MLB pitcher strikeout
Kyle Bradish
Projection
6.4
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+0.9
Over 5.5
Recommendation
Over 5.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A
80/100
Pitcher K%
25.2%
Whiff%
25.5%
CSW%
28.3%
WHIP
1.46
Avg IP
6.1
Avg pitches
93.5
Last 5 avg Ks
6.6
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
23.2%
Team chase
32.3%
Recent chase
32.9%
Recent contact
80.1%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model projection
6.4
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10 overs
Average Ks
5.4
Selected starts
Average margin
-0.1
Vs selected line
Current streak
3
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
3
Under
7
Push
0
Jul 11
Kansas City Royals
Strikeouts
5
-0.5
Jul 5
Cincinnati Reds
Strikeouts
5
-0.5
Jun 28
Washington Nationals
Strikeouts
2
-3.5
Jun 22
Los Angeles Angels
Strikeouts
9
+3.5
Jun 17
Seattle Mariners
Strikeouts
12
+6.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +112 | -140 | +0.9 | -0.9 | Best Over |
| Caesars | 5.5 | +109 | -- | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | +110 | -150 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 | +105 | -150 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| Bovada | 5.5 | +110 | -143 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +110 | -140 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
Projected lineup| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| Connor Wong | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Masataka Yoshida | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Willson Contreras | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 4 | 2 | 50% |
| Wilyer Abreu | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Caleb Durbin | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
Projected lineup| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Seigler | 26.8% | 28.1% | 15.8% | 86% |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 42.7% | 49.4% | 17.8% | 81.4% |
| Wilyer Abreu | 31.6% | 29.2% | 18.6% | 80.3% |
| Willson Contreras | 35.9% | 43.2% | 22.2% | 73.5% |
| Masataka Yoshida | 32.7% | 27.1% | 14.3% | 93.6% |
| Caleb Durbin | 30.3% | 29.5% | 9.5% | 91.8% |
| Jarren Duran | 34.6% | 31.2% | 28.2% | 70.8% |
| Connor Wong | 27.2% | 28.9% | 23.8% | 79.5% |
| Tsung-Che Cheng | 28.8% | 29.5% | 40% | 63.9% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Kansas City Royals | 6.1 | 5 |
| 2026-07-21 | Boston Red Sox | 6.4 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 6.2 | 5 | 96 | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-05 | Cincinnati Reds | Away | 7.2 | 5 | 106 | 1.4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Washington Nationals | Home | 4 | 2 | 85 | 1.45 |
| 2026-06-22 | Los Angeles Angels | Away | 8 | 9 | 101 | 1.45 |
| 2026-06-17 | Seattle Mariners | Away | 7.2 | 12 | 100 | 1.51 |
| 2026-06-11 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 4 | 5 | 85 | 1.57 |
| 2026-06-06 | Toronto Blue Jays | Away | 4 | 3 | 81 | 1.51 |
| 2026-05-31 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 7 | 4 | 94 | 1.42 |
| 2026-05-25 | Tampa Bay Rays | Home | 6 | 3 | 92 | 1.47 |
| 2026-05-19 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 5.1 | 6 | 102 | 1.51 |