MLB pitcher strikeout

Christian Scott

vs San Francisco Giants2026-09-06DraftKingsRHP

Projection

5.5

Ensemble: 5.5

Market line

5.5

DraftKings

Model edge

No qualifying edge

80% (8/10)· 1U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

B+

70/100

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Pitcher K%

23.9%

Whiff%

28.1%

CSW%

28.2%

WHIP

1.27

Avg IP

5.1

Avg pitches

90.5

Last 5 avg Ks

5.6

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

28.1%

Team chase

30.3%

Recent chase

30.4%

Recent contact

81.9%

Recent K% (7d)

16.8%

Opp K% vs RHP

19.6%

Opp K% vs LHP

22.8%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

5.5

DraftKings

Model projection

5.5

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Ks

6.0

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

80% (8/10)· 1U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

5.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 5.5Model 5.5

Aug 28

vs HOU

UNDER

Strikeouts

-3.5

Aug 22

@ CWS

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Aug 16

vs WSH

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Aug 10

@ ATL

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Aug 5

@ CLE

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

15.5

DraftKings

Model projection

15.8

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Outs

14.9

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.6

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

40% (4/10)· 1O streak

Total Outs Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

15.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 15.5Model 15.8

Aug 28

vs HOU

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Aug 22

@ CWS

UNDER

Outs

-1.5

Aug 16

vs WSH

OVER

Outs

+3.5

Aug 10

@ ATL

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Aug 5

@ CLE

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

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Analytics

Career vs. San Francisco Giants

No prior starts found against San Francisco Giants.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
DraftKings	5.5	+108	-138	-0.0	+0.0	—
FanDuel	5.5	+110	-140	-0.0	+0.0	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

81.3%

5+ Ks

64.7%

6+ Ks

44.9%Line

7+ Ks

27.2%

8+ Ks

14.2%

9+ Ks

6.3%

10+ Ks

2.2%

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	44.9%	27.9%	23.7%	95.4
Sweeper	23.7%	28.7%	23%	81.4
Cutter	19%	28.1%	23.7%	89.8
Curveball	8.2%	10%	8.5%	81.8
Splitter	2.7%	18.2%	10%	85.4
Sinker	1.4%	25%	0%	91.8

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

41.2%

2-Strike Foul%

25%

2-Strike Contact%

74.2%

Expected Ks

31.6

K Luck

-3.6

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	30	56.7%	43.3%
1-2	33	42.4%	57.6%
2-2	29	34.5%	62.1%
3-2 (full)	19	10.5%	84.2%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Sweeper	Cutter	Curveball	Splitter	Sinker
Drew GilbertL	32.6%	15.5%	15.6% vs R: 15.3%	22.9% vs R: 16.1%	5.9% vs R: 6.2%	14.8% vs R: 16.7%	14.3% vs R: 14.3%	18.4% vs R: 15.4%
Rafael DeversL	28.6%	23.9%	22.2% vs R: 20.4%	26.5% vs R: 36.8%	19.6% vs R: 18.9%	11.4% vs R: 16.7%	11.8% vs R: 13.3%	14.3% vs R: 20%
Bryce EldridgeL	26.9%	26.1%	16.3% vs R: 17.6%	21.6% vs R: 13.6%	27% vs R: 22.6%	13.3% vs R: 14.7%	27.8% vs R: 23.5%	25.9% vs R: 37.9%
Turner HillL	0%	13.7%	9.1% vs R: 10%	0% vs R: 0%	50%	11.1% vs R: 12.5%	—	6.2% vs R: 8.3%
Jung Hoo LeeL	12.5%	8.8%	9.4% vs R: 10.6%	9.4% vs R: 4.5%	10.5% vs R: 6.7%	18.2% vs R: 18.2%	7.7% vs R: 8.3%	13.8% vs R: 7.1%
Andrew KniznerR	14.3%	23.1%	27.3% vs R: 40%	—	—	—	—	16.7%
Shay WhitcombR	47.1%	31.1%	19.2% vs R: 10.5%	12.5% vs R: 0%	—	28.6% vs R: 33.3%	—	60% vs R: 66.7%
Nate FurmanL	—	20.7%	12.5% vs R: 12.5%	20% vs R: 20%	—	—	—	100% vs R: 100%
Christian KossR	22%	27.5%	26.4% vs R: 35.3%	23.5% vs R: 26.7%	12.5% vs R: 0%	20%	—	22.2% vs R: 27.3%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Sweeper	Cutter	Curveball	Splitter	Sinker
Drew GilbertL	15.8% vs R: 13.8%	29.8% vs R: 22.5%	10.2% vs R: 7.4%	18.9% vs R: 20%	42.1% vs R: 42.1%	15.5% vs R: 16.7%
Rafael DeversL	35.2% vs R: 32.3%	33.3% vs R: 41.2%	26.1% vs R: 23.1%	13.3% vs R: 14.3%	13.3% vs R: 14.3%	11.9% vs R: 8.8%
Bryce EldridgeL	15% vs R: 16.4%	35.6% vs R: 33.3%	21.2% vs R: 20.3%	27.5% vs R: 27.3%	52.4% vs R: 50%	9.4% vs R: 9.4%
Turner HillL	8.3% vs R: 10%	33.3% vs R: 33.3%	33.3%	12.5% vs R: 12.5%	—	0% vs R: 0%
Jung Hoo LeeL	8.7% vs R: 8.2%	5.8% vs R: 3.2%	14.6% vs R: 14.9%	10.7% vs R: 9.8%	21.7% vs R: 22.7%	11.8% vs R: 7.6%
Andrew KniznerR	25% vs R: 40%	—	—	—	—	0%
Shay WhitcombR	24.3% vs R: 19.2%	21.4% vs R: 23.1%	20%	50% vs R: 60%	—	15.8% vs R: 20%
Nate FurmanL	0% vs R: 0%	16.7% vs R: 16.7%	—	—	—	0% vs R: 0%
Christian KossR	26.4% vs R: 29.5%	26.1% vs R: 25%	16.7% vs R: 11.8%	0%	—	14% vs R: 16.3%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

No head-to-head history found for this lineup.

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Drew Gilbert	23.9%	26.7%	7.9%	83.1%
Rafael Devers	28.7%	26.3%	18.3%	75.7%
Bryce Eldridge	23%	21.9%	25.5%	79.5%
Turner Hill	19.3%	16.7%	10%	94.3%
Jung Hoo Lee	34.4%	34.7%	11.1%	88.3%
Andrew Knizner	36.8%	35.1%	28.6%	74.1%
Shay Whitcomb	35.5%	37.2%	26.2%	77.5%
Nate Furman	32.4%	41.7%	25.9%	85.1%
Christian Koss	38.7%	33.7%	26.5%	79.3%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-08	Kansas City Royals	6	5
2026-07-16	Philadelphia Phillies	7.2	7
2026-07-22	Milwaukee Brewers	6.8	6
2026-07-29	Atlanta Braves	6	7
2026-08-05	Cleveland Guardians	5.3	7
2026-08-10	Atlanta Braves	7.7	6
2026-08-16	Washington Nationals	7.4	7
2026-08-22	Chicago White Sox	7.4	6
2026-09-06	San Francisco Giants	5.47	—

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 23.9%

✓Whiff rate is 28.1%

!CSW rate is 28.2%

!Opponent K% is 20.5%

✓Average pitch count is 90.5

!WHIP is 1.27

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-08-28	Houston Astros	Home	5.1	2	96	1.31	11	18.2%
2026-08-22	Chicago White Sox	Away	4.2	6	94	1.32	14	42.9%
2026-08-16	Washington Nationals	Home	6.1	7	90	1.29	12	58.3%
2026-08-10	Atlanta Braves	Away	4	6	82	1.3	13	46.2%
2026-08-05	Cleveland Guardians	Away	5	7	96	1.26	18	38.9%
2026-07-29	Atlanta Braves	Home	6	7	98	1.24	12	58.3%
2026-07-22	Milwaukee Brewers	Away	3.2	6	89	1.26	14	42.9%
2026-07-16	Philadelphia Phillies	Away	5.2	7	79	1.22	11	63.6%
2026-07-08	Kansas City Royals	Home	5	5	90	1.3	14	35.7%
2026-07-03	Atlanta Braves	Away	4	7	82	1.35	11	63.6%