MLB pitcher strikeout

Nick Martinez

@ Cleveland Guardians2026-10-17DraftKingsRHP

Projection

2.4

Model strikeouts

Market line

2.5

DraftKings

Model edge

No qualifying edge

90% (9/10)· 3O streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

60/100

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Pitcher K%

17.9%

Whiff%

16.2%

CSW%

24.2%

WHIP

1.16

Avg IP

5.2

Avg pitches

75.5

Last 5 avg Ks

3.4

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

16.3%

Team chase

28.1%

Recent chase

N/A

Recent contact

N/A

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

16.7%

Opp K% vs LHP

18.2%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

2.5

DraftKings

Model projection

2.4

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

90%

9 of 10 overs

Average Ks

3.5

Selected starts

Average margin

+1.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

90% (9/10)· 3O streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

2.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 2.5Model 2.4

Oct 23

@ MIL

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Oct 17

@ CLE

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Oct 7

@ NYY

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Sep 27

@ PHI

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Sep 22

@ NYY

OVER

Strikeouts

+4.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

11.5

FanDuel

Model projection

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Outs

14.8

Selected starts

Average margin

+3.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

70% (7/10)· 1U streak

Total Outs Simulator

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Active line

11.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 11.5

Oct 23

@ MIL

UNDER

Outs

-5.5

Oct 17

@ CLE

OVER

Outs

+4.5

Oct 7

@ NYY

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 27

@ PHI

UNDER

Outs

-3.5

Sep 22

@ NYY

OVER

Outs

+6.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Cleveland Guardians

No prior starts found against Cleveland Guardians.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
DraftKings	2.5	+129	-165	-0.1	+0.1	—
FanDuel	2.5	+134	-172	-0.1	+0.1	—

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

No ladder projection available for this start yet.

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
Sinker	33.4%	10.7%	20.6%	92.2
Cutter	24.5%	10.6%	13%	89
Changeup	22.6%	23.6%	10.1%	77.9
4-Seam Fastball	14.1%	15.9%	14.5%	92.5
Slider	5%	32%	0%	84.4

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

34.7%

2-Strike Foul%

25.9%

2-Strike Contact%

85.5%

Expected Ks

16.6

K Luck

+0.4

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	22	27.3%	72.7%
1-2	29	31%	69%
2-2	19	31.6%	68.4%
3-2 (full)	13	38.5%	61.5%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	Sinker	Cutter	Changeup	4-Seam Fastball	Slider
Steven KwanL	12.7%	8.3%	6.5% vs R: 4.5%	9.8% vs R: 12.5%	4.3% vs R: 3.3%	7.3% vs R: 5.4%	12.3% vs R: 13.7%
José RamírezS	7.3%	15%	9.4% vs R: 9.7%	17.5% vs R: 19.1%	13.6% vs R: 14.7%	7.3% vs R: 7.8%	12.8% vs R: 14.3%
Chase DeLauterL	20.1%	12.1%	13.1% vs R: 7.1%	15% vs R: 16.7%	13% vs R: 9.4%	17.8% vs R: 14.8%	14.9% vs R: 21.9%
Jo AdellR	22%	24.4%	20.3% vs R: 20.9%	12.5% vs R: 10%	21.8% vs R: 23.9%	17.6% vs R: 19.8%	19.9% vs R: 21.7%
Nathaniel LoweL	20.4%	23.3%	16.4% vs R: 17.6%	24% vs R: 19%	13.8% vs R: 12.7%	17.6% vs R: 18.3%	17% vs R: 14.6%
Travis BazzanaL	24.7%	18.8%	10.2% vs R: 5.6%	18.9% vs R: 21.9%	15.4% vs R: 14.7%	14.7% vs R: 12.6%	20.8% vs R: 23.6%
Patrick BaileyS	29.3%	26.1%	19% vs R: 21.6%	16% vs R: 11.1%	15.6% vs R: 13.2%	27% vs R: 26.5%	21.1% vs R: 21.7%
Petey HalpinL	20.8%	17%	17.4% vs R: 23.5%	30.8% vs R: 30%	15.8% vs R: 17.6%	22.2% vs R: 16.7%	20% vs R: 12.5%
Brayan RocchioS	16.1%	13.5%	10.9% vs R: 8.5%	7.7% vs R: 7.1%	15.1% vs R: 13.9%	14.5% vs R: 13.8%	13.4% vs R: 6.4%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	Sinker	Cutter	Changeup	4-Seam Fastball	Slider
Steven KwanL	2.4% vs R: 4.3%	10.3% vs R: 7.4%	9.5% vs R: 7%	3.1% vs R: 2.6%	10.9% vs R: 4.4%
José RamírezS	7.8% vs R: 10%	13.1% vs R: 13.3%	18.9% vs R: 19.4%	10.6% vs R: 11.8%	18% vs R: 18.3%
Chase DeLauterL	4.3% vs R: 3.6%	14.6% vs R: 12.9%	17.5% vs R: 17.1%	12.1% vs R: 9.3%	22.9% vs R: 21.2%
Jo AdellR	16% vs R: 16%	22.1% vs R: 20%	37.3% vs R: 27%	20.7% vs R: 22.2%	36.2% vs R: 37.4%
Nathaniel LoweL	13.6% vs R: 16.9%	19.4% vs R: 14%	20.3% vs R: 18.7%	16.5% vs R: 16.3%	28.3% vs R: 22.2%
Travis BazzanaL	10.4% vs R: 8.6%	24.7% vs R: 23.7%	36.1% vs R: 33.3%	14.6% vs R: 12.4%	33.3% vs R: 33.8%
Patrick BaileyS	11.2% vs R: 11.5%	24.1% vs R: 23.1%	25.5% vs R: 23.9%	21.2% vs R: 21.7%	32.1% vs R: 33.8%
Petey HalpinL	19.7% vs R: 21.4%	27.5% vs R: 26.5%	11.4% vs R: 12.5%	25.4% vs R: 24.8%	36.2% vs R: 36%
Brayan RocchioS	8.7% vs R: 10.3%	16.8% vs R: 15.9%	31.5% vs R: 27.8%	14% vs R: 11.8%	27.2% vs R: 23.7%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
José Ramírez	11	1	9.1%	.091
Steven Kwan	7	1	14.3%	.429
Patrick Bailey	7	3	42.9%	.286
Nathaniel Lowe	6	1	16.7%	.333
Travis Bazzana	6	1	16.7%	.200
Jo Adell	5	1	20%	.000
Brayan Rocchio	5	1	20%	.000
Chase DeLauter	3	0	0%	.333
Petey Halpin	2	0	0%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Steven Kwan	16.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
José Ramírez	27%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Chase DeLauter	21.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Jo Adell	31.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nathaniel Lowe	27.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Travis Bazzana	29.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Patrick Bailey	29.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Petey Halpin	36.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brayan Rocchio	33%	N/A	N/A	N/A

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-07-10	Seattle Mariners	2.2	1
2026-07-20	Toronto Blue Jays	0.5	0
2026-07-25	Cleveland Guardians	1.5	5
2026-07-31	Chicago White Sox	2.1	2
2026-08-05	Colorado Rockies	2.4	4
2026-08-11	Athletics	2.4	5
2026-08-18	Toronto Blue Jays	2.4	5
2026-08-23	Baltimore Orioles	2.6	4
2026-08-29	San Diego Padres	2.4	4
2026-09-04	Texas Rangers	3.1	4
2026-09-10	Atlanta Braves	4.2	3
2026-09-16	Athletics	3.7	3
2026-09-22	New York Yankees	3.5	7
2026-09-27	Philadelphia Phillies	3.6	1
2026-10-07	New York Yankees	2.7	3
2026-10-16	Cleveland Guardians	2.4	—
2026-10-17	Cleveland Guardians	2.4	3
2026-10-23	Milwaukee Brewers	2.3	5

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

!Pitcher K% is 17.9%

!Whiff rate is 16.2%

!CSW rate is 24.2%

!Opponent K% is 17.6%

!Average pitch count is 75.5

!WHIP is 1.16

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-10-23	Milwaukee Brewers	Away	2	3	35	1.27	—	—
2026-10-17	Cleveland Guardians	Away	5.1	3	79	1.11	12	25%
2026-10-07	New York Yankees	Away	3.2	3	63	1.64	10	30%
2026-09-27	Philadelphia Phillies	Away	2.2	1	50	1.09	7	14.3%
2026-09-22	New York Yankees	Away	6	7	94	1.07	12	58.3%
2026-09-16	Athletics	Home	5	3	72	1.07	8	37.5%
2026-09-10	Atlanta Braves	Away	6.1	3	68	1.07	12	25%
2026-09-04	Texas Rangers	Away	6.1	4	90	1.1	14	28.6%
2026-08-29	San Diego Padres	Home	6	4	81	1.1	9	44.4%
2026-08-23	Baltimore Orioles	Away	6	4	86	1.1	14	28.6%