A	91.3%
Chase Meidroth	31.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Colson Montgomery	32.6%	N/A	N/A	60%
Braden Montgomery	26.9%	32%	N/A	66.7%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-09-12	Minnesota Twins	2.1	2
2026-09-18	Athletics	2.9	1
2026-09-24	Boston Red Sox	1.9	2
2026-10-07	Chicago White Sox	2.3	2

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 27.8%

✓Whiff rate is 38.9%

✓CSW rate is 32.1%

✓Opponent K% is 24%

!Average pitch count is 19.1

!WHIP is 1.28

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-09-25	Kansas City Royals	Away	1	1	13	1.24	1	100%
2026-09-24	Boston Red Sox	Away	1	2	17	1.33	3	66.7%
2026-09-18	Athletics	Home	1	1	27	1.43	3	33.3%
2026-09-14	Chicago White Sox	Home	0.1	1	12	1.22	2	50%
2026-09-12	Minnesota Twins	Away	2	2	26	1.17	6	33.3%
2026-09-09	Baltimore Orioles	Away	1	1	10	1.3	1	100%
2026-09-07	Baltimore Orioles	Away	1	2	22	1.33	4	50%
2026-09-04	Detroit Tigers	Home	2	3	26	1.25	4	75%
2026-07-28	Cincinnati Reds	Away	1	3	19	1.5	3	100%
2026-07-02	Chicago White Sox	Home	1.2	2	35	1.6	—	—