MLB pitcher strikeout

Sean Newcomb

vs Cleveland Guardians2026-10-07LHP

Projection

3.3

Ensemble: 3.3

Market line

No line available

Model edge

No qualifying edge

10% (1/10)· 6U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

A+

100/100

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Pitcher K%

31%

Whiff%

34.4%

CSW%

34.1%

WHIP

1.17

Avg IP

1.1

Avg pitches

Last 5 avg Ks

1.2

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

20.4%

Team chase

28.9%

Recent chase

25.5%

Recent contact

86.4%

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

17.8%

Opp K% vs LHP

19.5%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

3.5

Selected line

Model projection

3.3

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

10%

1 of 10 overs

Average Ks

1.3

Selected starts

Average margin

-2.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

10% (1/10)· 6U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

3.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 3.5Model 3.3

Sep 27

vs COL

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 26

vs COL

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 23

@ KC

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 18

vs DET

UNDER

Strikeouts

-3.5

Sep 16

@ CLE

UNDER

Strikeouts

-3.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

9.5

Selected line

Model projection

9.7

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

0 of 10 overs

Average Outs

3.7

Selected starts

Average margin

-5.8

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

0% (0/10)· 10U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

9.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 9.5Model 9.7

Sep 27

vs COL

UNDER

Outs

-7.5

Sep 26

vs COL

UNDER

Outs

-4.5

Sep 23

@ KC

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Sep 18

vs DET

UNDER

Outs

-7.5

Sep 16

@ CLE

UNDER

Outs

-9.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Cleveland Guardians

No prior starts found against Cleveland Guardians.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

No sportsbook lines found for this pitcher.

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

39.7%

5+ Ks

19.6%

6+ Ks

7.9%

7+ Ks

2.5%

8+ Ks

0.6%

9+ Ks

0.2%

10+ Ks

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	44.5%	20.2%	15.8%	95.1
Slurve	28.5%	36.4%	18.5%	83.4
Sinker	16.4%	7.7%	15.8%	94.2
Curveball	6.7%	15.8%	19.2%	80.9
Changeup	2.3%	16.7%	0%	86.9
Cutter	1.7%	0%	0%	92.1

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

45%

2-Strike Foul%

28.3%

2-Strike Contact%

79.3%

Expected Ks

6.9

K Luck

+2.1

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	12	50%	50%
1-2	7	28.6%	71.4%
2-2	9	44.4%	55.6%
3-2 (full)	5	60%	40%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Slurve	Sinker	Curveball	Changeup	Cutter
Steven KwanL	12.7%	8.3%	7.3% vs L: 12.3%	0% vs L: 0%	6.6% vs L: 8.3%	12.9% vs L: 0%	4.3% vs L: 10%	9.8% vs L: 0%
José RamírezS	7.3%	15%	7.3% vs L: 6.3%	0%	9.4% vs L: 9.1%	12.5% vs L: 0%	13.6% vs L: 10%	17.5% vs L: 10%
Chase DeLauterL	20.1%	12.1%	17.8% vs L: 26.2%	50% vs L: 50%	13.1% vs L: 18.2%	20.6% vs L: 30.8%	13% vs L: 25%	15% vs L: 10%
Jo AdellR	22%	24.4%	17.6% vs L: 13.8%	—	20.3% vs L: 16.7%	14.8% vs L: 16.7%	21.8% vs L: 20%	12.5% vs L: 20%
Angel MartínezS	17.1%	24.6%	14.6% vs L: 21.3%	—	28.3% vs L: 11.1%	14% vs L: 7.1%	16.1% vs L: 13.3%	23.8% vs L: 0%
David FryR	30.4%	21.2%	19.8% vs L: 19.4%	—	20.9% vs L: 20.6%	20.7% vs L: 19.2%	20.8% vs L: 20.5%	18.8% vs L: 16.7%
Travis BazzanaL	24.7%	18.8%	14.7% vs L: 18.8%	50% vs L: 100%	10.2% vs L: 13.5%	20.5% vs L: 36.4%	15.4% vs L: 20%	18.9% vs L: 0%
Patrick BaileyS	29.3%	25.6%	25.9% vs L: 28.6%	—	19% vs L: 0%	27.3% vs L: 0%	15.6% vs L: 27.3%	16% vs L: 28.6%
Brayan RocchioS	16.1%	13.5%	14.6% vs L: 15.7%	—	10.9% vs L: 17.6%	18% vs L: 8.3%	15.1% vs L: 17.5%	7.4% vs L: 8.3%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Slurve	Sinker	Curveball	Changeup	Cutter
Steven KwanL	3.1% vs L: 4.8%	0% vs L: 0%	2.5% vs L: 1.1%	10.3% vs L: 0%	9.5% vs L: 23.1%	10.3% vs L: 21.1%
José RamírezS	10.6% vs L: 8.1%	0%	7.9% vs L: 4.8%	17% vs L: 11.8%	18.9% vs L: 17.8%	13.1% vs L: 12%
Chase DeLauterL	12.1% vs L: 19.8%	28.6% vs L: 40%	4.3% vs L: 4.7%	17.1% vs L: 40%	17.5% vs L: 19%	14.6% vs L: 20%
Jo AdellR	20.7% vs L: 18.4%	—	16% vs L: 15.8%	28.6% vs L: 34.8%	37.3% vs L: 44.8%	22.3% vs L: 27.6%
Angel MartínezS	13.5% vs L: 12.2%	—	13.9% vs L: 14.6%	25% vs L: 15.4%	19.7% vs L: 16.4%	12.1% vs L: 12.5%
David FryR	22.4% vs L: 21.1%	—	18.4% vs L: 18.8%	26.3% vs L: 31.2%	33.9% vs L: 31.5%	29.4% vs L: 19%
Travis BazzanaL	14.6% vs L: 19.6%	0% vs L: 0%	10.4% vs L: 11.6%	31% vs L: 50%	36.1% vs L: 71.4%	24.7% vs L: 30.8%
Patrick BaileyS	20.5% vs L: 18.9%	—	11.2% vs L: 10%	39% vs L: 42.9%	25.8% vs L: 40%	24.1% vs L: 33.3%
Brayan RocchioS	14% vs L: 18.3%	—	8.7% vs L: 5.3%	32.8% vs L: 18.5%	31.5% vs L: 38.6%	16.7% vs L: 17.6%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Projected lineup

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Steven Kwan	6	1	16.7%	.250
Chase DeLauter	5	2	40%	.000
José Ramírez	4	0	0%	.750
Travis Bazzana	4	0	0%	.333
Patrick Bailey	3	0	0%	.500
Angel Martínez	2	0	0%	.000
David Fry	2	0	0%	.000
Brayan Rocchio	2	0	0%	.000
Jo Adell	1	1	100%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Projected lineup

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Steven Kwan	17.5%	8.3%	0%	100%
José Ramírez	27%	16.7%	6.7%	92%
Chase DeLauter	21.9%	10%	26.7%	88.9%
Jo Adell	31.7%	26.5%	5.6%	82.8%
Angel Martínez	41.4%	48.3%	11.1%	86.7%
David Fry	30.4%	N/A	N/A	77.8%
Travis Bazzana	28.5%	45.2%	17.6%	88.2%
Patrick Bailey	29.5%	25%	N/A	78.3%
Brayan Rocchio	32.6%	24%	N/A	83.3%

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-08-14	Detroit Tigers	0.5	2
2026-08-19	Chicago Cubs	1.4	0
2026-08-23	New York Mets	0.6	3
2026-09-12	St. Louis Cardinals	0.3	4
2026-09-14	Cleveland Guardians	3.8	0
2026-10-07	Cleveland Guardians	3.3	1

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

✓Pitcher K% is 31%

✓Whiff rate is 34.4%

✓CSW rate is 34.1%

!Opponent K% is 17.9%

!Average pitch count is 24

!WHIP is 1.17

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-09-27	Colorado Rockies	Home	0.2	2	17	1.18	3	66.7%
2026-09-26	Colorado Rockies	Home	1.2	2	22	1.18	4	50%
2026-09-23	Kansas City Royals	Away	2	2	25	1.19	5	40%
2026-09-18	Detroit Tigers	Home	0.2	0	24	1.21	4	0%
2026-09-16	Cleveland Guardians	Away	0	0	20	1.18	2	0%
2026-09-14	Cleveland Guardians	Away	1	0	13	1.14	2	0%
2026-09-12	St. Louis Cardinals	Away	1.1	4	29	1.14	6	66.7%
2026-09-09	Pittsburgh Pirates	Home	1.1	0	42	1.13	5	0%
2026-09-05	Minnesota Twins	Home	1.2	1	24	1.08	3	33.3%
2026-09-02	Houston Astros	Away	2	2	41	1.08	6	33.3%